Empoli – AS Roma
Our Empoli – Roma betting tip is: More than 2.5 goals – 1.84 odds
- Empoli must play forward and win
- Rome have the fourth best offense in the league
- Seven goals scored in the first leg
After the Bundesliga and Premier League of Europe’s top leagues came to an end last weekend, the final matchday of the Italian Serie A takes place this weekend. The championship has been decided for weeks, but there is still a fight for the European Cup and to stay in the league. On Sunday evening, relegation candidates FC Empoli will face AS Roma, among others.
Empoli are under pressure, as the team absolutely needs a win on the final matchday to stay in the league. Even though they are currently in a relegation spot, they still have the chance to stay in the league in their own hands. As luck would have it, the two rivals in the places above them are playing each other in the parallel match and will therefore be stealing points from each other.
Roma, on the other hand, will settle in the upper midfield. They have secured a Europa League place, but can no longer reach the Champions League qualification places. They can therefore play freely, as there is effectively nothing left at stake for AS.
Empoli – Roma info
- Date & Time: 26.05.2024, 20:45 hrs.
- Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli
- Competition: Serie A, 38th matchday
- TV broadcast/livestream: Sky
Empoli Form & Balance Check
The starting position for Empoli is clear. A win would keep them in the league, a draw or defeat would see them in the 2nd division next season. This constellation only comes about because, although the Tuscans are one point behind Udinese and two points behind Frosinone, they will play a duel on the final matchday. This means that at least one of the two will not pick up three points. Empoli failed to win the direct comparison against Udinese last weekend.
After taking the lead with a penalty in the 90th minute, the team conceded an equalizer in the final minute of the match. As a result, in the event of a tie with Udinese, the goal difference will be decisive, as Empoli are nine goals worse. Their record in the last five games is one win, two draws and two defeats
There is a lack of goals
The team’s main problem is the lack of goals. The mere 27 goals scored by Empoli in the entire season is the worst yield in the league and an average of not even 0.75 goals per game. The team has also remained pale offensively in recent weeks, scoring a measly two goals in the last six games.
What is missing is a real goalscorer who can score from a set-piece or a counter-attack even in difficult games for the underdogs. The team’s top scorer is M’Baye Niang with five goals, who at least scored on the last matchday to secure a point for his team
Empoli facts & analysis
- 18th place in the table
- Last match draw
- Only a win is enough to stay in the league
Rom Form & Balance Check
The Romans can approach the game without pressure, having already secured qualification for the Europa League two matchdays ago. Most recently, they were still in contention for the Champions League places, but can no longer reach them even with a win, as they lost the direct comparison against the newly crowned Europa League winners Bergamo.
They will therefore finish the season in sixth place, one place ahead of city rivals Lazio. However, Roma have only won one of their last six competitive matches, losing to Bergamo and Bayer Leverkusen
Striker duo on a par
Romelu Lukaku and Paulo Dybala are two players who complement each other particularly well up front at Roma. While the Belgian Lukaku has a strong physique, Dybala plays the dribbling role. Both have scored 13 goals this season, while Dybala has also provided a strong nine assists. The final matchday will therefore be an internal duel to see who will be Roma’s top scorer. Both players will be hoping for another starting appearance to get the fans cheering again on the final matchday
Rome facts & analysis
- Sixth place in the table
- Last game won
- Only one win from the last six games
We expect Empoli to play in a 3-5-2 formation. Compared to the last game against Udinese, coach Nicola will be without central midfielder Alberto Grassi, who picked up his second yellow card after being substituted in the last game and is therefore suspended. He will most likely be replaced by Razvan Marin. Niang could get his chance up front.
Roma play in a 4-3-3 system. They are also affected by a suspension in central midfield and Leandro Paredes is only allowed to watch on. Instead, the coach has switched to three strikers, with Sardar Azmoun hoping for a starting role. Alongside him, we expect Lukaku and Dybala
Empoli – Roma head-to-head & stats
There have been 31 matches between FC Empoli and AS Roma in the history of the two teams. Roma have won significantly more often, winning 23 matches. Empoli, on the other hand, have only managed to defeat the capital three times.
The last eight games have all gone to Roma, who will probably still have fond memories of the first leg of this season’s tie. The game ended with a 7:0 thumping of the Romans. The very first clash between the two took place in 1986. AS also emerged victorious in that game, beating Empoli 3:1.
Direct comparison (H2H)
