AC Milan – Fiorentina betting tip, prediction & odds – 05/04/2025 Serie A

Home » AC Milan – Fiorentina betting tip, prediction & odds – 05/04/2025 Serie A

AC Milan – Fiorentina

Exciting omens at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza: on the 31st matchday of the Serie A, AC Milan, in 9th place in the table, will face Fiorentina, who are only one place better. Both teams are separated by four points – a direct showdown for important points in the race for international places. Milan look shaky after only two wins in five league games, while Fiorentina are on an upward trend under coach Raffaele Palladino. The clash promises to be a explosive one.

Milan – Fiorentina Info

  • Stadium: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
  • Date and Time: 05.04.2025, 20:45
  • Competition: Serie A (Regular Season – 31)

Milan Form & record Check

Under the direction of Sérgio Conceição, Milan are going through a difficult phase. Although they managed a 1-1 draw against Inter in the recent Coppa Italia derby, they have recently suffered two defeats in the league. It is noticeable that the Rossoneri often struggle in the first half and go into the break without scoring. In four of their last five matches, they have even trailed before turning on the pressure after the break. At least the attacking duo of Christian Pulišić and Rafael Leão are often a threat, and Abraham has also scored reliably of late. Nevertheless, these moments have usually not been enough to secure points, which is why the pressure on Conceição is growing.

Milan are expected to field a 4-2-3-1 formation again. Maignan in goal and a back four of Walker, Gabbia, Thiaw and Hernández are largely set, while Fofana and Reijnders are expected to pull the strings in central midfield. Loftus-Cheek is missing due to an appendectomy, and Musah is out with the flu. Jiménez is therefore likely to move up into the attacking three alongside Pulišić and Leão, with Abraham likely to start as the central striker.

Fiorentina Form & record Check

Fiorentina, on the other hand, have been playing with confidence for weeks and, with 51 points, are one place ahead of Milan. A 1-0 win over Atalanta saw Raffaele Palladino’s side underline their tactical stability once again, with goalscorer Moise Kean playing a major role in the success. The forward, who once considered a career in music, has become a key player and openly dreams of winning the World Cup with the Squadra Azzurra. In their last five competitive games, Fiorentina have won three and scored at least once in each of them. Interestingly, more than 80% of these matches have seen over 1.5 goals, with the team often scoring before half-time. The clear 3-0 victory over Juventus is testament to their offensive strength, while in the international competition, a 3-1 win over Panathinaikos at times showcased some brilliant football. However, Florence remain vulnerable, as the 1-2 defeat to Napoli shows. So far, they lack the consistency to consistently compete at the top of the table.

Fiorentina manager Palladino is expected to field a 3-5-2 formation. The back three could be Pongračić, Ranieri and Marí, with Terracciano expected between the posts. Mandragora, Cataldi and Fagioli are likely to control the game in central midfield, supported on the wings by Dodô and Parisi. The long-term absence of Robin Gosens further complicates the personnel situation on the wing. In attack, the in-form duo Guðmundsson and Kean are expected to start. However, the continued absence of Edoardo Bove, who has to sit this one out due to heart problems, is a cause for concern.

Milan – Fiorentina head to head & statistics

There have been no draws in the last five meetings between Milan and Fiorentina: there has been a winner each time. Although Milan have won three of those matches overall, the most recent encounter in October 2024 ended 2-1 to Fiorentina. It is worth noting that four of these matches even ended 2-1. The Rossoneri scored at least one goal in all of the encounters, and most of the goals were scored after the break. Despite their offensive quality, however, the number of goals always remained under 3.5 – an indication that although both teams play boldly up front, they do not completely expose their defenses.

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