Getafe won the last direct duel with Atlético 2-1 at the Coliseum in March, but the situation ahead of this weekend’s rematch is completely different. José Bordalás’ team is under pressure after two consecutive defeats, lies eight points behind the visitors with 17 points and is looking for stability, while Atlético arrives with momentum and as the clear favorite.
Form and history almost entirely favor Diego Simeone’s team. Atlético are fourth with 25 points, having won four and drawn one of their last five league games, with only two draws and a goal difference of +13 for the entire season. Antoine Griezmann leads the attack, joined by Alexander Sørloth, who has scored particularly frequently against Getafe.
Tactically, Bordalás’ main concern is likely to be keeping the space tight for Griezmann and Sørloth and defending set pieces consistently. Simeone’s Atlético are expected to play compactly, look for moments to switch play and seek individual class in attack. Overall, there are many indications that this will be an intense, hard-fought game with chances on both sides, in which Atlético Madrid remains the most likely winner. A narrow away win with scores such as 0-1 or 1-2 seems plausible. For risk-taking spectators who may be betting on this match for the first time, tips on Atlético Madrid to win or Both teams to score: Yes could be particularly interesting.
- Venue: Coliseum, Getafe
- Date and time: 11/23/2025, 6:30 p.m.
- Competition: La Liga (Matchday 13)
The main recommendation is Atlético Madrid to win, with odds of around 1.70. This is based on their four consecutive league wins and the strong form of Sørloth, who has scored several times against Getafe and also during the international break. From a statistical point of view, this bet seems the most solid and offers a convincing risk-reward ratio.
For more cautious bettors, under 2.5 goals is worth considering. Getafe defend very organized under Bordalás and have conceded only 14 goals in 12 league games, with around 80% of first halves remaining under 1.5 goals. This profile fits with a tight, low-scoring game, even though Atlético has been strong offensively lately.
There is more risk in speculative markets such as Both Teams to Score: Yes, as Atlético’s defense has looked vulnerable in some games and Getafe has scored at least one goal in three of its last four home games. With the right odds, this market could be attractive. A combination bet on Atlético Madrid to win and under 2.5 goals is also conceivable, provided the odds offered are attractive.
In terms of personnel and tactics, it is interesting to note that although Koke is back in the starting lineup, Atlético is no longer stabilizing the spaces to the same extent as before. Johnny Cardoso has been fit since November, but has not been used in the last three wins, suggesting that Simeone trusts his current starting lineup and is not planning any major adjustments against compact defenses like Getafe’s.
A moderate stake is recommended, around 3 to 5% of your bankroll on Atlético Madrid to win as your main bet. If you are more conservative, you can bet on under 2.5 goals with a smaller stake of between 1 and 2%.
Getafe form & record check
Getafe is currently in mixed form. A series of three wins, including a 1-0 away win in Bilbao and a 2-1 home win against Girona, was followed by a 0-1 defeat in Mallorca. The match in Son Moix once again exposed the problems in attack, with hardly any real chances on goal over 90 minutes.
The polarity of the results is striking: in the last five league games, there has not been a single draw, only wins or losses. These extremes are also reflected in their performances at the Coliseum, where Getafe have only lost to Real Madrid so far, in a game overshadowed by red cards in which Mbappé made the difference.
Getafe are eighth in the table with 17 points, level on points with Athletic Club and just one point ahead of Sevilla. The team are therefore within striking distance of the European places and not far from the relegation zone, which is why the coming weeks will be decisive.
Tactically, the defense remains the team’s strong point. Only 14 goals conceded in 12 league games testify to the high level of discipline under José Bordalás, while the offense often fails to deliver in the final third. The half-time pattern is also striking, with less than 1.5 goals scored before the break in four of the last five games. Getafe often starts cautiously and only gains offensive power as the game progresses.
In terms of personnel, Kiko Femenía could return from injury and further stabilize the defense. Defender Davinchi, on the other hand, is out until February, which limits the depth of the squad. Overall, Getafe remains a compact, defensively strong team with offensive problems, which can be vulnerable against strong opponents, especially due to their cautious start.
Coach José Bordalás is expected to stick with the tried-and-tested 4-4-2 system, which has given the team a lot of stability, especially in home games.
Soria is set to start in goal. The expected back four consists of Iglesias, Abqar, Duarte, and Rico. Defender Davinchi is still out with a torn meniscus and is not expected to be available to the team until February.
In midfield, Bordalás could rely on the central axis of Martin, Milla, and Arambarri, with Sancris likely to occupy the wing. Liso and Mayoral are expected to form the duo in attack.
However, the lineup will not be confirmed until shortly before kickoff and may still change for tactical reasons or due to last-minute injuries.
Atletico Form & Record Check
Atlético Madrid are in good form. Twenty-five points from twelve league games put them in fourth place, just one point behind Villarreal.
The team have won their last four league games in a row, including 3-1 against Levante, 3-0 against Sevilla, and 2-0 at Real Betis, showing impressive attacking strength. In each of their last five games, they have scored at least two goals, with four of those games seeing more than 2.5 goals.
Antoine Griezmann is in top form and scored twice against Levante, among other things. Álvarez and Sörloth provide additional firepower, and the attacking rotation seems very balanced overall.
Interestingly, Atlético scores a lot of goals in the second half. In about 80% of their games, more than 1.5 goals have been scored after the break, indicating a strong second half.
The clear 0-4 defeat at Arsenal appears to be an outlier, as it was followed by a confident 3-1 win against Union St. Gilloise in the Champions League and an overall stabilization of the team.
Coach Diego Simeone rotates his squad effectively. Le Normand is out with injury, but the defense still looks solid, conceding only 13 goals in 12 league games. With a five-point lead over Real Betis, Atlético has some breathing room at the bottom, but there is still room for improvement at the top of the table.
Atlético are likely to line up in their usual 4-4-2 formation. Oblak is expected to start in goal, with a back four of Molina, Giménez, Hancko, and Ruggeri, while Le Normand remains sidelined with injury.
Llorente, Barrios, Koke, and Baena are expected to start in midfield, with Griezmann and Álvarez planned to lead the attack. However, coach Diego Simeone can make last-minute changes to the lineup, so this prediction remains tentative.
Getafe – Atlético Head-to-Head Comparison & Statistics
The recent record clearly favors Atlético Madrid. Of five encounters, Atlético won four, Getafe only one, and there were no draws in this series.
Getafe’s only victory dates back to March 2025, a 2-1 win at home. Prior to that, Atlético had a series of four competitive wins against Getafe, which lasted from May 2024 to February 2025.
Atlético’s 5-0 victory in the Copa del Rey quarter-finals in February 2025 was particularly clear, the heaviest defeat for Getafe in the series under consideration. Before that, Atlético won 1-0 in the league in December 2024.
It is striking that Atlético scored in all five games and Getafe conceded at least one goal in each game. Atlético’s goals were all scored in the second half, and in four of the five games, more than 2.5 goals were scored.
