Stuttgart welcomes a struggling FC Augsburg on Sunday at 4:30 p.m. UTC, who have failed to score against the Swabians in five matches. For VfB, it’s not just about three points, but about keeping up with the leading group: With 18 points, Stuttgart is in fourth place, just two points behind Dortmund and one ahead of Leverkusen. Form clearly favors the home side, who have won their last three Bundesliga games in a row and secured a convincing 2-0 win against Feyenoord in the Europa League during the week. Augsburg, on the other hand, are just above the relegation zone in 14th place with only seven points and have won only one of their last eleven competitive games. This record is an additional burden for the visitors: Stuttgart have won the last five encounters, most recently a clear 4-0 victory in May 2025, with Augsburg failing to score in any of these games. The bookmakers see Stuttgart as the clear favorites with over 65%, while an Augsburg win is estimated at around 17%.
- Venue: MHPArena, Stuttgart
- Date and time: November 9, 2025, 5:30 p.m.
- Competition: Bundesliga (Matchday 10)
Three betting ideas with varying degrees of risk are based on Stuttgart’s strong home record and Augsburg’s serious away weakness. Tip 1, a home win for VfB with odds of around 1.5, is considered the safest option. Stuttgart has scored at least twice in four of its last five games, while Augsburg has conceded goals in every game recently, including a 6-0 defeat to Leipzig, which makes over 2.5 goals an attractive medium-risk option. The bet “Both teams to score: No” seems possible due to Stuttgart’s stable defensive performance, such as the 2-0 win against Feyenoord, and Augsburg’s lack of offensive threat, but carries greater risk. Coach Wagner calls his team’s mistakes incomprehensible, and without captain Gouweleeuw, they lack important stability. Deniz Undav is fit to play despite a bruised foot and has scored important goals recently, while Demirović is still out and is not expected to return until December. Bookmakers are pricing an Augsburg win at around 6.0, which underlines the low probability of an away win.
Stuttgart form & record check
Stuttgart have shown great consistency under Sebastian Hoeneß, especially in the second half: in four of their last five games, VfB have scored after the break, while 80% of their games have seen fewer than 1.5 goals before the break. The game against Feyenoord confirmed this pattern with a late decision by El Khannouss in the 84th minute and Undav’s follow-up to make it 2-0, the first clean sheet in the Europa League. However, there are challenges in terms of personnel: Ermedin Demirović has been out since the beginning of October with a foot injury, and Nick Woltemade’s departure in the summer meant that no trained center forward was signed. Tiago Tomás and Deniz Undav share the role, which means that the front line is thinly staffed. Lorenz Assignon is also missing due to a shoulder injury. Angelo Stiller has been a consistent performer, playing in all nine Bundesliga games and directly involved in four goals. Hoeneß was irritated by Stiller’s omission from the DFB squad and sees him as a key player. The team tends to start cautiously and press more intensely after the break, with the lack of depth in the center of attack remaining their biggest weakness.
Sebastian Hoeneß is expected to stick with his usual back three, but will have to compensate for numerous absences. Zagadou is out with muscle problems and Al-Dakhil is not registered for the Europa League. Other players who are unavailable are Stenzel, Stergiou, Keitel, Diehl, Silas, and Demirović. Assignon is out with a shoulder injury, while Demirović is struggling with a foot injury. Vagnoman was able to report fit during the warm-up, so last-minute changes were avoided. Undav will have to carry the main burden in the center of the attack. El Khannouss and Führich are expected to occupy the offensive wings. In midfield, Stiller and Karazor will stabilize the center.
Augsburg Form & Record Check
FCA is in 14th place with seven points from nine games and is only one point ahead of the relegation spot. The defense is particularly problematic, with Augsburg conceding at least one goal in each of their last five competitive games, with a total goal difference of minus nine. Captain Jeffrey Gouweleeuw is out with a torn medial ligament, which further weakens the defensive stability. After a 6-0 defeat to Leipzig, they only managed a 1-1 draw in Cologne and were also knocked out of the cup by Bochum. Four of the last five games saw them fail to score in the first half, which underlines their lack of effectiveness in attack. Sandro Wagner must take immediate defensive measures, possibly with a deeper, more compact formation and clear tasks for the center backs. Without Gouweleeuw, more stable center back combinations and a defensive double six may be necessary. The team’s mental state also needs attention after the frustration of recent weeks. Without a noticeable improvement, further relegation problems loom, although selective stabilization seems possible with quick adjustments.
Wagner is likely to opt for a back five in the away game in Stuttgart. Captain Gouweleeuw is still out with a torn medial ligament in his knee. Matsima, Schlotterbeck, and the young Banks could start in the back three, with Fellhauer and Giannoulis expected to occupy the wide positions. Massengo, Rexhbecaj, Rieder, and Claude-Maurice are expected to start in midfield, with Claude-Maurice providing the attacking impetus. Tietz is likely to start as the lone striker, having had good chances against Dortmund but failing to convert them. Maier and Gharbi are two alternative attacking options on the bench.
Stuttgart – Augsburg Head-to-head & statistics
Stuttgart has won all five encounters since December 2023, with Augsburg failing to score in any of those games. The series includes league and cup games, with a 4-0 win for Stuttgart in May 2025 as the highlight and a 1-0 win in the DFB Cup quarter-finals in February 2025. Four of the five games were low-scoring, with fewer than four goals. Stuttgart scored after halftime in each of the last three encounters, deciding the games. Augsburg conceded at least one goal in all five matches, often in the second half. The figures show clear dominance by the Swabians, even if previous results do not guarantee the outcome of upcoming games.
