On Saturday, two teams that are both well below their expectations for the season will face each other at the Stadio Olimpico. Lazio welcomes Torino for a direct duel between two teams in crisis, with the Biancocelesti in 12th place with six points, while the Granata are in 15th place with only four points. Maurizio Sarri’s team comes into the game with renewed confidence after a convincing 3-0 win in Genoa, where Cancellieri, Castellanos and Zaccagni sealed the deal. Torino, on the other hand, suffered a bitter 2-1 defeat in Parma, despite Ngonge’s equalizer, which was not enough to counter Pellegrino’s brace. The personnel situation is causing both coaches headaches: Lazio will now also be without Marusic, who is out with a thigh injury, while Pellegrini is doubtful after suffering a knee injury. Turin will continue to be without Ismajli, who has suffered a muscle injury and will be out for three to four weeks. Baroni’s tactical approach at the Olympic Stadium will be particularly controversial, as the Turin coach is already under scrutiny after a weak start to the season, especially as Daniele De Rossi is being touted as a possible successor following his departure from Roma.
- Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome
- Date and time: October 4, 2025, 3:00 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 6)
Lazio Rome Form & Record Check
Lazio are enjoying an inconsistent Serie A season, which is perfectly reflected in their recent away win at Genoa. After two painful defeats against Sassuolo (1-0) and AS Roma (without conceding a goal), the clear 3-0 victory at Marassi came as something of a surprise. Cancellieri, Castellanos, and Zaccagni made sure of that, but the performance was more of a blip than a sign of consistent strength. With six points after five matchdays, Lazio are 12th in the table, just one point behind Udinese. It is particularly noteworthy that the team has not drawn a single game in their last five league matches. Either victory or defeat, there are no half measures for this Lazio side. The biggest problem remains the injury crisis in midfield: Rovella is still out with pubic bone problems, while Vecino is struggling with thigh problems. Marusic recently joined them with a muscle injury, while Pellegrini is also doubtful after suffering a knee injury. These absences are forcing Sarri to come up with creative solutions, which does not exactly promote tactical stability. There is a clear trend in the second halves, with 80% of recent games remaining under 1.5 goals in the second half. Castellanos remains an important player with his assists, while Zaccagni is proving his scoring prowess.
Lazio are likely to line up in their tried-and-tested 4-2-3-1 formation against Turin. However, personnel concerns continue to mount: Marusic, who has suffered a muscle injury, now joins Rovella, Vecino, and Lazzari, who have been out for some time. Pellegrini is also doubtful after suffering a knee injury. Belahyane could return to the squad after serving his suspension in the derby. In midfield, where Sarri has had to improvise recently, the duo of Cataldi and Guendouzi are likely to be preferred. In attack, Cancellieri could well return after scoring against Genoa. The predicted starting lineup would see Provedel in goal, while the defense could consist of Hysaj, Gila, Romagnoli, and Nuno Tavares. Behind striker Castellanos, Isaksen, Cancellieri, and Zaccagni are likely to line up, provided the latter has recovered from his minor injuries.
Turin Form & Record Check
Turin is in deep crisis and is in 15th place in the table with only four points from five league games. The recent 1-2 defeat at Parma once again revealed the Granata’s problems: despite Ngonge’s beautiful equalizer, they lacked the consistency needed to hold on to the result. Pellegrino punished their defensive vulnerability with a brace, once again highlighting Torino’s weaknesses in decisive moments. The numbers speak for themselves. In their last five league games, Torino have managed only one win, a surprise 1-0 victory at AS Roma. Otherwise, defeats have alternated with goalless draws, as shown by the draw against Fiorentina and the bitter 3-0 home defeat against Atalanta. It is noteworthy that 80% of Torino’s half-time results are low-scoring, both in the first and second halves. Marco Baroni’s position as coach is coming under increasing pressure. Reports of a possible signing of Daniele De Rossi, who recently terminated his contract with Roma, highlight the tense situation. Injury concerns are further exacerbating the situation: Ismajli is out for three to four weeks with a muscle injury, while Anjorin is suffering from fasciitis in both feet. With only a one-point lead over Fiorentina, Turin is in danger of falling to the bottom of the table, with a negative goal difference of minus eight underscoring the structural problems in attack and defense.
Turin are likely to line up in their usual 3-4-3 formation, even though Marco Baroni will have to make some adjustments due to the personnel situation. The Granata are facing a number of absences: In addition to Schuurs, who has been out for some time, and the injured Ilić, Ismajli is now also out with a thigh injury. Sazonov could therefore get a chance to start in the back three, while Coco and Maripán seem to be certain starters. Casadei is likely to play alongside Asllani in midfield, as Anjorin is also out with plantar fasciitis. The offensive line-up promises excitement: Ngonge, who recently impressed with a spectacular goal against Parma, could pose a threat alongside Simeone and Vlašić.
H2H Lazio Rome – Turin Head-to-head comparison & statistics
The balance of the last five meetings between Lazio and Torino clearly favors the Romans. They have three wins, one draw, and only one Torino victory. The most recent duel in March 2025 ended 1-1, after Lazio had previously won three games in a row. The matches are usually uneventful in the first half, but much livelier after the break. In all five games, the score was goalless or at most one goal at halftime. The second half then regularly brought the decision, with Lazio scoring after the break in four out of five cases. The games between the two teams usually remain within a manageable goal range. Four of the last five encounters ended with under 2.5 goals, with only Lazio’s spectacular 3-2 win in Turin in September 2024 breaking this pattern. Turin has been waiting for a win against the Biancocelesti for over two years, with their last victory dating back to April 2023.
The first tip of under 1.5 goals in the first half seems justified, considering Turin’s cautious approach and Lazio’s improvised midfield. Without Rovella and Vecino, the Biancocelesti lack their usual creativity in build-up play, while Turin have finished the first half with a maximum of one goal in four of their last five encounters. The Granata traditionally focus on compactness and take their time in building up play, which makes a slow start to the game likely. The second tip for a Lazio win in the second half is supported by the home record of Castellanos and Zaccagni, who often perform at their best after the break, while Turin, without injured center backs Ismajli and Schuurs, are increasingly vulnerable to late goals. Interestingly, the bookmakers see Turin as clear underdogs at odds of 5.3, but the tip for a draw at 3.6 could well offer value. With six regulars missing for Lazio and Turin’s tendency to draw 80% of their recent second halves, a point split seems more realistic than the betting markets suggest.
