Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid
Our Real Madrid – Atletico tip is: Under 2.5 goals – 2.08 odds
- The bet would have been successful 15 times in the last 19 La Liga duels
- In the last ten Atleti league away games, the bet would have been successful seven times
- In the last twelve home games between Real and Atleti, the bet would have been successful eleven times
When Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid meet, the whole of Spain stands still – and this time the omens could hardly be more exciting. While the Whites are looking to make amends after a setback in La Liga, Atlético travel to the Bernabéu hoping to once again act as a stumbling block for their city rivals. The most recent duels show that the Rojiblancos have developed into a real bogey team for Real in recent years, especially away from home. Can Diego Simeone’s team cause a stir again, or will Carlo Ancelotti’s team strike back? A derby that promises emotion, intensity and history! Find out who will prevail in the city derby in our Real Madrid – Atletico betting tip.
League leaders against second in the table: While Real are currently top of the league with 49 points after 22 games, Atletico are second in the table with 48 points. Madrid won 3-2 against Leganes in a thrilling Copa del Rey quarter-final tie during the week. In the league, however, they lost 0-1 to Espanyol. Atletico, on the other hand, won their last league game 5-0 against Getafe, extending their winning streak to three games. It will be interesting to see who is leading La Liga at the end of the matchday.
Real Madrid – Atletico Info
- Date & time: 08/02/2025, 9:00 p.m.
- Venue: Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
- Competition: La Liga, match day 23
- TV broadcast/livestream: DAZN
Real Madrid form & record check
Real Madrid go into the derby against Atlético Madrid with a mixed record. In the last five direct duels in all competitions, Carlo Ancelotti’s team have suffered two defeats (one win, two draws), after only being beaten as often as their city rivals in the previous 15 games (six wins, seven draws, two defeats).
The situation is particularly difficult for the Whites in LaLiga: they have not beaten Atlético in four league games (three draws, one defeat). The last time Real Madrid had a longer winless streak in league derbies was between February 2014 and February 2016, when they could not win in six consecutive league games (two draws, four defeats). Furthermore, the Colchoneros have picked up points in eight of their last 11 league games at the Santiago Bernabéu (three wins, five draws, three defeats), earning 14 points – as many as in their previous 26 away games there (three wins, five draws, 18 defeats).
Two consecutive defeats on the cards?
Real Madrid’s last game saw them suffer an unexpected 1-0 defeat at Espanyol. This means that the Whites are facing the prospect of two consecutive defeats in LaLiga for the first time since May 2019. At that time, the team under Zinedine Zidane also lost twice in a row. Real Madrid last suffered two consecutive league defeats without scoring a goal in February 2007 under Fabio Capello.
Individually, Jude Bellingham is coming into focus: the English superstar has not scored in any of his five competitive derbies against Atlético. He has played more games against no other opponent for Real Madrid without scoring.
Carlo Ancelotti also has a mixed record against Atlético de Madrid. As a Real Madrid coach, he has only won 35% of his competitive matches against the Rojiblancos (eight wins, seven draws, eight defeats in 23 games). Ancelotti’s win rate as Real coach is even lower against Manchester City (17% – one win, three draws, two defeats in six games).
Real Madrid facts & analysis
- Without a league win against Atleti in four games
- Possible first back-to-back league defeats since 2019
- Ancelotti has only a 35% win rate against Atleti
Atletico form & record check
Atlético de Madrid travel to the Santiago Bernabéu with an impressive record from recent years. Diego Simeone’s side have not been beaten in eight of their last 11 La Liga trips to Real Madrid (three wins, five draws, three defeats), picking up 14 points – as many as they did in their previous 26 away games at the Bernabéu. Following their 2-1 win at Barcelona in the Lluís Companys Stadium in December, Atlético could become the first club to win both at Barcelona and at Real Madrid in the same season for the fourth time in their history. The last club to achieve this feat were César Luis Menotti’s men in 1987/88.
Despite this positive statistic, there have been setbacks in recent weeks. Atlético have lost two of their last five LaLiga away games (three wins) and thus only one game less than in their previous 15 away games combined (seven wins, five draws, three defeats).
Griezmann can against Real
In terms of scoring, Antoine Griezmann remains one of the mainstays. The Frenchman has scored nine goals against Real Madrid in 30 competitive derbies. Only against Celta Vigo (eleven goals) and Sevilla (ten goals) has he been more prolific for Atlético Madrid. He has also scored nine goals against Getafe, Valencia and Rayo Vallecano.
Coach Diego Simeone has played 25 competitive games against Carlo Ancelotti in his time in charge of Atlético (nine defeats, nine wins and seven draws). He has lost more games to no other manager, with the exception of Luis Enrique, against whom he also lost nine games (four wins, two draws and nine defeats in 15 games).
With the current season and the historical record in mind, Atlético Madrid could once again have a chance of causing Real Madrid major problems at the Bernabéu.
Atletico Facts & Analysis
- Eight of the last 11 away games at Real unbeaten
- Opportunity to win against Barca and Real away for the fourth time in history
- Griezmann already has nine goals against Real
Real Madrid are expected to line up again in a 4-2-3-1 system under the direction of Carlo Ancelotti. So far, Madrid have won nine of their ten La Liga home games, so it remains to be seen whether they can improve their current poor record against Atleti.
Atletico will line up again in the familiar 4-4-2 system under the direction of Diego Simeone. The Rojiblancos will try to continue their unbeaten streak against Real.
Real Madrid – Atletico Comparison & Stats
Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid have met 198 times in official matches throughout their history. The balance is in favor of the Whites, who have won 102 of those duels. Atlético, on the other hand, have emerged victorious in 48 games, while 48 encounters have ended without a winner. Real Madrid also have the upper hand in terms of goals scored and conceded: 340 to Atlético’s 253. The majority of these encounters have taken place in LaLiga (175), but the city rivals have also faced off against each other in the Champions League, the Spanish Cup and the Super Cup on numerous occasions.
Direct comparison (H2H)
