Real Madrid faces a tricky task at Getafe CF, with several defensive stalwarts missing. With Rüdiger injured until December, Carvajal and Alexander-Arnold out of action and Huijsen unavailable with a soleus muscle strain, Xabi Alonso will have to improvise his defense. Nevertheless, the bookmakers see Real as clear favorites, which is hardly surprising given their impressive record of five consecutive wins against Getafe. The Royals are on an upward trend: four wins from their last five games, with only the 2-5 defeat in the derby against Atlético clouding the record. Getafe, on the other hand, are languishing in mid-table with 11 points from eight games and have conceded at least one goal in four of their last five games.
- Venue: Coliseum, Getafe
- Date and time: October 19, 2025, 9:00 p.m.
- Competition: La Liga (Matchday 9)
The odds of 1.4 for a Real win reflect an implied probability of around 71%, which seems reasonable despite the personnel problems in defense. Real has scored at least once in each of its last five games, while Getafe has been shaky defensively. Interestingly, the most recent encounters between these two teams have always seen fewer than three goals scored, which could be a good reason to bet on “under 2.5 goals.” The fact that around 80% of Real’s wins have been decided after the break also makes betting on the second half an attractive option.
Getafe Form & Record Check
Getafe is currently hovering between solid mediocrity and missed opportunities. After eight matchdays, they have 11 points, which puts them in 11th place. The team scores regularly, but lacks consistency defensively: they have conceded at least one goal in four of their last five games. The recent 1-2 defeat in Pamplona, in which Mayoral did score, once again revealed their problems in the final stages. Against lower and mid-table teams, they have only managed draws recently (1-1 against Levante and Alavés), while they suffered a clear 0-3 defeat against Barcelona. José Bordalás needs to work on defensive stability, especially in set pieces, where late goals are often conceded.
Getafe are expected to line up in a 5-3-2 formation: Soria in goal; Femenía, Djené, Duarte, Abqar, and Rico as a back five; Arambarri, Milla, and Martín in midfield; Kamara and Mayoral up front. Iglesias, Neyou, and da Costa are among those on the bench as possible substitutes. José Bordalás will once again focus on compactness and defensive stability in order to disrupt Real’s attacking play early on. Wing-backs Femenía and Rico can push forward depending on the situation. Offensively, the team will rely on quick transitions through Kamara and Mayoral as well as set pieces.
Real Form & Record Check
Real Madrid sits atop LaLiga with 21 points, just two points ahead of Barcelona. Their recent form has been impressive: four wins in their last five games in all competitions, with only the 2-5 derby defeat to Atlético clouding the record. The response to that came promptly with a convincing 3-1 home win against Villarreal. They got off to a flying start in the Champions League with a 5-0 away win at Kairat Almaty. Vinícius Júnior is in top form (two goals against Villarreal), and Mbappé is back to full fitness after returning from international duty with France. The biggest concern remains the leaky defense: Without Rüdiger, Carvajal, Alexander-Arnold, and now Huijsen, Federico Valverde must once again fill in on the right wing, which is not his preferred position, but has worked well recently. The offensive strength of Vinícius, Mbappé, and Bellingham remains the biggest trump card, especially when it comes to deciding games in the second half.
Real Madrid will line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under Xabi Alonso. The defense will have to improvise: Valverde will once again take over the right wing, as Carvajal and Alexander-Arnold are out with injuries. Alaba and Militão are expected to form the central defense, while Rüdiger and Huijsen are unavailable. Fran García will defend on the left. Tchouaméni and Camavinga will play as a double six in midfield, with Ceballos out with a thigh strain. The offense will consist of Güler centrally behind the striker, Rodrygo and Vinícius on the wings, while Mbappé will occupy the striker position. Bellingham will remain on the bench for the time being after mixed performances.
Getafe – Real Head-to-head & Statistics
Real Madrid dominates the head-to-head record with five consecutive wins against Getafe. The results have mostly been close: in four of the five games, the goal difference was no more than two, and all games ended with less than three goals in total. The most recent encounters show a clear pattern: April 2024 ended 1-0, December 2023 2-0, and the other victories were also close. It is noteworthy that Getafe failed to score in the second half in the last three encounters. Real scored at least once in all five games, often using the second half to seal the deal. This series points to disciplined, defensive-minded games in which Real maintains control and makes efficient use of its chances.
