Getafe – Elche CF Tip, Prediction & Odds La Liga 11/28/2025

Home » Getafe – Elche CF Tip, Prediction & Odds La Liga 11/28/2025

A late own goal against Atlético Madrid, a spectacular 2-2 draw for Elche at Real Madrid, and only one point separating them in the table—it is in this very situation that FC Getafe and Elche meet for a direct duel in La Liga. After 13 matchdays, Getafe is in 7th place with 17 points, followed by Elche in 10th with 16 points, both in the tight midfield, looking up and down the table in equal measure. The form curves provide exciting material: Getafe lost 0-1 at home to Atlético Madrid three days ago due to a late own goal, while Elche gained confidence with a 2-2 draw at the Bernabéu, but lost defender Víctor Chust to a red card in the 96th minute, a significant loss for coach Eder Sarabia. The recent head-to-head record favors Elche with three consecutive wins, even though the last direct duels were over two years ago and the squads have changed significantly since then. In addition, Getafe has not scored more than once in four of its last five games against Elche. Tactically, the home advantage, combined with Elche’s personnel gap in defense, seems like a small bonus for Getafe, but Elche will arrive with the momentum of a point gained at Real Madrid and will appear confident despite necessary adjustments in defense.

  • Venue: Coliseum, Getafe
  • Date and time: 11/28/2025, 9:00 p.m.
  • Competition: La Liga (Matchday 14)

In terms of betting, FC Getafe looks attractive at odds of around 2.20, based on their home advantage and recent stability, but at the same time, there are many indications that it will be a close, tactical game with few goals. Getafe’s success is supported by the fact that the team has won three of its last five games, including an away win at Athletic Club, and that the narrow 0-1 defeat to Atlético Madrid conceals rather than calls into question the defensive stability, especially as the compact defense is a clear advantage at home. On Elche’s side, the strong 2-2 draw at Real Madrid is a strong argument, with Elche scoring in four of their last five games, but also repeatedly showing defensive vulnerabilities in those same games, which could open up counterattacking and scoring opportunities for Getafe. A bet on under 2.5 goals fits well into this picture, as 80% of Getafe’s recent games ended with less than 1.5 goals in the first half, and similar, rather low-scoring patterns were seen against Atlético and Mallorca. The market for both teams to score can be justified with pros and cons. Both Getafe and Elche have been regularly successful in front of goal recently, and the odds of around 2.25 reflect this risk-reward ratio and are suitable for those who expect a slightly more open game. As a risk management recommendation, it makes sense to choose FC Getafe to win as your main bet with a small to medium stake. In addition, a combination of FC Getafe to win and under 2.5 goals could be interesting, as it reflects the expected narrow home win and improves the odds.

Getafe form & record check

After 13 match days, Getafe is in 7th place in the table with 17 points, level on points with Athletic Club directly behind them and four points behind Espanyol, so overall the situation in the table is still relatively comfortable. However, their form has been inconsistent, with two convincing wins against Athletic Bilbao (1-0 away) and Girona (2-1 at home) followed by two narrow defeats, 0-1 at Mallorca and 0-1 at home to Atlético Madrid three days ago. This latest clash with Atlético in particular is likely to be on coach José Bordalás’ mind. An own goal by Domingos Duarte in the 82nd minute decided the game. Until then, Getafe had been very compact defensively and had allowed few chances, but had shown too little punch in attack. Even the late substitutions of Coba da Costa and Juanmi did not bring about the hoped-for turnaround. It is striking that all five league games since the end of October have ended with a winner, meaning there have been no draws. In addition, four of these five games saw fewer than two goals scored in the first half. Getafe often start cautiously and the games are usually decided by a narrow margin. The negative goal difference of -3 illustrates that the team relies more on a solid defense than consistent offensive power. Davinchi will continue to be unavailable until February due to a torn meniscus, but otherwise the squad is available. The decisive factor for the rest of the season will be whether Bordalás can give his team more offensive pressure and punch to win these close games more often.

Getafe is expected to line up in José Bordalás’s tried-and-tested 4-1-4-1 system. The only absence is Davinchi, who is expected to be out until February with a torn meniscus, but otherwise all players are available. The following structure is expected: the keeper in goal, Duarte and Abqar as center backs in defense, Arambarri in front of the defense as a defensive midfielder and four midfielders in a line in front of him, with Mayoral as the lone striker in attack.

Elche CF Form & Record Check

Elche is in 10th place in the table with 16 points, level on points with Real Sociedad ahead of them and Sevilla behind them. The table is very tight, and a win could catapult Elche significantly higher up. Their form has been inconsistent overall, with only one win in their last five league games. Most recently, they drew 2-2 with Real Madrid, with goals from Febas in the 53rd minute and Álvaro Rodríguez in the 84th minute. Bellingham scored in the 87th minute. and Víctor Chust was shown a red card in stoppage time. Before that, they drew 1-1 with Real Sociedad, and Elche lost 3-1 away to Barcelona and 1-0 away to Espanyol. The team is struggling defensively, especially after the break. In four of their last five league games, both teams have scored, and the suspension of center back Víctor Chust further exacerbates their defensive problems in the match against Getafe. Offensively, however, the promoted team is solid, and apart from Chust, there are no major injury concerns, giving coach Eder Sarabia several options in attack and midfield. An interesting detail is that young star Rodrigo Mendoza is apparently being watched by top clubs such as Manchester City, Real Madrid, and Juventus, which underlines the perception that there are individual players with special individual quality in the squad.

Getafe – Elche CF Head-to-head comparison & statistics

A look at the last five head-to-head matches shows that Elche remained unbeaten in the last three encounters and won three games, while Getafe’s last victory dates back to October 2022 with a 1-0 win. The match in May 2023 ended 1-1, with the visitors dominating overall with several consecutive wins beforehand. The course of these games is striking: in four of the last five encounters, the score was 0-0 at halftime, so most of the decisions were made in the second half, with Elche more often finding the better answers and scoring the decisive goals. The duels were mostly low-scoring, with only one game seeing more than two goals scored, a 3-1 win for Elche in May 2022. Getafe has conceded at least one goal in each of its last three games against Elche, with Elche scoring in all three of those games. At home, Getafe has been waiting for a win against Elche since September 2021 and has often seemed somewhat uninspired in this pairing recently. Elche seems to have found a formula that works against Getafe’s compact style of play and can draw confidence from this. In practical terms, this suggests that another close, rather defensive encounter with a possible late decision and a moderate number of goals can be expected. From a head-to-head perspective, Elche has a slight advantage, even if other factors such as Getafe’s current home advantage are also taken into account in the overall assessment.

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