FC St. Pauli – SC Freiburg
Our St. Pauli – Freiburg betting tip is: Pauli scores 1st HZ – 2.12 odds
- If Pauli scores at home, they always score in the first half
- In five away games, SCF conceded in the 1st half
- In the first leg, the bet would also be
An exciting Bundesliga duel between FC St. Pauli and SC Freiburg is scheduled for Saturday at the Millerntor Stadium. The Hamburgers, currently in 14th place in the table, were recently beaten 2-0 by RB Leipzig – despite being in a superior position in the final phase. Interestingly, St. Pauli have scored very few goals in their last few games: less than 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of their last five games. Freiburg, on the other hand, are coming to the Millerntor with a tailwind.
Coach Julian Schuster’s team celebrated a narrow 1-0 victory against Heidenheim, with Vincenzo Grifo scoring the decisive goal. With 33 points and 6th place in the table, the team from the Breisgau region are still on course for a place in Europe – only two points separate them from fifth-placed VfB Stuttgart. It will be interesting to see how the new Grifo/Beste duo fare against Hamburg, who have traditionally been strong at home. Find out who will come out on top in this clash in our St. Pauli – Freiburg betting tip.
St. Pauli – Freiburg info
- Stadium: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
- Date and time: 15.02.2025, 3:30 pm
- Competition: Bundesliga, Matchday 22
- Broadcast: SKY
St. Pauli Form & Record Check
St. Pauli are currently going through a difficult phase in the Bundesliga. After two convincing wins against Union Berlin (3:0) and away in Heidenheim (2:0), they recently drew 1:1 against Augsburg and lost 2:0 at RB Leipzig. The offense in particular is proving to be a problem area – they have scored a maximum of one goal in four of the last five games.
Interestingly, the team has settled into 14th place in the table, with a three-point gap to both Union Berlin above and Hoffenheim below. Their defensive stability is remarkable – in 80% of their last matches, fewer than two goals were scored in the first half. Johannes Eggestein is one of the few bright spots in the offense with remarkable shooting accuracy.
New financial upswing?
Parallel to the sporting development, the club achieved a significant coup off the pitch: the newly founded cooperative raised over €20 million, enabling the club to secure a majority stake in the Millerntor Stadium. This financial stability could also have a positive impact on sporting development in the medium term, although avoiding relegation remains the primary goal.
St. Pauli Facts & Analysis
- In four of the last five games max. one own goal
- In 80% of the last games less than two goals in half one
- Two Bundesliga home games without a win
With the upcoming home game against SC Freiburg in mind, coach Alexander Blessin is likely to stick to his proven 3-4-3 formation. After the 0-2 defeat against Leipzig, however, there could well be one or two personnel changes. Vasilj is still set in goal. The back three will likely be formed by Wahl, Smith and Nemeth again, with Van der Heyden standing by as an alternative.
The midfield will be organized by the two stabilizers Sands and Irvine, flanked by the dynamic wing players Treu and – after Saliakas’ injury – probably Van der Heyden again. In offense, Eggestein is likely to play as a central striker, supported by Boukhalfa and Weißhaupt on the wings. It will be interesting to see whether Metcalfe, who has been struggling recently, will be fit in time to be an option.
Freiburg Form & Record Check
SC Freiburg are currently showing an interesting form curve after two consecutive wins, after the team previously conceded three defeats. In particular, the clear defeats against Frankfurt (1:4) and Stuttgart (0:4) revealed defensive weaknesses that are not usual for the otherwise so stable Freiburg team. At least they managed a narrow 1-0 win against Heidenheim, with Vincenzo Grifo scoring the decisive goal.
Lying in 6th place in the table, Julian Schuster’s team is fighting to catch up with the international places. They are only two points behind VfB Stuttgart, but their current form is pointing downwards – in the last five games, the team has already conceded ten goals. The competition between Grifo and newcomer Jan-Niklas Beste is developing interestingly, and it could open up new tactical options for the team from the Breisgau region.
Second half too harmless
One may well wonder whether the recent fluctuations in performance are not also related to the lack of consistency in defense. It is particularly noticeable that Freiburg often lose their way in the second half – they have not won a single game after the break in their last five matches. There is no doubting the quality in the squad, as Grifo and Dōan’s precise finishes show, but the team is currently lacking the necessary stability over 90 minutes.
Freiburg facts & analysis
- Two wins in a row
- Ten goals conceded in last five games
- Not a single win in the 2nd half in last five games
Coach Julian Schuster is likely to rely on the tried and tested 4-2-3-1 formation at SC Freiburg, which proved successful in the 1-0 win against Heidenheim. Atubolu will be in goal again, with Sildillia, Ginter, Lienhart and captain Günter likely to form the back four in front of him. Höfler and Maximilian Eggestein will probably occupy the central midfield positions again.
It could be interesting in attack: While Grifo seems set to start after scoring the winning goal against Heidenheim, Doan and Dinkçi are likely to occupy the other attacking positions. Höler is expected to play as a sole striker. Schuster will continue to be without the injured Kyereh, Muslija and Ogbus, while Gregoritsch may at least be back in the squad after his illness.
St. Pauli – Freiburg head to head & statistics
The last meeting between St. Pauli and Freiburg took place just a few months ago: in September 2024, St. Pauli pulled off an upset with a comfortable 3-0 win at the Europa-Park Stadium.
In October 2022, Freiburg came out on top 2-1 in a thrilling DFB Cup tie after extra time. A year earlier, the Sport-Club dominated a friendly match 3-0.
High-scoring encounters shape the history: In 80% of the last five games, more than 2.5 goals were scored. The second division duel in April 2016, when Freiburg celebrated a 4-3 victory, was particularly spectacular. In October 2015, St. Pauli managed a narrow 1-0 home victory.
