Hamburger SV – VfB Stuttgart
On Monday evening we will finally know who will complete the Bundesliga field next year. That’s when the relegation second leg between HSV and VfB Stuttgart will take place at Hamburg’s Volkspark. The starting position is clearly in favour of the visitors from Swabia. VfB clearly dominated the first leg and went home with a deserved 3:0 victory. And the current form also speaks in favour of Stuttgart. VfB lost only one of their last nine competitive matches.
The host from Hamburg, however, will still have enough motivation for the duel on Monday despite the unfavourable starting position. Especially the strong home form still gives hope to the fans of the Rothosen. This year, HSV is still without defeat in its own stadium in the 2nd Bundesliga. In addition, Hamburg scored at least three goals four times at home in the Volksparkstadion in 2023.
The not-so-distant history could give the Hanseatics additional hope. Since the relegation was reintroduced in 2009, they have only twice turned around a deficit from the first leg. Both of these comebacks, however, took place in the last two seasons. Find out whether the Red Shirts will become the third team in a row to overturn a deficit in the relegation in our HSV vs Stuttgart tip.
HSV – Stuttgart info:
- Date & Time: 05.06.2023, 20:45 Uhr
- Game venue: Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
- Competition: Bundesliga Relegation, second leg
- TV broadcast: Sky, Sat. 1
HSV Form & Balance Check
The drama at Hamburger SV could hardly be topped in the last few days. At first, many HSV fans already believed in direct promotion last Sunday after the victory against Sandhausen. However, 1. FC Heidenheim spoiled the party for the Red Shirts with two late goals in injury time against Regensburg.
The suffering of the HSV fans did not come to an end on Thursday. Hamburg had a terrible day and ultimately had no chance against Stuttgart, who played very well and lost 0:3. The fans of the Red Shirts are now hoping for a small football miracle on Monday.
Fortress in Volkspark
Hamburg are pinning all their hopes on their impressive home strength in the second leg against Stuttgart. On Monday, the Hanseatic League faces its last home match of the season at Volkspark. Since October last year, they have not suffered a defeat at home in the Volksparkstadion. This season, the Reds have already celebrated eleven victories in front of their own fans.
Especially against their North German rivals, they have shown impressive performances. Against Hannover and St. Pauli, the Rothosen offered their supporters captivating and rousing games that provided the best entertainment. Now there should also be fireworks on Monday against a team from the south of the republic.
HSV Facts & Analysis
- Unbeaten at home for ten games
- Best offence in the 2. Bundesliga
- Third in the table in the 2nd Bundesliga
Stuttgart form & balance check
Before this year’s games against HSV, VfB had only participated in the Bundesliga relegation once before. In 2019, the Swabians had to face Union Berlin and drew the short straw then. For this reason, many Stuttgart fans went into the last two games of the season with rather negative feelings.
After the clash on Thursday, however, the worry lines of many VfB supporters disappeared. The Swabians were very dominant and created one chance after another. With an xG value of 3.67, there could even have been a few more goals on Stuttgart’s side.
Guirassy in focus
Serhou Guirassy scored in the first leg against HSV and also created several good chances. However, the attacker also missed a penalty in the course of the game. Nevertheless, the Frenchman is making an impressive impact in Stuttgart’s offensive. Accordingly, the fans were delighted when it was announced the previous week that the striker had now been signed permanently.
The former Cologne player is his team’s top scorer in the league with eleven goals. In addition, he scored two more goals in the DFB Cup. Due to an adductor injury, however, the 27-year-old was out for a large part of the second half of the season. But Serhou Guirassy is fully recovered and ready for action again in time for the season finale.
Stuttgart facts & analysis
- Sebastian Hoeneß only with two compulsory match defeats with VfB.
- The fifth weakest offence in the league
- Placed 16th in the Bundesliga
Projected lineup – last update on June 4, 2023
At HSV we expect the same eleven as last Thursday. Midfield powerhouse László Bénes will also be missing for the second leg due to injury. In addition, Anssi Suhonen will have to watch from the outside after his sending-off in Stuttgart on Monday.
We also expect VfB to have the same line-up as in the first leg. The players with a yellow card were restrained in the first leg and will be allowed to play for VfB again on Monday. Serhou Guirassy will once again be the lone striker.
HSV – Stuttgart direct comparison & statistics
The record between VfB Stuttgart and HSV is very even so far, with a slight tendency in favour of the Swabians. VfB have won 49 games against the Hanseatic League, while Hamburg have won 46. In the first leg last Thursday, VfB Stuttgart also clearly beat HSV and gave them no chance.
- The last home match in the 2. Bundesliga against Stuttgart was won by HSV with 6:2.
- HSV lost their last three competitive matches against Stuttgart
- Hamburg have failed to score in 2 of their 17 home games in the 2. Bundesliga this season
- When Stuttgart are 1-0 down in away games, they win 14% of them.
