Atalanta Bergamo – Juventus
Our Atalanta – Juventus betting tip is: Under 2.5 goals – 1.73 odds
- Both have solid defenses
- Go against a direct rival
- Juventus with six draws from their last seven games
The Serie A match between Atalanta and Juventus promises to be exciting, as both teams face different challenges. Atalanta are coming off a points split in Udine, while Juventus are looking to find form after a string of draws.
Interesting highlights were the amazing derby where Juventus took an early lead but ended 1-1, and Atalanta’s ongoing strong season which shows a six point lead to Lazio.
It remains to be seen how this rivalry will play out in the upcoming match as both teams battle for top positions. Find out who has the edge here in our Atalanta – Juventus betting tip.
Atalanta – Juventus info
- Game venue: Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
- Date and time: 14.01. 2025, 20:45
- Competition: Serie A, Matchday 19
- TV broadcast: Sky
Atalanta Form & Balance Check
Atalanta are currently in somewhat inconsistent form. The recent 0-0 draw at Udinese was the second goalless draw in a row, following an impressive 3-2 home win over Empoli and a furious 6-1 win over Cesena in the cup. Interestingly, there is a clear pattern here: while the offense regularly works at home, Gasperini’s team has a much harder time away from home, which is also underlined by the 2-0 defeat in the Super Cup against Inter.
Does Atalanta stay up?
The strong position in the table is noteworthy – in third place, Atalanta is only one point behind Inter and has built up a comfortable six-point lead over Lazio. However, the statistics from recent matches also show a certain vulnerability in defense – they have conceded goals in 80% of their last five games. To be honest, the lack of real defensive stability is noticeable here, even if the offense with goal scorers like Lookman usually provides sufficient goal threat.
One could be forgiven for thinking that Atalanta are currently falling somewhat short of their potential – especially in away games, they often lack the final punch. Nevertheless, the overall development has been good and the team has even exceeded the expectations of many experts by finishing third in the table. It remains to be seen whether Gasperini can lead his team to more consistency again, especially with a view to the upcoming important matches.
Atalanta Facts & Analysis
- 3. 3rd place in the table
- No wins from the last three competitive matches
- Second best attack in Serie A
Based on the information available, Atalanta have matched them well in the 3-4-1-2 system used so far this season. The defense is strengthened by ki back three, while the offense is supported by creative midfielders and robust up top.
However, coach Gasperini will have to compensate for a number of absentees, which could possibly lead to changes.
Juventus Form & Balance Check
Juventus are currently going through a mixed phase, which was also reflected in the recent Turin derby (1:1). The early goal by the gem Kenan Yıldız could not be converted into a win – symptomatic of the current state of the Italian record champions.
The “Old Lady” have only managed four draws from their last five league games and a narrow win against bottom-of-the-table Monza. The lack of penetration in attack, where the absence of the injured Dušan Vlahović is clearly noticeable, is particularly worrying.
Juventus still lacking form?
The statistics show that Juventus have always scored in the last five games, but lack the necessary efficiency in front of goal to win close games. The 1:2 in the Super Cup against AC Milan underlined this problem once again.
With fifth place and 33 points, the team of coach Thiago Motta, who was shown the red card in the derby after a scuffle, is currently three points behind Lazio in fourth place.
It is interesting to note that they are only one point ahead of their closest rivals Fiorentina – Champions League qualification currently seems anything but certain. One may well wonder whether the defensive stability of the first half of the season will be enough to achieve the ambitious goals of the season without an improvement in offense.
Juventus facts & Analysis
- Six draws from the last seven Serie A games
- Second-best defense
- Only team in Serie A without a defeat
Juventus are likely to line up in their usual 4-2-3-1 system, although some adjustments will be necessary due to injuries. Di Gregorio will once again stand between the posts after his convincing performance in the derby. Bremer is still missing in defense due to injury, which is why Gatti and Danilo are likely to form the central defense. With Kalulu and McKennie on the wing, a stable formation has been formed. Locatelli and Douglas Luiz will probably pull the strings in defensive midfield. The line-up in attack will be interesting: with Vlahovic missing through injury, Milik could play as the sole striker. Behind him, Yildiz, who has already scored in the derby, Koopmeiners and González are likely to form the attacking midfield. You can tell that the team is looking for stability after their recent mixed results.
Atalanta – Juventus head-to-head & stats
A look at the most recent matches between Atalanta and Juventus reveals some interesting patterns. The last five encounters have been characterized by tactical discipline and a lack of goals.
Juventus are slightly ahead – they have won two of their last five games, while three have ended in draws. Remarkably, fewer than 2.5 goals per game have been scored in the last three meetings.
Juventus won the most recent encounter 1-0 in the Coppa Italia in May 2024. Before that, there was a 2-2 draw in Turin in March 2024 – interestingly, the only game in the last five duels with more than two goals. The two teams drew goalless in October 2023.
What is striking is that the first half was goalless in all five games – a remarkable streak. Goals, if any, were only scored after the break. A clear pattern to keep an eye on, to be honest.
The two other encounters were a 0-0 draw in a test match (August 2023) and a 2-0 away win for Juventus in May 2023.
It is also interesting to note that Atalanta are yet to win against the Old Lady in these five matches. You might think that a psychological advantage has developed for Juventus here
