Osasuna – Sevilla
Budimir scores, Sevilla stumbles – and it is precisely in this tense atmosphere that the Estadio El Sadar opens its gates on Thursday evening. Osasuna has moved up to 11th place in the table with two wins in a row (3-2 in Valladolid, 2-1 against Girona) and 41 points. Suddenly, European dreams are in the air, especially as Raúl García is hinting at a comeback after an eye injury and Abel Bretones is consistently impressive on the left side. On the other side, Sevilla’s new coach Caparrós is already facing an acute relegation battle: five league games without a win, most recently a lackluster 1-1 draw against Alavés, only six points ahead of the relegation zone and, on top of that, Gudelj’s suspension. El Sadar is considered a stumbling block for the Andalusians anyway – it has been a long time since a visiting team celebrated there with euphoria.
Osasuna – Sevilla info
- Venue: Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea
- Date and time: 24.04.2025, 7:00 p.m.
- Competition: La Liga (matchday 33)
Osasuna form & record check
Sevilla are deeper in the mire than ever. Four defeats in five league games, not a single lead after the break, and Nyland has been beaten at least once in every game. Particularly alarming is the fact that the team has failed to score in the second half of each of their last five games – a crippling pattern. 37 points mean 15th place in the table, a wafer-thin cushion above the relegation zone. The only hope is the return of Kike Salas and the wild card option of García Pascual; Adams, Vargas, and Nianzou are still missing. Caparrós is calling for defensive discipline, but without punch in attack, every game remains a tightrope walk.
Osasuna are unbeaten in their last five direct encounters: two wins and three draws, including a 2-1 victory after extra time in the 2023 Copa del Rey and a 1-1 draw in the first leg of this season. Typical is the lack of goals before the break – not once have more than one goal been scored in the first 45 minutes, so under 1.5 is almost a certainty. After that, the spaces open up: in four games, both teams scored at least once, but they often neutralized each other in the finish. For Sevilla, a point in Pamplona already feels like a small relief.
Sevilla form & record check
Predicted line-up Osasuna (5-3-2): Herrera – Areso, Boyomo, Catena, Herrando, Bretones – Moncayola, Torró, Oroz – Rubén García, Budimir. Raúl García is likely to start on the bench. Predicted Sevilla line-up (4-2-3-1): Nyland – Carmona, Badé, Kike Salas, Pedrosa – Agoumé, Sow – Lukebakio, Peque Fernández, Ejuke – Isaac. García Pascual is the first candidate to bring fresh legs into the attack. Neither coach is planning any experiments: Osasuna is banking on continuity, Sevilla on damage limitation.
The statistics put Osasuna in the role of favorites. Home win odds? Reasonable, considering that Sevilla has won only 17.4% of its games in Pamplona since 2000 and is currently heading for five games without a win. Goals are in the air: Four of Osasuna’s last five matches have seen over 2.5 goals, Budimir is on fire and Sevilla’s defense is shaky. At the same time, both teams tend to hold back after the 60th minute – all of Sevilla’s recent matches have seen under 1.5 goals after that point. Those looking for risk should go for “Under 1.5 goals – 2nd half”; a more conservative option is “Osasuna to win” combined with “Both teams to score: Yes.” This is supported not only by the statistics, but also by gut feeling, which is rarely wrong at El Sadar.
H2H Osasuna – Sevilla Head-to-head & Statistics
The record from the last five head-to-head matches currently favors Osasuna slightly: two wins – including a 2-1 victory after extra time in the 2023 Copa del Rey – and three draws, most recently in December 2024 and January of the same year. Sevilla, on the other hand, has been waiting for a win for five games, with Osasuna remaining unbeaten after regular time each time.
The extreme lack of goals in the first halves is striking. In all five games, not a single goal was scored before the break – a clear trend: the first 45 minutes reliably deliver less than 1.5 goals. Interestingly, both teams only really step on the gas in the second half.
Also noteworthy is the current run of draws in the second halves: three matches ended level after the break. This is not only reflected in the bare figures, but also in the impression: in the final third, both teams neutralize each other with a lot of discipline, so that one team rarely pulls away decisively.
A look at the offensive statistics makes it clear: in four of the last five games, both teams scored at least once, with only one game ending goalless (the 0-0 draw in 2023). Osasuna looks much more stable defensively, with no defeats in regular time, while Sevilla has been particularly weak at the back.
