With equal points but different concerns, Real Betis and Atlético Madrid face each other on Monday at the Estadio de La Cartuja. Both teams are in 5th and 6th place with 16 points each, but while Manuel Pellegrini is under pressure following speculation about a possible change of coach, Diego Simeone is struggling with his team’s surprising away form, which has seen them fail to win a single game on the road this season. The historical record clearly favors the Argentine: 18 wins in 25 league games against Betis, while Pellegrini has only triumphed once in 14 encounters. After Atlético’s bitter 4-0 defeat at Arsenal and Betis’ first goalless game in 32 matches, a 0-0 draw in Genk, both teams are facing a decisive duel in the tight midfield of the league.
- Venue: Estadio de La Cartuja, Seville
- Date and time: October 27, 2025, 9:00 p.m.
- Competition: La Liga (Matchday 10)
The recommendations for this match are based on three core bets: Both teams to score, Double Chance X2, and Over 2.5 goals. The statistics support these tips, as both teams have scored and conceded in around 80 percent of their last games. Atlético’s recent defensive vulnerability, impressively documented by conceding goals in four of their last five games, including the 7-1 defeat to PSG, meets Betis’ home scoring prowess. However, without the injured Isco, the Andalusians lack creative punch, which has manifested itself in several goalless draws. Simeone’s impressive record of nine wins in 14 games against Pellegrini gives the X2 bet additional value compared to the market odds of around 2.2 for Atlético. Risk factors remain Simeone’s possible tactical defensive approach after the Arsenal defeat and the general tendency for close, low-scoring games between the two teams, with four of the last five encounters ending with under 3.5 goals.
Betis Form & Record Check
Real Betis are in impressive form in the league, with nine games without defeat. Their recent successes, including a 2-2 draw at Villarreal with Antony scoring twice, away wins against Espanyol (2-1) and Ludogorets (2-0), and a 2-0 home win against Osasuna, underline their current stability. Particularly noteworthy was the streak of 28 consecutive league games with goals scored, a new club record that only recently ended after 32 games with a scoreless draw in Genk. Defensively, the team has been solid, with Betis conceding no more than 1.5 goals in the first half in 80 percent of their games. Isco’s absence until November is a creative blow, but Antony seems ready to fill the gap. Rotation in the European Cup helps Pellegrini keep his squad fresh.
Manuel Pellegrini is likely to stick with his tried-and-tested 4-2-3-1 system. Valles is expected to start in goal, with Bellerín, Llorente, Gómez, and Rodríguez forming the back four. Amrabat and Roca are expected to play in defensive midfield, while Antony, Lo Celso, and Riquelme will form the attacking trio. Bakambu could start as the lone striker. Isco is out with a broken fibula and is not expected to return until November. His absence gives Antony the opportunity to confirm his recent strong form, and his decision-making will be particularly important against Atlético’s compact defense.
Atletico Form & Record Check
Atlético Madrid have been in inconsistent form, with three wins, one draw, and a heavy 4-0 defeat at Arsenal in their last five competitive games. Things are going better in La Liga: the 1-0 win against Osasuna followed a 1-1 draw in Vigo and a spectacular 5-2 derby win against Real Madrid. Their glaring weakness away from home remains the main problem, with no wins in five away games this season, three draws and two defeats, making the trip to Sevilla a test for Simeone’s team. Defensively, the picture is mixed: four goals conceded in the last five games point to vulnerability, but at the same time, the team has not conceded a goal at half-time in recent games. Offensively, the duo of Julián Álvarez and Alexander Sørloth is working increasingly well, while Griezmann and Álex Baena provide additional options from the bench. Johnny Cardoso remains sidelined with ankle problems.
Diego Simeone is likely to revert to his tried-and-tested 4-4-2 system after the heavy defeat in London. The expected starting lineup: Oblak in goal, Molina, Le Normand, Giménez, and Hancko in defense. Llorente, Koke, Barrios, and González are likely to form the midfield, with Griezmann and Álvarez up front. The return to the familiar system should guarantee defensive stability and clear roles in midfield. Johnny Cardoso is still out with an ankle injury. His absence significantly reduces the rotation options in the center and increases the burden on Llorente, Koke, and Barrios, which could force Simeone to take a more conservative approach.
Betis – Atlético Head-to-Head & Statistics
Atlético Madrid have dominated the last five encounters, winning three, with Betis winning just one and one draw. Particularly impressive was the 4-1 win in May 2025, when the Colchoneros demonstrated their class in the second half. The duels are traditionally characterized by tactics and caution, with four of the five games remaining under 3.5 goals. The last two encounters were 0-0 at halftime, a clear indication of the defensive approach of both teams in the early stages. Betis’ recent 1-0 win in October 2024 was the exception in this series and could serve as encouragement to once again achieve something against Atlético’s strong counterattacking offense.
