SC Freiburg – VfB Stuttgart
This weekend, the Bundesliga enters its 20th round of matches of the season and there are some exciting games on the program. In the packed Saturday conference, SC Freiburg will face VfB Stuttgart, among others. Find out who will win in this match in our Freiburg – Stuttgart betting tip.
Freiburg will be looking to get back to winning ways after their defeat in Bremen last weekend. For them, international business is still at stake. To ensure they don’t lose sight of sixth place in the table, the Breisgau side need a winning result.
Stuttgart will travel to Europa-Park-Stadion with a broad chest, as the Swabians finally notched up their first win of the year with their resounding victory in the top-of-the-table match against Leipzig on the last matchday. They remain right in the thick of the battle for the Champions League places and want to build on last week’s strong performance. It promises to be an exciting game, as both teams are going for the win and will give each other nothing on the pitch
Freiburg – Stuttgart info
- Date & Time: 03.02.2024, 3:30 pm
- Playing venue: Europa-Park Stadium, Freiburg
- Competition: Bundesliga, Matchday 20
- TV broadcast: Sky
Freiburg Form & Balance Check
Freiburg’s record since the winter break is mixed. Coach Christian Streich’s side have picked up a total of four points from three games. The recent 3:1 defeat against Bremen was not to Freiburg’s liking, as the team lacked verve and enthusiasm. Nevertheless, the team is still in seventh place and remains the top contenders for the international places, three points behind Frankfurt.
Against Stuttgart, however, the Breisgau side will be looking to get back on the road to success, even if Sport-Club’s record against the top teams this season is not exactly exhilarating. The only defeats so far have come against Leverkusen, Munich, Stuttgart, Dortmund and Leipzig
Curse of early goals conceded
In Bremen, Freiburg fell behind early on thanks to a penalty from Werder’s Marvin Ducksch in the 9th minute. Even though SC managed to equalize the score in the meantime, the game was still lost in the end. There seems to be a curse on the Breisgauers, as all games in which Sport-Club conceded a goal in the first quarter of an hour this season were lost.
This pattern even extends across the last nine games in which they have conceded an early goal. Freiburg have not managed to turn such a game around since May 2022. In the first leg against Stuttgart, the Swabians also took the lead in the 3rd minute. The final score was 5:0 for VfB.
Freiburg facts & analysis
- SC Freiburg have not lost any of their last 7 home games.
- SC Freiburg’s home record this season: 5 wins – 3 draws – 1 defeat.
- When SC Freiburg leads 1-0 in home matches, they win 76% of those matches.
Stuttgart Form & Balance Check
After starting the new year with two defeats, VfB got off to a flying start last weekend. The 5:2 win against Leipzig showed why Stuttgart are so high up the table this season and how excitingly they can play soccer. As a result, the team remains in the top three and currently has 37 points.
The latest success has kept RB Leipzig a little further away for the time being and Stuttgart have a four-point lead over fifth place. Coach Sebastian Hoeneß’ team will be looking to add to their tally against Freiburg, as the battle for the top flight remains extremely tight
Undav’s European Championship recommendation
Stuttgart striker Deniz Undav continued to work towards a call-up to the national team last weekend and possibly even participation in the 2024 European Championship in the summer. With his treble against Leipzig, he played a key role in the win and underlined his strong performances this season.
With twelve goals and two assists, he is currently the best German attacking player and fourth in the league’s top scorer list. If Undav continues to perform like this, national team coach Julian Nagelsmann will probably have no choice but to give the 27-year-old a chance to showcase himself in the DFB squad
Stuttgart facts & analysis
- VfB Stuttgart’s run of away defeats in the Bundesliga has now lasted three games.
- VfB Stuttgart have failed to score in 3 of their 9 away games in the Bundesliga this season.
- When VfB Stuttgart leads 0-1 in away matches, they win 83% of them.
Predicted lineup – last update on February 1, 2024
Coach Streich’s team will play in a 4-3-3 system. Despite the defeat in the most recent game, we expect only a few changes to the starting line-up. Manuel Gulde will return from suspension in the back line. There is still a question mark over whether Roland Sallai will be fit in time. Michael Gregoritsch would be an alternative in attack.
The Stuttgart coach also has little reason to change the formation. They also play in a 4-3-3 with the recently outstanding Undav and Chris Führich up front. Only Atakan Karazor, who was suspended last weekend due to his 5th yellow card, is expected to return to the starting eleven
Freiburg – Stuttgart head-to-head & stats
48 matches have already been played between the two clubs. 43 of these have taken place in the Bundesliga, while the teams have also faced each other five times in the DFB Cup. Stuttgart lead the direct comparison and have won 25 matches. Freiburg have won 17 games. Before Sport-Club’s last defeat in the first leg this season, Freiburg had won six in a row. The very first time the teams faced each other was in 1993. Back then, Freiburg won 2:1.
- The home record of the last 24 games between SC Freiburg and VfB Stuttgart is: 13 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats. The goal difference: 39-32 for SC Freiburg.
- A look at SC Freiburg: Lucas Holer is the top scorer with 6 goals. Serhou Guirassy scored 17 times for VfB Stuttgart.
- Vincenzo Grifo has the most assists for SC Freiburg with 6 assists. Chris Fuhrich (6) is ahead for VfB Stuttgart.
- On average SC Freiburg scores 1.6 goals against VfB Stuttgart and VfB Stuttgart scores 1.6 goals against SC Freiburg.
- SC Freiburg scores an average of 1.96 goals when playing at home and VfB Stuttgart scores an average of 1.78 goals when playing away (on average).
