St. Pauli vs. Augsburg Tip, Prediction & Odds Bundesliga 09/14/2025

Home » St. Pauli vs. Augsburg Tip, Prediction & Odds Bundesliga 09/14/2025

FC St. Pauli vs. FC Augsburg

After an impressive 2-0 derby win against HSV two weeks ago, St. Pauli welcomes FC Augsburg to the Millerntor tomorrow at noon. Alexander Blessin’s team is in 5th place in the table with four points after two matchdays and has settled in remarkably quickly after being promoted to the Bundesliga. The Fuggerstadt team travels to the Elbe with three points from eight possible. Sandro Wagner’s team showed remarkable morale in their 2-3 defeat to Bayern Munich just under two weeks ago, but once again dropped points. In 8th place in the table, Augsburg are still lagging behind their own expectations. The most recent meeting in February ended 1-1, with both teams in different situations at the time. Interestingly, Hamburg have only made a decisive impact in the second half in their last two games against Augsburg. Despite their higher position in the table, the bookmakers see the Kiezkickers as only slight favorites.

  • Venue: Millerntor Stadium, Hamburg
  • Date and time: September 14, 2025, 3:30 p.m.
  • Competition: Bundesliga (Matchday 3)

St. Pauli form & record check

St. Pauli has made a solid start to the new Bundesliga season and is in 5th place in the table after two match days. With four points, the Kiezkickers are level with Borussia Dortmund and only one point behind the leading group. The spectacular 3-3 draw against Dortmund at the Millerntor in their opening game already showed that Hamburg have no reason to hide. Despite falling behind three times, Alexander Blessin’s team fought their way back each time, demonstrating remarkable mental strength. Even more impressive was the 2-0 away win in the city derby at Hamburger SV. Dzwigala gave St. Pauli an early lead before Hountondji sealed the deal in the 60th minute. The red card against HSV defender Gocholeishvili made the game even easier for the visitors. The distribution of goals in the Bundesliga games so far is interesting: while the first half is usually quiet, the Kiezkickers become more dangerous after the break. Advancing in the DFB Cup against Norderstedt on penalties rounded off a positive start to the season. In terms of personnel, Blessin currently has to do without a number of key players. Nemeth and Mets are out in defense, while both Ceesay and Jones are unavailable in attack. This could affect the rotation in the forward line, where Hountondji has been impressive recently.

Coach Alexander Blessin is likely to stick with his tried-and-tested 3-4-1-2 system. Vasilj is expected to start in goal, while Wahl, Smith, and Dzwigala could form the back three. Pyrka and Oppie are likely to provide pace on the wings. In midfield, Sands and Fujita are expected to form the double six. Sinani could take on the creative role behind them, while the duo of Hountondji and Pereira Lage should provide danger up front. However, important absences weaken the defense: Nemeth is out with muscle problems, and Mets is also not fit.

Augsburg Form & Record Check

Augsburg are in decent shape at the start of the season, even if their recent run of two defeats might be misleading at first glance. Their 3-1 opening win in Freiburg was impressive and showed a team that was much more determined in attack than last season. The Fuggerstadt team’s offensive output in their last five games is particularly striking. In all of these matches, at least two goals were scored, with Augsburg themselves usually posing a threat in front of goal. Interestingly, they have not played a single draw during this period, which suggests a certain radicalism in their style of play. The 3-2 defeat to Bayern Munich two weeks ago was anything but embarrassing. Kristijan Jakic, who impresses with his precision in front of goal, scored, as did substitute Mert Kömür. These setbacks against the record champions could well be encouraging, especially as the defense looked much more vulnerable in the second half than at the start. With three points from two Bundesliga games, Augsburg are in 8th place in the table, just one point behind Bayer Leverkusen. However, coach Sandro Wagner will have to do without several key players, including Keven Schlotterbeck, who is not expected to return until the middle of the month. Dimitrios Giannoulis and Anton Kade are also still out.

At FC Augsburg, coach Sandro Wagner is likely to rely on his tried-and-tested 3-4-2-1 formation. Dahmen will probably be in goal, with a back three of Matsima, Gouweleeuw and Zesiger in front of him. Wolf and Pedersen are likely to occupy the wide positions, while Jakic and Massengo will stabilize the central midfield. However, Wagner has a few personnel issues to deal with. With Schlotterbeck, Bauer, Giannoulis, Fellhauer, and Kade all out, he has five players missing, which significantly limits his options. The absence of Kade in attacking midfield could be particularly noticeable. In attack, Claude-Maurice and Saad are expected to play behind striker Tietz.

H2H St. Pauli – Augsburg Head-to-head comparison & statistics

The head-to-head record between the two teams shows a balanced affair from the last two encounters. Augsburg recorded one win, while one game ended in a draw. The pattern that can be derived from the previous encounters is interesting. Both games were low-scoring at halftime, but developed into much more intense encounters after the break. In neither of the two duels were more than one goal scored in the first half. The most recent encounter in February 2025 ended 1-1 at the Millerntor. Even then, it was clear that both teams were only able to make their decisive moves after the break. The first match in Augsburg in September 2024 was won by the home team 3-1. Augsburg has so far proven to be the team that becomes more dangerous after the break against St. Pauli. The Fuggerstadt team scored all their goals in the second half in both encounters, while Hamburg at least scored consistently.

St. Pauli’s home win at odds of 2.15 looks quite attractive considering that Augsburg are missing four defenders, including Schlotterbeck and Giannoulis. After their convincing 2-0 derby triumph over Hamburg, the Kiezkickers have gained confidence, and with Hountondji in attack and the support of their home crowd, the omens are good for them. Things get more interesting when betting on both teams to score: Yes, which looks like a solid option at odds of around 1.91. Augsburg has scored in four of its last five games but has only kept a clean sheet once, a pattern that is likely to continue with the current injury concerns. St. Pauli, on the other hand, has already scored five times in its first two league games and is likely to have chances against the leaky visitors’ defense. The boldest bet is on over 3.5 goals, which seems quite attractive given the odds of 3.8. Augsburg’s games have exceeded the 2.5-goal mark in 80% of cases, and the fast-paced 3-3 spectacle against Dortmund shows that St. Pauli is also capable of scoring goals. While the bookmakers see St. Pauli as the clear favorites, the combination of offensive play and defensive personnel concerns on both sides could make for a high-scoring afternoon spectacle at Millerntor.

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