Augsburg vs. Wolfsburg Tip, Prediction & Odds Bundesliga 04.10.2025

Home » Augsburg vs. Wolfsburg Tip, Prediction & Odds Bundesliga 04.10.2025

Augsburg’s impressive record of five unbeaten games against Wolfsburg adds a special touch to the basement battle at the WWK Arena. FC Augsburg welcomes the Wolves in a critical situation for coach Sandro Wagner: After a bitter 1-2 defeat in Heidenheim, FCA are in 16th place in the table with only three points. Wolfsburg are in a slightly better position in twelfth place with five points, but their home misery with eleven winless games in their own arena and the recent 0-1 defeat against Leipzig show that things are also in disarray in Lower Saxony. Coach Paul Simonis also has to continue working with an emergency plan in central defense, while Wagner has to do without his defensive leader Gouweleeuw. The recent history between the two clubs, with three Augsburg wins in the last five encounters, should give Wagner additional courage, especially as his team showed signs of life again with a late goal against Heidenheim.

  • Venue: WWK Arena, Augsburg
  • Date and time: October 4, 2025, 3:30 p.m.
  • Competition: Bundesliga (Matchday 6)

Augsburg form & record check

FC Augsburg’s current form is worrying. With only one win from their last five Bundesliga games and 16th place in the table, Sandro Wagner’s team is not yet stable. The only bright spot was the 3-1 away win in Freiburg at the start of the season. The Fuggerstadt team’s defensive weakness is particularly striking: they have conceded goals in all five of their last games, regularly falling behind at halftime. The 1-4 home defeat against Mainz highlighted this problem in particular, even though there were clear signs of offensive momentum. The recent 1-2 defeat in Heidenheim showed the typical pattern of this season. Augsburg fell behind early again, fought their way back, but conceded the decisive goal in the second half. Tietz’s late goal in the 90th minute came too late and underlined the lack of efficiency at crucial moments. Augsburg score regularly, but have yet to keep a clean sheet this season. This defensive vulnerability could prove to be a serious problem, especially with Gouweleeuw, the first-choice center back, still out injured.

Wagner is likely to field his preferred 3-3-3-1 formation. Dahmen will be between the posts, while the back three could consist of Matsima, Schlotterbeck, and Zesiger. Jakic, Massengo, and Fellhauer are options in midfield. The absence of captain Gouweleeuw due to knee problems remains an important factor in defense. Up front, Wagner could rely on the speed of Wolf and Claude-Maurice, with Rieder providing creativity behind striker Essende. This lineup is, of course, only a prediction; Wagner will announce the final starting eleven shortly before kickoff.

Wolfsburg Form & Record Check

The Wolves from Wolfsburg are currently stuck in a phase where nothing really seems to be coming together. With only five points from their first five Bundesliga games and 12th place in the table, this is certainly not what they had imagined after their promising 3-1 opening win in Heidenheim. Particularly striking is their home misery, which now spans eleven games without a win. The recent 0-1 defeat to RB Leipzig was symptomatic of Wolfsburg’s current problems. Paul Simonis’ team created chances and put Leipzig under pressure time and again, but Bakayoko’s early goal after only eight minutes put them in a difficult position. Christian Eriksen made his home debut and even had a good opportunity, but in the end, the team lacked the necessary punch. The defensive problems cannot be ignored. In the last five games, Wolfsburg has conceded goals without exception, often in the first half. The 3-3 draw against Cologne was entertaining, but it also revealed the team’s vulnerability at the back. Added to this are considerable personnel problems in central defense. Denis Vavro is still out with an adductor injury, Jenson Seelt has had thigh problems, and Rogério and the attacking players Paredes and Lindstrøm are also injured. Simonis has already had to come up with contingency plans to move Kilian Fischer or Vini Souza into central defense if necessary. However, Seelt seems to be an option again for the Augsburg game. Despite their meager points haul, Wolfsburg are only two points behind Union Berlin in tenth place, which illustrates how tight the mid-table is.

VfL Wolfsburg are likely to start with their usual 4-2-3-1 formation. Coach Paul Simonis can breathe a sigh of relief: Jenson Seelt has returned to training after his thigh injury and is available as an option. This significantly eases the recently precarious situation in central defense. The starting eleven will probably feature Grabara in goal, with Fischer, Jenz, Koulierakis, and Mæhle forming the back four in front of him. In defensive midfield, Vini Souza and Arnold are likely to stabilize the center, while Wimmer, Svanberg, and Amoura will provide creativity. Wind is expected to lead the line. Denis Vavro will continue to be absent after his adductor surgery, as will the injured Jesper Lindstrøm. Kevin Paredes and Rogério are also unavailable. Despite his return to team training, Seelt could initially take a seat on the bench.

H2H Augsburg – Wolfsburg Head-to-head comparison & statistics

The head-to-head record between Augsburg and Wolfsburg speaks for itself. In the last five meetings, the Fuggerstadt club has put together an impressive run: three wins and two draws, while the Wolves have yet to win a single game. The consistency of Augsburg’s offense in this series is remarkable. They have scored in all five encounters, even four times by halftime. The most recent 1-0 win in March 2025 was almost uncharacteristically low-scoring for this matchup. The games between the two teams are usually high-scoring. Four of the last five encounters ended with at least two goals, three even with at least three goals. The spectacular 3-2 win in October 2023 and the 3-1 win in Wolfsburg in March 2024 demonstrate the offensive potential of both teams. Wolfsburg’s weakness in the first half against Augsburg is particularly noticeable. The Wolves have conceded at least one goal before the break in four of the last five duels. Only the 1-1 draw in November 2024 remained goalless at half-time, although both teams scored in the end.

The first tip, “Both teams to score: Yes” at odds of 1.57, seems almost inevitable: Augsburg has both scored and conceded in all five league games, while Wolfsburg has also conceded at least one goal in every game. The absences of Gouweleeuw and Vavro further weaken both central defenses. The second tip, “Over 1.5 goals – 1st half” at odds of 2.5, reflects Augsburg’s tendency to produce early thrills: four of the last five first halves have produced at least two goals, and the Wolves have conceded before the break in four of five games. Wagner’s offensive approach and the home pressure could lead to more early goals. The third tip on a draw with odds of 3.5 is certainly justified: the bookmakers see Wolfsburg as slight favorites, but both teams have only won one game so far. Augsburg’s four defeats have all come by a single goal, while the Wolves have already picked up points away in Dortmund and Frankfurt, which suggests a balanced basement battle that could well be shared.

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