Leeds’ impressive home record of 380 days without defeat in 23 league games will be put to the test on Saturday afternoon when Tottenham Hotspur visit Elland Road. The hosts, currently 12th in the table with eight points, welcome the fourth-placed Spurs, who have three more points to their name. Tottenham travel to Elland Road on the back of a run of three draws in their last four games in all competitions, including a disappointing 2-2 draw with Bodo/Glimt in the Champions League. Thomas Frank will be without Dominic Solanke, who is out after undergoing minor ankle surgery. Daniel Farke’s Leeds once again proved their resilience in their recent 2-2 draw with Bournemouth, when they fought back to equalize in the final minute despite two avoidable set pieces. The head-to-head encounters promise to be spectacular: Tottenham have won four of the last five meetings, most recently 4-1 in May 2023, with all five games seeing over 2.5 goals scored.
- Venue: Elland Road, Leeds
- Date and time: October 4, 2025, 1:30 p.m.
- Competition: Premier League (Matchday 7)
Leeds form & record check
Leeds have shown mixed results in the Premier League season, giving cause for both hope and caution. With eight points from five games and 12th place in the table, the team is presenting itself as a typical promoted side, achieving respectable results but still lacking consistency. The recent match against Bournemouth highlighted both sides of their current form: after a strong performance for long periods and a 2-1 lead thanks to goals from Rodon and Longstaff, Leeds conceded an equalizer to Kroupi in stoppage time. After the game, Farke emphasized that his team dominated the challenges and counter-pressing. The impressive 3-1 away win at Wolves underlined their potential, with Anton Stach’s spectacular free kick goal particularly memorable. Leeds remain a force at home: no visiting team has taken three points from Elland Road in 380 days and 23 league games, with even Newcastle kept virtually chance-less. The injury situation is currently clouding the picture considerably. Daniel James is out for four to six weeks with an ankle injury, Wilfried Gnonto continues to struggle with calf problems, and goalkeeper Lucas Perri is back in training but is unlikely to be ready for action.
Leeds are expected to line up in their usual 4-3-3 formation, with Daniel Farke seeing little reason to make any major changes. However, the coach will have to do without key wingers: Daniel James is out for four to six weeks after suffering an ankle injury in training, while Wilfried Gnonto continues to struggle with calf problems. Karl Darlow is likely to start in goal, although Lucas Perri has returned to team training. In defense, the tried-and-tested pairing of Joe Rodon and Pascal Struijk could form the center, flanked by Jayden Bogle and Gabriel Gudmundsson. The midfield will probably be marshaled by Ethan Ampadu, supported by Sean Longstaff and Anton Stach. Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Noah Okafor are expected to lead the line, with Brenden Aaronson possibly occupying the third attacking position. Of course, this lineup remains speculative until the official announcement shortly before kickoff.
Tottenham Form & Record Check
Tottenham are in mixed form, oscillating between hope and disappointment. The Spurs are in 4th place in the table with eleven points from six games, but their recent performances have revealed clear weaknesses. The 2-2 draw against Bodo/Glimt in the Champions League was symptomatic: conceding two goals against a Norwegian opponent is not what is expected of them. The team has not lost in its last five games, but has only managed two wins. The 1-1 draw at home against Wolves highlighted the problems in attack, with Palhinha only saving the equalizer in injury time. Injury worries are weighing heavily on the team, especially Solanke’s ankle operation, which has robbed the attack of its most important striker. Thomas Frank has to get creative, because with Kulusevski, Maddison, and Tel, he is missing other key players for European games due to eligibility issues. Van de Ven recently took over the captain’s armband for the first time and scored with a header against Bodo/Glimt, underlining his growing importance. Kudus and new signing Simons are expected to remedy the creative drought. The defense is solid, but the offense lacks punch without the injured regulars. Crystal Palace are only one point ahead of Tottenham, which shows how close it is at the top of the table.
Thomas Frank is likely to field his preferred 4-3-3 system against Leeds, even if the personnel situation requires some interesting decisions. The absence of several key players due to Champions League regulations is particularly painful. Kulusevski, Maddison, and Tel are unavailable, which significantly limits creativity in attack. In central defense, Kevin Danso could start alongside van de Ven after Drăgușin was also ruled out. The midfield will likely be organized by Palhinha as a defensive midfielder, while Bentancur and Sarr are expected to take on the box-to-box roles. In attack, Richarlison will have to fill in for the injured Solanke, flanked by Johnson and the promising Kudus.
H2H Leeds – Tottenham Head-to-Head Comparison & Statistics
The record of the last five encounters shows clear dominance by Tottenham. The Spurs have won four of the last five duels, with Leeds only celebrating once. That was in May 2021 with a 3-1 home win, but that was over four years ago. After this Leeds victory, Tottenham went on a remarkable run, winning all of the following four encounters and scoring at least two goals in each of them. The most impressive of these was the most recent match in May 2023, when Tottenham triumphed 4-1 at Elland Road. A look at the goal statistics reveals high-scoring encounters between the two teams. In all five games, at least three goals were scored, often significantly more. Leeds conceded goals in each of these games, while Tottenham was consistently successful. The Spurs scored at least two goals in each of the last four encounters.
The tip for “Both teams to score: Yes” at around 1.7 is based on Tottenham’s impressive offense, which has scored in every game this season, while Leeds consistently creates chances at home and is confidently defending its 380-day unbeaten streak at Elland Road. The bookmakers rate Tottenham as slight favorites at 2.5 despite their injury concerns, but analysis shows that Leeds’ home strength and Calvert-Lewin’s aerial dominance against Spurs’ weakened defense without Bissouma and Maddison certainly suggest goals for both sides. The second tip on “Over 1.5 goals – 2nd half” at 2.1 comes from Leeds’ pattern of starting cautiously, with 80% of their recent first halves ending in draws before the games pick up pace. Spurs mirror this trend, scoring in 80% of their games after the break, with Simons already contributing two assists in three substitute appearances. The draw at 3.5 may seem risky, but Leeds’ home form and Tottenham’s three draws in four games suggest that Frank’s team could well drop points without key regulars.
