Liverpool showed signs of life with a convincing 5-1 win over Eintracht Frankfurt in the Champions League after four consecutive competitive defeats, while Brentford gained new confidence with a recent 2-0 away win at West Ham.
In the league, both teams find themselves in different situations: The Bees are in 13th place with 10 points, while Liverpool, despite a disappointing league record, are in 3rd place with 15 points, just one point behind Manchester City, but with increasing pressure on coach Arne Slot.
History clearly favors the Reds, who have won all of the last five head-to-head matches, including a 2-0 win in January.
However, Brentford are dangerous at home, as their 3-1 win over Manchester United showed, and could spring a surprise with quick counterattacks.
In terms of personnel, Liverpool will have to do without regular goalkeeper Alisson, who is expected to be out until mid-November; while Brentford will be without new signing Antoni Milambo for the long term with a cruciate ligament rupture, although Aaron Hickey could be fit again after minor setbacks.
Tactically, Brentford are likely to focus on compact defending and quick counterattacks to deny Liverpool space, while the Reds will look to dominate the game with high possession and intensity down the wings.
Despite Liverpool’s current inconsistency, they remain favorites due to their quality and head-to-head record; a narrow away win or a draw seems most likely, although Brentford’s home strength and counterattacking play could make for an exciting game.
- Venue: Brentford Community Stadium, London
- Date and time: 10/25/2025, 9:00 p.m.
- Competition: Premier League (Matchday 9)
Both teams show defensive weaknesses and a strong offensive focus in the second half, which is why statistics and form point to ‘Both teams to score: Yes’ and ‘Over 2.5 goals’.
Liverpool are the nominal favorites, but currently appear fragile, while Brentford are dangerous at home, which makes the game open and high-scoring.
Primary recommendations based on risk profile: ‘Both teams to score: Yes’ is the main tip; Liverpool have conceded goals in their last five games, while Brentford have scored in around 80% of their last matches.
‘Over 2.5 goals’ is a strong additional tip, as many Liverpool games have recently exceeded this mark and Brentford has conceded goals in four consecutive games.
As a hedge, X2 at around 1.21 is recommended as a safety-oriented bet, as Liverpool, despite being favorites (odds approx. 1.7), are struggling with form and personnel uncertainties.
Brentford’s home strength increases the potential for an upset; Liverpool’s internal player meetings point to increased fighting spirit, but also to mental fragility.
When it comes to bankroll management, remember that no bet is safe; only bet a small, predetermined percentage of your bankroll (e.g., 1–3% per tip). Combination bets increase the odds, but also the risk.
Check the latest team news shortly before kick-off, as recommendations are based on form and statistics. Only gamble where sports betting is legal and bet responsibly.
Brentford Form & Record Check
Brentford is currently in 13th place with 10 points; the team has won two, drawn one, and lost two of its last five games.
The recent 2-0 away win at West Ham was their first away win of the season; they previously beat Manchester United 3-1 but suffered defeats against Manchester City and Fulham.
The vulnerability of the defense at the start of the game is striking: in four of the last five games, the hosts were already behind at halftime; in all five games, Brentford conceded goals, often in the first half.
Offensively, Brentford scored in four of five games and shows punch with players like Thiago and Schade.
The second halves were mostly quiet: in all five games, fewer than 1.5 goals were scored after the break, while 80% of these games saw more than 1.5 goals in total.
Long throw-ins are currently a recurring weapon; Brentford has used them several times to put pressure on opponents such as West Ham and create scoring opportunities.
In terms of injuries, Antoni Milambo is out for the entire season with a cruciate ligament rupture; Paris Maghoma is expected to be out until the end of October with a thigh injury, while Aaron Hickey could be fit again after minor setbacks.
Summer transfer spending was just under £93 million, which currently equates to around £9.3 million per point; early counterattacks and set pieces are promising against tactically disciplined teams.
Head coach Keith Andrews is likely to stick with the tried-and-tested 4-2-3-1 system that proved successful in the recent 2-0 win at West Ham.
Kelleher is expected to start in goal, with Kayode, Collins, van den Berg, and Henry forming the back four.
Henderson and Yarmolyuk are expected to provide cover in defensive midfield, while Ouattara, Damsgaard, and Schade will provide impetus in the attacking triangle, with Thiago leading the line.
Key absences: Milambo is out long term with a cruciate ligament rupture, meaning the €20 million transfer is out of action for the time being; Maghoma is currently still training with the B team after a thigh injury.
The team will rely on its standard strengths; one advantage is its effectiveness from long throw-ins, from which it has already scored seven goals this season.
Liverpool Form & Record Check
Liverpool were in the midst of an acute form crisis after four consecutive defeats against Crystal Palace (1-2), Galatasaray (without conceding a goal), Chelsea (1-2), and Manchester United (1-2), prompting captain Virgil van Dijk to urge the team to remain calm, stick together, and have confidence in themselves.
The response came immediately with a 5-1 win in Frankfurt: Hugo Ekitiké equalized early on, van Dijk and Konaté headed home to make it 3-1 at halftime, and Gakpo and Szoboszlai sealed the comfortable victory, with Florian Wirtz increasingly proving himself to be a creative linchpin.
Mohamed Salah was once again on the bench, raising questions about the Egyptian’s integration into the system; Alexander Isak had to be substituted at half-time in Frankfurt due to groin problems, but Slot hopes it is nothing long-term.
Liverpool are third in the league with 15 points, level with Bournemouth and just one point behind Manchester City, but their league record remains a concern with four defeats in five games.
A striking pattern: in their last five games, Liverpool have conceded at least one goal before the break and have been behind at half-time four times, but have managed to fight back in four of those five games.
Key questions are the integration of Salah into the system, the physical availability of Isak, and the return of Alisson, which will determine the sustainability of the crisis recovery.
Liverpool are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation; Alisson is still out with a thigh injury, so Mamardashvili is expected to start in goal.
In defense, Kevin Frimpong, Ibrahima Konaté, Virgil van Dijk, and Andrew Robertson could form the back four.
In central midfield, Kaoru Endo and Alexis Mac Allister are set to start; Ryan Gravenberch remains a possible alternative.
In the attacking positions, Mohamed Salah could once again be left out of the starting lineup despite his strong statistics, while Florian Wirtz is increasingly building up play; Cody Gakpo and Christopher Ekitiké would take up the other attacking positions, although Ekitiké’s involvement will be closely monitored due to his groin problems.
Brentford – Liverpool Head-to-Head & Statistics
The head-to-head record between Brentford and Liverpool is clear: Liverpool have won all of the last five meetings, with Brentford failing to pick up a point in that series.
The Bees’ last victory dates back to May 2023, when Liverpool won 1-0; recent results show Liverpool’s dominance: January 2025 ended 2-0 for Liverpool, August 2024 also 2-0, and in February 2024 Liverpool achieved the highest score of the series with 4-1.
In four of the five games, Liverpool was already leading at halftime; in none of the five games did Brentford score in the first half, and in total, none of the games saw more than 1.5 goals before the break.
The pattern is clear: Liverpool scores regularly and often before halftime, while Brentford has so far struggled in vain to get on the scoreboard.
