1. FC Union Berlin – Gladbach Tip, Prediction & Odds Bundesliga 17.10.2025

Home » 1. FC Union Berlin – Gladbach Tip, Prediction & Odds Bundesliga 17.10.2025

Union’s top scorer Ilyas Ansah returns from the U21s on a high, but his team welcomes a Gladbach side in absolute crisis on Friday: 13 competitive games without a win, 17th place with only three points, new sporting leadership with Rouven Schröder and the bitter news that regular striker Tim Kleindienst will be out for at least four weeks with a meniscus injury. Union itself is in 13th place with seven points, showing slight upward trends under Steffen Baumgart, but recently lost 0-2 in Leverkusen. The recent record favors the visitors, who won both encounters in 2024/25 (2-1 in February in Berlin, 1-0 in September), with four of the last five matches between the two teams ending with fewer than 3.5 goals. In addition to Kleindienst, Gladbach will also be without Robin Hack for the long term, while Union will be without defenders Juranović and Skov, weakening both defensive lines. The tactical expectation: Union will want to close down the space, Gladbach will look to capitalize on quick transitions, with the precarious situation making this game particularly important psychologically for the Foals.

  • Venue: Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
  • Date and time: October 17, 2025, 8:30 p.m.
  • Competition: Bundesliga (Matchday 7)

Recommendation 1: Over 2.5 goals, as both teams show defensive weaknesses. Union conceded goals in both halves in 80% of their last five games, while Gladbach conceded at least one goal in four consecutive games. In addition, Ansah is in top form with four Bundesliga goals and has scored in 67% of his home games. Recommendation 2: Both teams to score, because despite Gladbach’s winless streak, the Foals have scored at least one goal in 60% of their most recent games. Union will be without Juranović and Skov, which will further strain their defense. Recommendation 3: A home win is a bold option at odds of 2.2, which seem conservative. Gladbach has not scored in the first half in its last five games and appears to be in a slump, while Union gained confidence after its 4-3 win in Frankfurt. Those who play more conservatively can combine over 2.5 goals with both teams scoring. More daring bettors can also bet on a home win or consider a combination bet with Ansah goals. Always bet responsibly and manage your bankroll.

1. FC Union Berlin Form & Record Check

Union Berlin is going through a phase of defensive uncertainty. In the last five Bundesliga games, the team has regularly conceded goals, often before the break. The results, including a 2-0 defeat in Leverkusen, a 4-3 defeat in Frankfurt, and clear defeats in Dortmund and against Hoffenheim, show that the offense is creating scoring chances, but the defense remains vulnerable. Juranović and Skov are still out with calf injuries, and Burcu and Markgraf are also unavailable. Stanley Nsoki is back after a long rehab, but is not yet fully fit for Bundesliga action. All six internationals are returning in time, although Schäfer was recently substituted due to injury. The main problem is a lack of defensive compactness and individual errors that lead to early goals. With seven points, Union is in 13th place, just one point ahead of Augsburg in the relegation zone, with goal difference currently saving them from Werder. Against an opponent that has not won in 13 games, there is a chance to regain stability, provided the team can quickly find the balance between attacking and defending.

Union will, as expected, line up in Steffen Baumgart’s 3-4-2-1 formation. Rönnow will be in goal. The back three is likely to consist of Doekhi, Querfeld, and Leite. Trimmel and Köhn are set to play on the wings. Khedira and Schäfer will form the defensive midfield duo, with Schäfer having to come off at half-time in the Hungary game in Portugal due to illness, but Baumgart is still planning to use him. Jeong and Burke are expected to play behind striker Ansah in attack. Ansah is Union’s top scorer with four goals and is coming off a successful performance with the U21s. Burke was ill at the beginning of the week but is back in full training. Juranović and Skov (both calf injuries), Burcu (ankle surgery), and Markgraf (fatigue fracture) are unavailable.

Gladbach Form & Record Check

Borussia Mönchengladbach are in 17th place with only three points after six games and have not won in five Bundesliga matches. In the last five league games, no goals were scored before the break, and in four of the five games, goals were conceded in the second half. The 0-4 home defeat against Bremen was a significant setback, while the 4-6 loss to Frankfurt showed offensive potential but also defensive deficiencies. Added to this are a 0-1 defeat in Stuttgart, a 1-1 draw in Leverkusen and, most recently, a 0-0 draw against Freiburg. Regular striker Kleindienst is expected to be out for four to eight weeks with a meniscus injury, and substitutes Tabakovic and Machino have not been able to convincingly fill the gap. On a positive note, U23 striker Jan Urbich scored twice in the test match against Münster and is a possible option. Wael Mohya is back after a medial ligament injury, but Hack, Ngoumou, and Chiarodia are still missing. The appointment of Rouven Schröder as sporting director is causing a stir, and one of his first tasks will be to decide on the coaching position. Interim coach Eugen Polanski is under pressure; despite rotation and tactical experiments, the team lacks consistency. One small ray of hope: Nico Elvedi drew level with Yann Sommer with 335 competitive games, setting a club record. With only a one-point lead over the relegation zone, the situation remains precarious.

Coach Eugen Polanski is expected to largely stick with the previous 4-4-2 formation. The question of who will play up front remains open: Tim Kleindienst is out for at least four weeks with a meniscus injury, and Tabakovic is likely to be preferred to U23 talent Jan Urbich in the starting lineup for the time being, even though Urbich scored twice in the test match. In midfield, Reyna could provide additional impetus alongside Neuhaus. In defense, Elvedi and Diks, who has moved in, seem to be set as center backs. Robin Hack (meniscus tear), Nathan Ngoumou (Achilles tendon tear), and the injured Fabio Chiarodia are still unavailable. Sixteen-year-old Wael Mohya is back after a partial medial ligament tear, but is likely to start on the bench.

H2H 1. FC Union Berlin – Gladbach Head-to-head & statistics

The head-to-head record from the last five meetings is even: two wins each for Union and Gladbach and one draw. Gladbach won the two most recent encounters in the 2024/25 season, 2-1 in February 2025 in Berlin and 1-0 in September 2024 at Borussia-Park. Before that, Union had the upper hand with a 3-1 home win in December 2023 and a 1-0 away win in April 2023, with a 0-0 draw in Mönchengladbach in April 2024 in between. This series is characterized by few goals, especially in the first half. In four of the last five games, there were no goals or a maximum of one goal at halftime. Even over 90 minutes, there were rarely more than three goals. The encounters are usually close and tactical, with small mistakes or individual performances often deciding the outcome, which suggests more cautious expectations in terms of goal markets and close results.

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