Key Facts
- Monza is in 18th place and looking to climb out of the relegation zone; Atalanta is in 13th place, but only four points ahead.
- Monza lost 1-2 to Bologna, even though Gustavo Varela scored on a penalty kick; even Monza’s biggest offensive threat couldn’t stop the recent losing streak.
- A draw is the top pick: Atalanta has drawn three of its last five competitive matches and, despite being the favorite, has repeatedly dropped points.
- Atalanta is missing key defenders in Isak Hien, Odilon Kossounou, and Sead Kolasinac; the recent goals conceded make these absences particularly significant.
- Atalanta has won every recorded competitive match against Monza without exception; however, Atalanta’s current winless streak puts the significance of this record into perspective.
- “Both Teams to Score: No” remains a solid bet because Monza has repeatedly failed to score against Atalanta; however, Monza’s goal tally over the last five games makes this a risky choice.
Match Preview
The loss to Parma had consequences for Atalanta: Maurizio Sarri took his team to a training camp. Ahead of Sunday’s Serie A matchup at Stadio Brianteo, Monza is also under pressure. Ivan Jurić’s team has lost three league games in a row, while Atalanta has gone four games without a win and sits just four points ahead of Monza. Atalanta won the last competitive match between the two sides in 2025, but given their current form, a draw seems possible this time around.
- Venue: Stadio Brianteo, Monza
- Date and Time: November 8, 2026, 3:00 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 11)
The odds clearly favor Atalanta. However, three draws in their last five competitive matches suggest a draw is the main pick. This main pick remains risky because Monza hasn’t drawn a league match in five games. “Both Teams to Score: No” is also worth considering: Monza has failed to score in several of these matchups, but has been scoring regularly of late. Due to the absences of Isak Hien and Odilon Kossounou, “Over 2.5 Goals” is another possible outcome. The main pick remains a draw because Atalanta has been dropping points consistently lately.
Monza Form & Record Check
Gustavo Varela’s penalty kick gave Monza the lead against Bologna, but they ultimately suffered a 1-2 loss—their third consecutive league defeat. With nine league goals, Varela holds the club record for a single season in the top flight and remains Monza’s biggest threat up front. The defense lacks stability, and center backs Jan Ziolkowski and Yvan Maye are sidelined. That points more toward goals than a Monza victory.
The 4-0 win over Cagliari stands out among Monza’s most recent league matches. For a team looking to escape the relegation zone, the rest of their results have been meager. At least Monza has scored in each of those games, though they’ve also conceded five goals in the first 15 minutes of league play so far this season. This mix points to Over 2.5 goals.
Monza could line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation: Noel Törnqvist in goal, with a back three of Eddy Kouadio, Saba Goglichidze, and Lorenzo Lucchesi. Foe Ondoa and Leonardo Colombo are expected to play in central midfield, while Dany Mota and Exequiel Zeballos could support Gustavo Varela. Jan Ziolkowski is out with a heel spur, and Yvan Maye is sidelined due to muscle issues. The back three will have to make up for both absences.
Atalanta Form & Record Check
Atalanta’s 1-1 draw against Kairat in the Conference League showed how much the team struggles against deep-lying opponents. Previously, the 0-3 loss to Parma in Serie A had prompted Sarri to send the team to training camp. In their last five competitive matches, they’ve recorded three draws and two losses. For the betting favorites, that’s a weak record. Add to that 20 goals conceded in ten league games, which is why another high-scoring match is quite possible.
The 2-2 league draw at AC Florence and the 4-4 tie against Frosinone support the prediction of a draw, but also highlight Atalanta’s defensive problems. With Isak Hien, Odilon Kossounou, and Sead Kolasinac out, the team is missing three players in defense, and Raoul Bellanova is also unavailable. Nikola Krstović scored five league goals in October and can provide relief on the offensive end. From a betting perspective, however, the weakened defense remains the bigger problem.
Monza – Atalanta Head-to-Head & Statistics
Atalanta has won the last six recorded competitive matches between the two teams. That’s the strongest argument against betting on a draw, even though Atalanta’s current winless streak in the league carries more weight. Monza lost the last recorded match in 2025 by a score of 0–4 and failed to score in four of the six games. That points toward “Both Teams to Score: No.”
Four of these six matches ended with over 2.5 goals, which supports the prediction of plenty of goals. However, Monza’s two 0–2 losses highlight the risk if the team fails to score again. The “Both Teams to Score: No” prediction and the over 2.5 goals prediction thus describe different possible game scenarios, not a single predicted outcome.
