Inter Milan enters the Derby della Madonnina as the current Serie A leader, playing at home and with a lot of momentum. Bookmakers favor Inter due to their strong form and home advantage; Those who still want to place a bet and are looking for one of the best sports betting providers will find suitable options there, even though Milan has remained undefeated in its last eleven competitive games and has the advantage in the head-to-head record of the last five derbies. In the league, however, Milan has dropped points in four of its last five games, which is why the form curve and the venue could point in Inter’s favor this time around.
- Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
- Date and time: November 23, 2025, 8:45 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (matchday 12)
From a betting perspective, there is a lot to be said for Inter winning in the 1X2 market at odds of 1.9, as Inter are coming off four wins in a row, have scored in each of those games and conceded only once, and are top of the table and in good form thanks to Lautaro Martínez, which is why the risk is considered low to medium. The double chance Milan, i.e. X2, remains the underdog option with odds of around 4.0, as Milan are unbeaten in eleven games, have drawn three of their last four league games, are traveling with a relaxed squad thanks to the return of Rabiot and the almost fit Pulisic, and may benefit from Inter’s absences of Dumfries and Mkhitaryan, which promises value with a high overall risk.
Inter form & record check
After eleven matchdays, Inter Milan leads Serie A on equal points with AS Roma and has won four of its last five league games. Cristian Chivu’s team often starts cautiously, with most goals coming in the second half and 80% of recent games ending with more than 2.5 goals, while the first 45 minutes usually remain relatively uneventful. Most recently, there was a 2-0 win over Lazio with goals in the 3rd and 62nd minutes, a 2-1 win in Verona, and a 3-0 win over Fiorentina, with a 1-3 defeat at Napoli in between, which exposed defensive weaknesses that the team has responded to. In the Champions League, Inter remain unbeaten with four wins from four group games, even if their opponents so far have not been the toughest of tests. Ahead of the Milan derby, there are question marks over the fitness of Dumfries, who has ankle problems, and Mkhitaryan, who has a thigh injury. Palacios, who has muscle problems, could be fit in time, and the medical team is optimistic overall. Chivu’s team looks strong and confident, but their vulnerability in the early stages remains a potential risk factor, even if their current form is enough to put them at the top of the table and in a strong position ahead of the derby.
Inter are likely to line up in their preferred 3-5-2 formation, which they have used since the start of the season. Dumfries could return in time on the right after minor ankle problems, but if he is unavailable, Luis Henrique would take over as wing-back. Mkhitaryan is out with an injury in defensive midfield, with Frattesi expected to take his place. In the back three, new signing Akanji could start alongside Acerbi and Bastoni. Up front, Lautaro Martínez and Marcus Thuram are expected to form the tried-and-tested duo.
AC Milan form & record check
For Milan, there was originally a detailed German text on the current situation and problems, for which there were various options to choose from, such as a summary, a translation, a stylistic revision, a tactical analysis with lineup suggestions for the derby against Inter, or a prediction with betting ideas and key players.
On the other side, there is a possible draft lineup in a 3-4-2-1 system, with a back three of De Winter, Gabbia, and Pavlović, Saelemaekers and Estupiñán on the wings, a central midfield with Fofana and Modrić (40), and Leão as striker, supported by Pulisic and Nkunku. Santiago Giménez is out until the end of November with a bruised ankle. Originally, there were various options on the table, such as an English translation, a short summary, a tactical analysis with strengths and weaknesses, alternative lineup suggestions, wording for social media, or checking and adding injury information.
Inter – AC Milan Head-to-head comparison & statistics
Inter has not won any of its last five derbies against Milan, with three defeats and two draws. Milan has been unbeaten in direct encounters since September 2024 and won the Coppa Italia semi-final in April 2025 3-0, among other victories. All five encounters were high-scoring, with at least three goals in each game. Milan has been solid in attack, scoring in all five games, while Inter has scored at least one goal in four of those games but conceded in every match, indicating decent offensive performance but defensive weaknesses and vulnerability on the counterattack. The most recent results, with Milan winning the Super Cup 3-2 and a 1-1 draw in the league, show that the games are usually close and open, but Milan has the psychological advantage of a longer unbeaten streak. For Inter, the focus is therefore clearly on better defensive organization and transition security with more compact counter-pressing and more consistent protection against Milan’s fast runs down the wings. Offensively, quick combinations and set-piece training continue to be important, as Milan scores consistently but also concedes goals. If the previous patterns continue, another high-scoring derby with goals at both ends is more likely than a game without conceding, with Milan remaining the slight favorites given their form and psychological momentum.
