FSV Mainz – Werder Bremen
The Bundesliga weekend is once again full of exciting games. Among others, FSV Mainz and Werder Bremen will face each other in the Saturday conference of matchday 20. It’s an important game for both teams and both want to win. Find out who will win in this duel and who is worth betting on in our Mainz – Bremen betting tip.
Mainz are still at the bottom of the table and are longing for a win to keep their hopes of staying up. Last weekend, the team once again suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat. Against Frankfurt, Mainz also failed to create any offense and were unable to exert enough pressure on their opponents to take home anything worthwhile.
Werder, on the other hand, are currently brimming with self-confidence and claimed a deserved 3-1 win against Freiburg in their last match. They moved up the table as a result and are now just eight points off the international qualification places. However, Bremen’s main priority is to secure their place in the league as early as possible before looking upwards
Mainz – Bremen info
- Date & Time: 03.02.2024, 3:30 pm
- Playing venue: Mewa Arena, Mainz
- Competition: Bundesliga, Matchday 20
- TV broadcast: Sky
Mainz Form & Balance Check
Mainz’s winless streak seems to have no end. The most recent defeat against Frankfurt was the 8th game in a row without a three-pointer for the 05ers. The team have picked up just two points from their last four competitive matches, leaving them in 17th place on eleven points. They are currently one point clear of the relegation places, but the drop zone is already six points away.
However, Mainz still have a catch-up game next week due to the canceled match against Union Berlin, so they could pick up more points there. A major problem so far is their disastrous home record, with Mainz picking up just one win and a meagre five points at home
Amiri on the move
Mainz’s attacking weakness has been a recurring theme throughout the season. The management is now taking action and is likely to make a big-name signing in the form of Nadiem Amiri from Bayer Leverkusen. The former international has not been able to get beyond the role of bench warmer at Bayer and has only played 81 minutes this season under coach Xavi Alonso.
At Mainz, however, the 27-year-old can hope to play an integral role, as Mainz urgently need more impetus and creativity in attack. It remains to be seen whether Amiri can give Mainz’s sluggish attack a big enough push to keep them in the league. However, Amiri has already proven that he can do a lot, both in Hoffenheim and Leverkusen
Mainz facts & analysis
- Did you know that FSV Mainz score 29% of their goals between the 61-75 minute mark? That’s the highest figure in the league.
- FSV Mainz have failed to score in 3 of their 8 home games in the Bundesliga this season.
- FSV Mainz have conceded a goal in each of their last 5 matches.
Bremen Form & Balance Check
Bremen are currently on a small wave of success and have yet to lose in 2024. A strong two wins, including the 1:0 victory at Bayern, and a draw are on the books this year, allowing Werder to establish themselves in the midfield of the league.
Coach Ole Werner’s team moved up four places with their latest win and are in single figures for the first time this season. With 23 points, Bremen are already eleven points clear of the relegation places and are well on the way to putting an early end to the relegation battle
Transfer mood
Bremen already made one move on the transfer market during the winter break. The 22-year-old Argentinian Julián Malatini was actually brought in for the defense, but scored in his first appearance against Freiburg after just one minute on the pitch. Now the next transfer coup is on the cards.
Skelly Alvero joins the Weser from French club Olympique Lyon. The 2.02-metre-tall playmaker is on loan until the end of the season with an option to buy and should provide Bremen with further depth in the squad
Bremen facts & analysis
- Werder Bremen have scored in each of their last 7 games.
- Werder Bremen have failed to score in 3 of their 9 away games in the Bundesliga this season.
- When Werder Bremen are 1-0 down in away games, they win 0% of these matches.
Predicted lineup – last update on February 1, 2024
Mainzer form up in a 3-4-2, which becomes a five-man back line at the back. Compared to the 1:0 defeat against Frankfurt, we expect Edimilson Fernandes back in the starting line-up, who had to miss the game against Frankfurt due to injury. Dominik Kohr is expected to take his place on the bench for the time being. Ludovic Ajorque could also return to the starting line-up in attack, should the coach want to give Karim Onisiwo a break.
Bremen will also line up in a 3-4-2 formation. There is hardly any reason for coach Werner to change anything. Mitchel Weiser may still be out injured and will be replaced by Olivier Deman. New signing Malatini would also be an option for the defense. Should Bremen rotate up front, Rafael Borré is available as a center forward
Mainz – Bremen head-to-head & stats
Mainz and Bremen have already played 36 matches against each other. Bremen have the edge with 17:12 wins. Werder won the first leg 4-0, giving Bremen their first win of the season. If we look at the record of the last five matches, there are two wins for both sides and one draw. The first meeting between the two teams dates back to 1965, when Mainz won the DFB Cup match 1-0
- In the last 33 duels, FSV Mainz have left the pitch as winners 11 times. 7 games ended in a draw, Werder Bremen won 15 times. Werder Bremen have a goal difference of 54-45.
- FSV Mainz win the first half in 34% of their games, Werder Bremen in 22% of their games
- On average FSV Mainz scores 1 goals against Werder Bremen and Werder Bremen scores 1.4 goals against FSV Mainz.
- The average number of goals in the first half in meetings between FSV Mainz and Werder Bremen is 0.6.
- FSV Mainz scores 1.67 goals on average in home matches and Werder Bremen scores 1.29 goals on average in away matches (on average).
