VfB Stuttgart – VfL Wolfsburg
Our Stuttgart – Wolfsburg prediction is: Stuttgart win – 1.75 odds
- Stuttgart were able to win 2:1 away against BVB
- This bet would also have worked out in the last encounter between the two in Stuttgart (3:1 win for VfB)
- VfL Wolfsburg is missing a key defensive player in Maehle
VfB Stuttgart will host VfL Wolfsburg at the MHPArena on Saturday afternoon – and they will have a tailwind. The Swabians once again showed why they are deservedly in a strong 5th place in the Bundesliga after their surprising 2-1 away win against Borussia Dortmund. Just one point behind RB Leipzig, Sebastian Hoeneß’s team are still in the running for a Champions League place.
The mood at VfL Wolfsburg is quite different: Ralph Hasenhüttl’s team drew a respectable 0-0 against league leaders Leverkusen, but are still waiting for their big breakthrough. With 30 points, the Wolves are only in 9th place – level on points with Werder Bremen. To make matters worse, Hasenhüttl has to rebuild his defense after the controversial yellow card suspension for Joakim Maehle. It will be interesting to see how VfL closes this personnel gap. You can find out who is ahead here in our Stuttgart – Wolfsburg betting tip.
Stuttgart – Wolfsburg info
- Stadium: MHPArena, Stuttgart
- Date and time: 15.02.2025, 3:30 pm
- Competition: Bundesliga, Matchday 22
- Broadcast: Sky
Stuttgart Form & Record Check
VfB Stuttgart are currently in a mixed state. After the impressive 2-1 away win at Borussia Dortmund last weekend, Sebastian Hoeneß’ team are in 5th place in the table – just one point behind RB Leipzig. In particular, the accuracy of Deniz Undav and the tactical flexibility of the team stand out positively.
However, a closer look at the last few weeks also reveals weaknesses: in the Champions League, the team suffered a clear 4-1 home defeat against Paris Saint-Germain, and in the Bundesliga there was also an unnecessary 2-1 defeat against Borussia Mönchengladbach. The defense doesn’t always look solid – in the last five games, the team has conceded at least one goal in 80 percent of the games.
Taker mentality
But it is interesting to note that the team can also cope with setbacks. The recent success in Dortmund and advancing in the DFB Cup against Augsburg (1-0) show the team’s mental strength. With 35 points after 21 match days, Stuttgart is on course for international business – a remarkable development for a club that was not so long ago still in danger of relegation.
Stuttgart facts & analysis
- Fifth place in the table
- Three wins from the last five Bundesliga games
- Last Bundesliga game won 2-1 against Dortmund
After a convincing 2-1 win over Dortmund, coach Sebastian Hoeneß is not expected to make any major changes. The starting lineup is likely to be in the proven 4-2-3-1 system, with some of the best players in key positions.
Wolfsburg Form & Record Check
VfL Wolfsburg are currently in a mixed form, which has been particularly evident in recent weeks. Ralph Hasenhüttl’s team, currently in 9th place in the table, have only collected six points from their last five games – with one win, three draws and one defeat.
The recent 0-0 draw against league leaders Bayer Leverkusen was a creditable result, even though there is still room for improvement in offense. The Wolves’ pattern in the second half is particularly interesting: in 80% of their last games, more than 1.5 goals were scored after the break.
Defensively problematic
The 5-1 win over Borussia Mönchengladbach showed the team’s offensive potential, but the three subsequent draws against Holstein Kiel (2-2), Frankfurt (1-1) and Leverkusen (0-0) also reveal a certain inconsistency.
Defensively, Hasenhüttl is currently struggling – not only because of the suspension of key player Maehle for the upcoming game, but also because of the 35 goals conceded in 21 games. Tied with Werder Bremen for ninth place and just one point behind Gladbach, Wolfsburg is fighting to get into the top half of the table. It is debatable whether their current form is good enough to help them make the hoped-for leap forward in the coming weeks.
Wolfsburg facts & analysis
- Ninth place in the table
- One win in last five BL games
- Last Bundesliga game 0-0 against Leverkusen
Interestingly, Ralph Hasenhüttl could be forced to field a slightly modified lineup in the usual 4-1-3-2 system for the away game in Stuttgart. The biggest problem is on the left side of the defense, where the suspended Maehle has to be replaced – Roerslev should get his chance here. In midfield, Arnold remains the central anchor, while Wind and Amoura should continue to form the dangerous forward duo.
The back four could be completed by Fischer, Vavro and Koulierakis, while Müller is likely to keep his place in goal. The midfield with Svanberg, Tiago Tomás and the in-form Wimmer has gelled well recently. However, it is safe to assume that Hasenhüttl could still have one or two tactical surprises up his sleeve in view of Stuttgart’s strong offense.
Stuttgart – Wolfsburg Head to Head & Statistics
The last five meetings between Stuttgart and Wolfsburg have been high-scoring affairs. An average of four goals have been scored per game in the last five encounters – a remarkable rate.
The last meeting in September 2024 ended in a spectacular 2-2 draw. Prior to that, Stuttgart beat Wolfsburg 3-2 in March 2024. The Swabians also got the better of their opponents in October 2023 (3-1). The Wolves won the two previous matches – 1-0 in March 2023 and 3-2 in October 2022.
The goal guarantee in these duels is interesting: Wolfsburg scored in all five games, and Stuttgart also always conceded at least one goal. In 80% of the games, more than 2.5 goals were scored – defensive stability looks different.
The second half regularly turned out to be a spectacle. Wolfsburg in particular showed themselves to be dangerous after the break, scoring in four out of five games. It was not uncommon for the teams to go toe-to-toe for long periods before getting down to business later on.
It is worth asking whether this pattern will continue in the upcoming duel. In any case, the most recent results speak for themselves: goals are practically inevitable in this fixture.
