Juventus has been waiting for a win for over a month, while Lazio is struggling with significant personnel problems in attack. The Bianconeri (7th place, 12 points) failed to score in their last two games, both in Como and against Real Madrid, highlighting their ongoing lack of ideas in attack. Lazio (12th place, 8 points) will have to do without top striker Castellanos, Rovella and the recently injured Cancellieri, which significantly limits their attacking options. Despite their obvious poor form, Juventus are considered slight favorites in the betting market.
The starting position thus offers an interesting contrast: Juventus with defensive and finishing problems, Lazio with massive losses in attack. Both sides are under pressure, but transfer and injury situations could have a decisive impact on the game.
- Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome
- Date and time: October 26, 2025, 8:45 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 8)
The recommended combination bet is Double Chance X2 (Juventus or draw) combined with under 2.5 goals. Lazio’s absences — especially Castellanos until December, as well as Rovella, Dele-Bashiru and probably Nuno Tavares — weaken their offense and control in midfield. Juventus have not won in over a month, but have remained relatively stable defensively recently.
Market prices are around 2.3 for Juventus and around 3.2 for a draw; given the personnel situation, we see value in X2. Under 2.5 goals seems plausible: around 80% of Juve’s recent games have followed this pattern, the last direct duel ended goalless, and in recent direct encounters, many goals were scored after the break. For those willing to take a risk, under 1.5 goals at halftime would be a speculative option, although last-minute team news on lineups and suspensions could still change the assessment.
Lazio Rome Form & Record Check
Lazio are 12th in the table with eight points and are going through a mixed phase: from their last five league games, they have only won once (3-0 in Genoa), drawn twice — including a goalless draw at Atalanta — and lost twice, including a 1-0 defeat in the derby against Roma. The offense looks weak, goalkeeper Provedel has kept the team in the game on several occasions, but there is a lack of punch up front.
The personnel situation is exacerbating the situation: in addition to long-term absentees such as Tavares, Pellegrini, and Rovella, winger Cancellieri is now also out for several weeks. Top striker Castellanos is unavailable due to muscle problems; in addition, Dele-Bashiru and Gigot are also missing as regular starters, which severely limits the options, especially in attack.
Lazio’s expected lineup against Juventus is heavily influenced by the numerous absences. With Castellanos, Rovella, Cancellieri, Tavares, Pellegrini, Dele-Bashiru, and Gigot all out, coach Maurizio Sarri will have to find creative solutions, especially in attack.
We can expect increased tactical compactness and possibly a more defensive formation, as regular strikers are missing and wing and midfield options are reduced.
Juventus Form & Record Check
Juventus is in a prolonged results crisis: seventh place, no wins in the last five league games (three draws, two defeats) and no goals scored in the first halves of the last five games. The recent 2-0 defeat in Como, with an early deficit, highlights the problems. Things have also been mixed internationally, with a 1-0 defeat to Real Madrid despite good chances and draws against Villarreal (2-2) and Atalanta (1-1).
The defense, once a strength, looks vulnerable — exacerbated by the absences of Bremer (return at the end of November) and Cabal (expected return in early November). Koopmeiners is falling short of expectations, and the rotation in attack with David and Openda competing with Vlahović is not yet providing the necessary punch. Finishing and decision-making problems in the penalty area, as well as tactical uncertainties and mental insecurity, are weighing on coach Igor Tudor, who is under considerable pressure.
Coach Igor Tudor is likely to opt for the 3-4-2-1 formation again against Lazio, despite numerous absences: Bremer (meniscus) is out, and Cabal and Milik are also unavailable. Gatti, Rugani, and Kelly could line up in a back three, with Kalulu expected to occupy the right flank.
Koopmeiners and Thuram are considered sure starters in midfield, with Cambiaso on the left. McKennie and Yıldız would provide creative impetus behind center forward Vlahović. New signings David and Openda are available as possible reinforcements and could bring a fresh dynamic to the team.
Lazio Rome – Juventus Head-to-Head Comparison & Statistics
The last five competitive matches between Lazio and Juventus have been very evenly matched: two wins each for both teams and one draw. The most recent encounter in May 2024 at the Olimpico ended 1-1, with Lazio winning 1-0 there in March 2024 and Juventus winning 1-0 away in October 2023. In the Coppa Italia semi-final in spring 2024, Juventus prevailed despite a 2-1 defeat in the second leg, having won the first leg 2-0.
The pattern in the first half is striking: in all five games, a maximum of 1.5 goals were scored, and four games were even goalless at half-time. Most of the decisions and goals were made after the break; in none of the five games were more than 3.5 goals scored. This history suggests another low-scoring encounter and cautious opening phases from both teams.
