Five winless games against Osasuna weigh heavily on Sevilla FC, and now, in the midst of a crisis in the table, the Andalusians welcome the Rojillos back to the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán on Saturday afternoon. With only 13 points in 13th place and Osasuna two places behind with 11 points, this is a real basement battle in La Liga. After their surprise triumph against Barcelona, Sevilla suffered a harsh blow with two home defeats against Mallorca and a clear 0-3 defeat at Atlético Madrid, where individual mistakes such as Nianzou’s yellow card and a penalty revealed defensive weaknesses. The personnel situation is further exacerbated: Isaac Romero is out with adductor problems, Alexis Sánchez is unavailable, leaving Akor Adams as the only real center forward for coach Matías Almeyda. Osasuna also travels with personnel concerns, as striker Ante Budimir is struggling with a soleus muscle injury, while Iker Benito and Valentín Rosier are out long term and there are further doubts over Lucas Torró. The Rojillos recently secured a goalless draw against Oviedo, but three defeats in their last five league games highlight their current slump. Despite all their problems, bookmakers see Sevilla as slight favorites with just under 48%, while Osasuna has around 29%.
- Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Seville
- Date and time: November 8, 2025, 4:15 p.m.
- Competition: La Liga (matchday 12)
Our recommendation is primarily based on goals, specifically over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. This is based on Sevilla’s glaring defensive weaknesses, as the team has conceded at least one goal in each of its last five games, with each of those games ending with more than 2.5 goals. This pattern is reinforced by mental problems following fan protests and three home defeats in the last five home games. The tense personnel situation of both teams also favors an open game: Almeyda has to reshuffle Sevilla’s attack without Isaac Romero, while Osasuna has to do without Ante Budimir, but is in good form offensively and has remained unbeaten in its last five away league games. The market values a home win at around 2.10, a draw at 3.40, and an away win at 3.50. Due to the offensive strength of both teams, Over 2.5 goals and Both teams to score: Yes appear to be attractive markets. A double chance X2 is riskier, but could offer value given Sevilla’s personnel and form issues. The primary tip is Over 2.5 goals, with Both Teams to Score: Yes as a secondary tip. Those looking to play it safer could consider the double chance Draw/Away Win as a hedge.
Sevilla form & record check
Sevilla has won only two of its last five competitive games, in different competitions, and has had a particularly poor run in the league with three defeats in four league games. Their only other win was a 4-1 victory in the Copa del Rey against third-division side Toledo. All five games ended with more than 2.5 goals, and Sevilla scored at least once in the first half in four of those games. The attacking play produces goals, but the defense seems unstable, as they conceded at least one goal in each of the five games, often several. With 13 points from 11 matchdays, Sevilla is only in 13th place, the gap to the top is small, but the recent run has dampened the mood. The fans already loudly criticized the team in Madrid. Captain César Azpilicueta emphasized his dissatisfaction with the high number of goals conceded. Without a significantly more stable defense, it will be difficult to build consistency. Matías Almeyda is under pressure to get points, especially at home against Osasuna. In the short term, tactical measures against the defense are a priority: more compact midfield pressing, better cover for the fullbacks, and more consistent ball recovery in their own half could help. The focus should be on defensive stability in training sessions, with a clear distribution of tasks for set pieces and, if necessary, a switch to a more defensive formation or fresh center backs to stabilize the team.
Coach Matías Almeyda is expected to start with a 4-2-3-1 formation, but with forced adjustments up front due to the absence of Isaac Romero. The expected starting lineup is as follows: Vlachodimos in goal, César Azpilicueta, Marcao, Suazo, and Carmona in defense. Mendy and Sow are expected to play in defensive midfield, while Peque Fernández will operate as a number 10. Juanlu Sánchez is likely to start on the right wing and Rubén Vargas on the left, with Akor Adams in the center of the attack. Isaac Romero is out with an adductor injury and his return is uncertain, which is why Akor Adams is currently the only available center forward in the squad. César Azpilicueta could return to the starting lineup after his injury break and is expected to improve defensive stability. This lineup is a prediction; the official starting lineup will only be confirmed shortly before kickoff.
Osasuna Form & Record Check
Osasuna is in 15th place in the table with 11 points, one point behind Real Sociedad and two ahead of Levante. Their league form has been inconsistent, with two wins, one loss, and two draws from their last five league games. Most recently, they drew 0-0 with Real Oviedo, lost 1-0 to Atlético, and lost 3-2 to Celta Vigo despite taking the lead. The team has shown relative stability in the first half, going unbeaten in the last five games before halftime, but they lack consistency in front of goal. The defense has conceded goals in three consecutive games recently, and overall, the team lacks punch up front. The picture remains similar across all competitions. A clear 5-0 victory in the Copa del Rey against fourth-division CD Sant Jordi is positive, but has limited significance for league performance. The personnel situation is exacerbated by injuries: Ante Budimir is definitely out against Sevilla due to a soleus muscle injury, Lucas Torró missed training after an ankle injury, Iker Benito is out for months after cruciate ligament surgery, and Valentín Rosier is still in rehabilitation training. Coach Alessio Lisci will find it difficult to create consistency and goal-scoring opportunities as long as the offense is weakened by personnel issues. In the short term, defensive stability in the first half and a pragmatic approach are crucial; in the medium term, returning players or new signings are needed to improve the goal tally.
Coach Alessio Lisci is likely to opt for a 4-4-2 system against Sevilla, but will have to make personnel changes: regular striker Ante Budimir is definitely out after suffering a calf injury in Sóleo and is expected to be sidelined for three to four weeks. Raúl García and Sheraldo Becker are the most likely candidates to replace him at the top of the attack. Iker Benito, who has been out with a long-term injury, remains sidelined for months after undergoing surgery. In defense, there are unlikely to be any surprises with goalkeeper Herrera and defenders Boyomo, Catena, and Bretones. Unusually, Moncayola could take over the right-back position. Iker Muñoz and Víctor Muñoz are expected to provide the necessary balance in central midfield. Rubén García and Moi Gómez will provide creativity on the wings. Lucas Torró remains doubtful after being unable to train at full capacity. The international break could see Budimir return for the game against Real Sociedad on November 22, but he is currently unavailable.
Sevilla – Osasuna Head-to-head & statistics
Sevilla’s record against Osasuna in the last five games is very negative from the hosts’ point of view: no wins, two wins for Osasuna and three draws. The most recent defeat in April 2025, 0-1 in Pamplona, underscores Sevilla’s ongoing difficulties against this opponent. A recurring pattern is the lack of goals, as in all five encounters, no more than one goal was scored in the first half, and four of the five games remained below 2.5 goals after 90 minutes. Only the game in February 2023 ended with a lot of goals, with a score of 2-3. The draws in December 2024 and January 2024, both 1-1, as well as the 0-0 draw in September 2023, point to closely contested, defensive-minded duels in which Sevilla often failed to achieve the desired impact at home. Sevilla must find ways to revitalize their offense against Osasuna while maintaining defensive stability. Osasuna presents itself as a difficult, compact opponent against whom patience and tactical adjustments are necessary to end the negative streak.
