Arsenal FC – Liverpool FC
In the Bundesliga, the ball is still resting for the weekend. But in other European leagues, the action continues unabated. The Premier League, which normally has no winter break, is also taking a break this week due to the 3rd round of the FA Cup. The top game of this round takes place early on Sunday evening when league leaders Liverpool travel to the Emirates Stadium. Find out who will win the top game in our Arsenal – Liverpool betting tip.
This clash has already taken place in the league one day before Christmas Eve. Back then, the hosts from North London were still top of the table and defended their lead with a hard-fought 0-0 draw. However, the Gunners then suffered two disappointing defeats against local London rivals West Ham and Fulham.
The two defeats saw Arsenal plummet to fourth place. Meanwhile, their upcoming opponents Liverpool took over the top spot. The Reds have won their last two games and recently dispatched Newcastle 4-2.
Arsenal – Liverpool info
- Date & Time: 07.01.2024, 17:30 hrs.
- Location: Emirates Stadium, London
- Competition: FA Cup, 3rd round
- TV broadcast: DAZN
Arsenal Form & Balance Check
After the Gunners had been in contention for the championship for a long time in pre-season, many fans were hoping for the next step ahead of the season. And up until Christmas, the north Londoners looked very confident in the championship battle. After the draw in the top match against Liverpool, Arsenal celebrated Christmas Eve on the throne of the Premier League.
But between Christmas and New Year, coach Mikel Arteta’s team stumbled remarkably. First, Arsenal suffered their first home defeat of the season with a 2-0 loss to West Ham, followed by a 2-1 defeat at Fulham on New Year’s Eve. As a result, the Gunners plummeted from first to fourth place
At war with the FA Cup
After reaching the Champions League 20 years in a row under manager Arsène Wenger, Arsenal went through a six-year drought between 2017 and 2022. But even when things weren’t going so well in the league, the Gunners regularly delivered in the FA Cup. Between 2014 and 2020, the north Londoners lifted the FA Cup four times.
However, since their triumph in the final against Chelsea in 2020, things have not been going well for the Gunners in the cup. Arsenal have been eliminated in the 4th round in two of the last three seasons. In the 2021/2022 season, Arteta’s men even exited in the 3rd round. The Gunners now want to end their FA Cup curse against Liverpool
Arsenal facts & analysis
- When Arsenal FC lead 1-0 in home matches, they win 82% of them.
- When Arsenal FC is 0-1 down in home matches they win 45% of them.
- The most common result between Arsenal FC and Liverpool FC is 1-1. 11 matches ended like this.
Liverpool Form & Balance Check
Liverpool FC endured a series of disappointments last season. On the one hand, LFC were eliminated in the last 16 of the Champions League against Real Madrid. The Reds also bowed out early in the other cup competitions. In the Premier League, little to nothing came together either.
In the end, they only finished 5th in the table and thus failed to qualify for the Europa League. This season, however, things are going much better for coach Jürgen Klopp’s team. The Reds are currently top of the table and have only conceded one defeat in the Premier League season. They also recorded two hugely important victories between the holidays
High chance density
The Reds’ offense in particular has really got going again this season. Liverpool have scored a very strong 43 goals in their first 20 games, making them the second-best attacking side in the Premier League behind Manchester City and Aston Villa.
A look at the xG table also reveals that the Reds are currently in first place. This means that Liverpool have created more chances than any other Premier League team so far. The game against Newcastle on New Year’s Day was a prime example of this. LFC finished with an xG of an incredible 7.27, a record for a Premier League match
Liverpool facts & analysis
- Liverpool FC haven’t lost any of their last 4 games.
- When Liverpool FC is leading 0-1 in away games, they win 57% of them.
- When Liverpool FC is 1-0 down in away games they win 33% of them.
Predicted lineup – last update on January 6, 2024
Arsenal will also start in the FA Cup with a 4-3-3. Compared to the 2-1 defeat to Fulham, we expect only a few changes to the starting eleven. However, Gabriel Jesus is expected to return in the center of the attack and Ramsdale will be in the box. Takehiro Tomiyasu and Mohamed Elneny will be missing for the Gunners due to international duty.
We also expect Liverpool to play a 4-3-3 again. Substitute keeper Caoimhín Kelleher will probably be in goal. However, Wataru Endo and Mohamed Salah are away on international duty and will not be available
Arsenal – Liverpool head-to-head & stats
The two teams have met in 170 matches and Liverpool have the edge in the head-to-head comparison. The Reds have secured 66 victories, while the Gunners have only won 53 times against the team from Merseyside. The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw.
- In the last 72 meetings, Arsenal FC have come out on top 20 times. 26 games ended in a draw, Liverpool FC won 26 times. The goal difference for Liverpool FC is 126-98.
- The average number of goals in meetings between Arsenal FC and Liverpool FC is 3.
- Liverpool FC have won just 1 of their last 5 matches in all competitions against Arsenal FC.
- The average number of goals in the first half in meetings between Arsenal FC and Liverpool FC is 1.8.
- Arsenal FC scores 2.57 goals on average in home matches and Liverpool FC scores 1.81 goals on average in away matches (on average).
