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Bayern Munich – Werder Bremen
Our Bayern – Bremen betting tip is: Kane scores and Bayern win – 1.45 odds
- Bayern have won nine of their ten BL home games
- Werder have won just two of their last six BL away games
- Kane has scored eleven times in his last seven BL home games
On Friday evening, we can look forward to the opening of the 21st Bundesliga matchday. Bundesliga matchday awaits us with the clash between FC Bayern Munich and SV Werder Bremen. While the hosts go into this match as league leaders, the visitors are eighth in the table.
Bayern won their last league game 4:3 at home against promoted Kiel. Before that, they won 3-1 in the Champions League against Slovan Bratislava last week. Bayern have therefore scored at least three goals in each of their last six home games.
Werder, on the other hand, won their last league game 1-0 against Mainz. In a turbulent final phase, Bremen conceded two yellow-red cards and a straight red card against coach Ole Werner at the end of the game. As a result, Bremen are missing some key personnel for Friday’s game. Their last away game ended in a 2-2 draw against BVB. Find out whether Bremen can pull off a surprise win this time or whether Bayern can maintain their winning streak in our Bayern – Bremen betting tip.
Bayern – Bremen Info
- Date & Time: 07.02.2025, 20:30
- Location: Allianz-Arena, Munich
- Competition: Bundesliga, 21. Spieltag
- TV broadcast/livestream: DAZN
Bayern Form & Bilanz Check
FC Bayern Munich go into their 116th Bundesliga clash with Werder Bremen as clear favorites – no other match has been played so often in Bundesliga history. With 51 points from 20 games, FCB are enjoying their best season in nine years. Munich have only achieved a better haul at this stage in 2013/14 (56) and 2015/16 (53) under Pep Guardiola.
After six Bundesliga wins in a row under Vincent Kompany – the last time the club achieved such a run was in 2020 under Hansi Flick (14) – Bayern lead the top five European leagues with an impressive win rate of 80%. The offense is functioning at a top level: With 62 goals after 20 games, this mark has only been surpassed once in BL history – by Bayern themselves in the 2021-22 season (65 goals). The team is particularly prolific at home: they have scored at least three goals in each of their last eight Bundesliga home games, a streak they last achieved in 1993.
Despite this offensive strength, there are defensive weaknesses. Six goals conceded in the first three games of the second half of the season – the only other time this millennium that Bayern have conceded that number was in 2006/07. The vulnerability in the final quarter of an hour is also striking: three goals conceded in the second half of the second half of the season equals the total number from the first half.
Kane keeps on scoring
Standard situations are a decisive factor: Bayern scored the most standard goals in the league (16) together with Wolfsburg and also conceded the most penalties (seven). At the same time, together with Werder Bremen, they have conceded the fewest goals from set pieces (four).
Harry Kane remains a key player: The Englishman scored his 54th and 55th goals in his 50th Bundesliga game – a new record for the most goals in the first 50 BL games. He made his debut in August 2023 against Werder Bremen, where he scored his first goal for Munich. New signing Michael Olise is also improving his form: With seven assists, he shares second place in the league with Bremen’s Marvin Ducksch – only Florian Wirtz (nine) has more assists. Notably, Olise was directly involved in four goals (two goals, two assists) for the first time in 102 first league games in England and Germany in the 5-0 win over Bremen in the first leg.
Bayern Facts & Analysis
- Best league win percentage in the top 5 leagues
- Scored at least three times in the last eight home games
- Scored at least three times in the last eight home games
- Scored at least three times in the last eight home games. scored three times
- The last time they conceded six goals in the first three second-round games was in 2006/07
Bremen Form & Bilanz Check
Werder Bremen are playing their best Bundesliga season in 13 years with 30 points after 20 games. The last time Werder had a better haul was in the 2011/12 season (32 points). The team is particularly strong away from home: Bremen have already picked up 17 points away from home – the same number as in the entire previous season.
Defensively, Werder have been stable this season: no team has conceded fewer goals by default (four) than Bremen and Bayern. Bremen are also the only team in the league yet to concede a penalty. Marvin Ducksch, who is one of the best assist providers in the Bundesliga with seven assists, is particularly impressive in attack.
Bremen with a few absentees
However, coach Ole Werner will have to watch from the stands in the clash with FC Bayern – he is suspended following his red card. In addition, Niklas Stark and captain Marco Friedl (both yellow-red) will be missing in defense. Werder’s record without Friedl is alarming: in the last nine Bundesliga games without their captain, they have only managed one win, while the team has conceded an average of 2.8 goals per game. Particularly bitter: The 0:5 in the first leg against FC Bayern also took place in a match without Friedl.
Werder’s current form is mixed: they have only won one of their last nine Bundesliga games. Nevertheless, they have the chance to spring a surprise against the record champions – especially as Bremen’s last win against Bayern came in their last clash in Munich (1-0 in January 2024).
Bremen facts & Analysis
- Best Bundesliga season for 13 season for 13 years
- Already scored as many points away from home as in the previous season
- Bremen without coach and defensive duo Friedl and Stark
We expect FC Bayern to play in a 4-2-3-1 system again under the management of Vincent Kompany. Bayern will continue to build on their strong home record in the league.
Bremen, on the other hand, are expected to return to a 3-5-2 system under the management of Ole Werner, who will not be on the sidelines. Pieper and Köhn could replace the suspended Friedl and Stark in central defense.
Bayern – Bremen head-to-head & stats
FC Bayern Munich and Werder Bremen have met 130 times in their history, with the Munich side clearly having the upper hand with 74 wins. Bremen have prevailed in 29 games, while 27 matches have ended without a winner. Bayern’s offensive power was particularly evident in these encounters: with 273 goals scored, they have scored almost twice as many as Werder (145).
Looking at the various competitions, 115 of these duels took place in the Bundesliga, while the teams also faced each other nine times in the DFB Cup as well as in other competitions such as the German Super Cup, the League Cup and the Telekom Cup. Historically, Bayern therefore have a clear advantage, but Bremen have always managed to surprise in the past – most recently with a 1-0 away win in Munich in January 2024.