Atletico Madrid – Alaves
Our Atletico Madrid – Alaves betting tip is: Under 2.5 goals – 1.50 odds
- Few goals in the last direct duels
- Last meeting in April 2024, 2:0 win for Alaves.
- Atletico home fortress, Alaves weak away
Atletico Madrid face Deportivo Alaves in a thrilling La Liga clash at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on November 23 at 16:15. While Atlético are currently third in the table with 26 points and are within striking distance of the league leaders with a stable goal tally of +12, Alaves are fighting to stay in mid-table and travel to Madrid in fifteenth place with 13 points and a negative goal difference of -8.
Atletico Madrid, coached by the charismatic Diego Simeone, have shown good form in their last five games with three wins, one draw and one defeat. The Colchoneros remain a force at home, even if the defensive stability that has long been a trademark currently leaves something to be desired.
On the other hand, Luis García Plaza and his Alaves team must find solutions as quickly as possible if they are to end their negative run of six defeats from their last seven games. The Basque side’s offense in particular is proving to be a problem, which is underlined by their low goal tally and high goal conceded rate. The weekend will show whether they can capitalize on Madrid’s tactical weaknesses.
Atletico Madrid – Alaves Info
- Date & Time: 23.11.2024, 16:15
- Location: Civitas Metropolitano, Madrid
- Competition: La Liga, 14. Matchday
- TV broadcast/livestream: DAZN 1
Atletico Madrid Form & Balance Check
Atletico Madrid go into their upcoming La Liga encounter against Alaves in robust form. Diego Simeone’s side have impressed with a run of wins in their last two games, entering the field in third place in the table behind just a few points off the top positions. Of particular note was the narrow but deserved 1-0 away win over Mallorca, where Atletico managed to showcase their defensive strength and finishing efficiency despite physical challenges, including several yellow cards. In the Champions League, they produced one of their best performances in a 2-1 away win over Paris Saint Germain, instilling new confidence in the Atletico collective.
Nevertheless, the path was not without its setbacks. The 4-0 defeat to Benfica was emphatic, a result that raised questions about the stability of the defense and, in the context of European competitions, highlighted the challenges the team must face. This inconsistency was again evident in the match against Lille, which also ended in a 3-1 defeat. Despite these grievances, Atletico proved their ability to hit back quickly against Real Betis and Las Palmas by responding with decisive victories.
Sørloth in top form
The attacking strength, driven primarily by the in-form Alexander Sørloth, has proved crucial, particularly at key moments when his accuracy has made the difference. But while the offense has impressed, the defense has occasionally faltered, something the coaching staff will need to address if they are to compete in the league and internationally in the long term. With a consistent defensive strategy and unpredictability in offense, Atletico will go into their next match against Alaves with optimism, hoping to further strengthen their points tally and increase the pressure on the La Liga leaders.
Atletico Madrid Facts & Analysis
- 3rd place in La Liga with 26 points
- Coach Diego Simeone relies on pressing
- 72% win probability according to bookmakers
Alaves Form & Balance Check
Alaves are currently entering their La Liga match against Atletico Madrid on the back of a less than convincing run. Luis García Plaza’s side have won just twice in their last ten La Liga encounters, surprising Mallorca with a narrow 1-0 win on November 1. However, the bitter 3-0 defeat against Villarreal on November 9 raises questions about their defense.
This weakness was already evident in the game against Barcelona in October, when Lewandowski caused the net to shake three times, mercilessly exposing Alaves’ deficient defense. Despite a glorious cup win over Compostela, Alaves suffered another 3-2 defeat to Valladolid in the league, a game they could have taken control of but conceded due to defensive laxity.
Want to escape the relegation battle
The team are stuck in 15th place in the table on just 13 points and urgently need to find their form to escape the looming relegation zone. With a goal difference of -8 and a conspicuous accumulation of full defeats, it is essential for Alaves to approach the upcoming games more strategically in order to avert the impending crisis with a more stable defensive concept.
Alaves Facts & Analysis
- Fifteenth place with 13 points in La Liga
- Surprise win over Mallorca last time out
- Offense weak: 1.1 goals/game
Atletico Madrid – Alaves head-to-head & stats
The direct comparison between the two teams is balanced with three wins for Atletico Madrid and two wins for Alaves in the last five encounters. The last match took place in April 2024, when Alaves came out on top 2-0. Remarkably, none of the last five encounters have ended in a draw, which is indicative of the intense clash between the two teams. Both teams have a high frequency of low-scoring first halves, with the Over/Under 1.5-goal value being undercut three times in a row.
Direct comparison (H2H)
