Key Facts
- Burnley (19th/15 points) and West Ham (18th/20) are locked in a direct relegation battle; three points could make a decisive difference between the two clubs.
- Burnley has not won in 15 league games and has conceded at least one goal in each of its last five competitive games, most recently in a 3-0 defeat at Sunderland.
- West Ham has scored in each of its last five games, but once again showed massive problems controlling the second half after leading 2-0 in a 3-2 defeat at Chelsea.
- Burnley are missing key players in Cullen (out for the season), Beyer and Amdouni, who provide structure in midfield and pose a threat in front of goal, while West Ham continue to rely on Areola in goal without Fabianski.
- Burnley have not beaten West Ham in their last five meetings; and four of those games ended with at least two goals, suggesting a high-scoring affair.
- West Ham won the last five first halves according to the tip and scored in each, while Burnley conceded goals in all five games – an early lead for the visitors seems statistically likely.
The frantic 3-2 result from the first leg in November 2025 still lingers, and in the meantime, the unpleasant matchup has turned into a direct relegation battle. On Saturday, February 7, Scott Parker’s Burnley will host Nuno Espírito Santo’s West Ham at Turf Moor: Burnley are 19th in the table with 15 points, West Ham are 18th with 20 points. A glance at the table is enough to see that the pressure has increased – both clubs need momentum, not fair play awards. This preview follows the market with the prediction: West Ham wins. However, it will be exciting in terms of goals and the course of the game, because there is also a lot to be said for “Both teams to score: Yes” and “Over 2.5 goals” – both teams score regularly and concede almost without exception, even when their performances do not always live up to internal expectations.
- Venue: Turf Moor, Burnley
- Date and time: February 7, 2026, 4:00 p.m.
- Competition: Premier League (Matchday 25)
West Ham are rightly favored, but their profile under Nuno Espírito Santo continues to cry out for consistency – and that’s where the value lies in terms of goals. They have scored in each of their last five games and often get off to a flying start, but they also concede late goals; Todibo’s sending-off in stoppage time at Chelsea further weakens them at the back. Burnley are without a win in 15 league games and are vulnerable defensively, but have scored in four of their last five games.
Burnley Form & Record Check
Burnley’s most recent outing ended in a sobering 3-0 league defeat at Sunderland, an evening on which Tuanzebe’s early own goal set the tone and Dúbravka looked fairly helpless for long periods. Parker made changes at halftime, taking Tuanzebe off for Laurent and switching to a back four, but the change never brought real control. Ward Prowse, brought on to stabilize the midfield and bring in more quality on set pieces, remained on the bench at halftime, even though the game needed precisely that calmness. It’s frustrating that Burnley have shown at times that they can compete. They drew 2-2 with Tottenham and 2-2 with Manchester United at home at Turf Moor, and they fought their way to a 1-1 draw at Liverpool, results that were better than many expected for a team in 19th place in the table. Nevertheless, these games followed the same pattern: decent periods of possession, followed by costly lapses as soon as the tempo picked up or the defense was tested from set pieces. Availability is not helping the structure either. Cullen’s season-ending injury takes a reliable organizer out of midfield, while Beyer and Amdouni remain unavailable, forcing Parker to constantly tinker with balance and goal threat. The latest figures underscore the problem: Burnley has conceded at least one goal in each of its last five competitive games, even when they have scored themselves. That’s why the margin for error against West Ham seems pretty small.
Parker is likely to stick with a 3-4-2-1 formation, with Dúbravka behind a back three of Tuanzebe, Estève, and Humphreys. Walker and Pires seem the most likely wingbacks, providing width, while Edwards and Anthony, as two creative players, tend to drift inside. In midfield, Ugochukwu and Florentino would shield and drive the attacks, with Foster remaining the central anchor. The selection is marked by absences. Beyer, Cullen, and Amdouni are out, and with Roberts and Trésor also likely to be missing, Walker’s minutes as a wingback could be particularly important. Ward Prowse should be in the squad as a natural replacement for Cullen and could even start if Parker wants more threat from set pieces. Worrall and Ekdal provide cover for the defense, with Broja or Flemming as alternatives to Foster.
West Ham Form & Record Check
West Ham are coming off a 3-2 defeat at Chelsea, which pretty much summed up their season in 90 minutes. First, they took a 2-0 lead through goals from Bowen and Summerville, then they completely lost control in the second half, ending up empty-handed and with plenty of frustration. The aftermath also weighs heavily, as the club was charged after a brawl in stoppage time, and Todibo was sent off for violent conduct, which is likely to rule him out of the league here. With a little distance, however, there are still reasons why West Ham is considered the favorite. In the league, they beat Sunderland 3-1 at home and won 2-1 at Tottenham, results that gave the impression that Nuno Espírito Santo has found a winning formula. They have also maintained their attacking rhythm in the cup, although they needed extra time against QPR, which suggests they have decent depth up front, even if they rarely have it all their own way. The key trend is timing. West Ham have scored in each of their last five games and are noticeably alert at the start, but they have also conceded goals in each of those games, with the second halves in particular often proving chaotic. With Fabianski out, the responsibility lies with Areola, and the new faces in the squad, including Disasi and the attacking options around Castellanos and Wilson, may need time to get to grips with the defensive details that are mercilessly demanded in the relegation battle.
West Ham are likely to stick with their familiar 4-4-1-1, with Pablo just behind Castellanos to link up play and make the first pass. Bowen should start on the right wing but keep cutting inside to pop up in the box, while Summerville provides the direct runs on the other side. Souček’s late runs and his threat from set pieces will be key to how this team creates chances. Fabianski remains out with a back injury, so Areola is likely to remain in goal. At the back, the selection could be influenced by Todibo’s recent red card, which will likely rule him out of the league game, so Disasi and Mavropanos are the likely center-back pairing, with Kilman a strong alternative. If West Ham need more pace late on, Traoré and Wilson seem like the obvious options from the bench.
Burnley – West Ham Head-to-Head & Statistics
Burnley have not beaten West Ham in their last five meetings. West Ham have won two of those games, with the other three ending in draws. The most recent meeting in November 2025 ended in a 3-2 win for West Ham and followed the familiar script, with the game becoming more open as it progressed. Before that, there was a 2-2 draw in 2024, which shows that Burnley can strike even when they are not in control of the game. There is a subtle pattern underlying the results. The last three encounters all had fewer than 1.5 goals in the first half, with the game usually opening up after the break. This fits with the broader trend of West Ham doing their best work late in the game and Burnley struggling to close out matches. Despite this cautious start, four of the five games still ended with at least two goals. Once the game tips, it usually tips significantly.
