Key Facts
- Sevilla is in sixth place; Osasuna trails by three points. A win would allow Osasuna to tie Sevilla in points.
- Sevilla has scored in each of its last five games; however, the recent 1-4 loss at Real Madrid highlights its defensive problems.
- Osasuna won Arrasate’s first game since his return, defeating Racing Santander 2-0; striker Ante Budimir and substitute Asier Osambela scored the goals.
- With Sevilla’s Marcão and Osasuna’s Jorge Herrando out, both teams are missing center backs; given Sevilla’s defensive struggles, these absences are particularly significant.
- Osasuna won the most recent recorded competitive matchup between the two sides, following a previous victory by Sevilla; the mixed results put any clear favorite status into perspective.
Match Preview
Sevilla’s defense is under pressure, and on Monday, they’ll face none other than Osasuna at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán—a team that has looked more confident recently under Jagoba Arrasate. Luis García’s team has earned just one point from three league games. For the sixth-place team, that’s a concerning record. Osasuna trails by three points and won Arrasate’s first game after his return. Osasuna also won the last recorded competitive match between the two sides in April 2026. Sevilla’s status as the bookmakers’ favorite is therefore by no means a guarantee of victory.
- Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville
- Date and Time: October 26, 2026, 9:00 p.m.
- Competition: La Liga (Matchday 10)
The bookmakers see Sevilla as clear favorites. However, Osasuna has lost its last two away league games. This weakens both betting options, especially the straight draw, even though the betting market gives it a considerable chance. Added to that is the bet on over 2.5 goals: Marcão and Jorge Herrando are out, and Sevilla’s defensive problems outweigh Osasuna’s most recent clean sheet.
Sevilla Form & Record Check
Sevilla lost its most recent league match at Real Madrid 1–4. Manu Bueno scored after coming on as a substitute for Peque Fernández, assisted by Lucas Stassin, who had also come on as a substitute. Sevilla has scored in all five of the league matches listed. That points to goals, but the team has conceded in three consecutive matches. Gabriel Suazo called for more determination in contested situations, partly in response to the defensive weaknesses.
The 1–3 loss to FC Barcelona was followed by a 3–3 draw at Levante UD. As a result, Sevilla has been waiting for a win for three league games. However, the previous 1–0 victories against Deportivo La Coruña and FC Valencia show that the team can also win close games. That is the strongest argument against over 2.5 goals. Jon Guridi and Miguel Sierra are out; Giorgi Kochorashvili could move into the projected starting lineup.
Sevilla could line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation with Odysseas Vlachodimos in goal and Andrés Castrín and Kike Salas at center back. Lucien Agoumé and Youssouf Fofana are slated to play in midfield, while Félix Correia and Rubén Vargas could support Robbie Ure. With Marcão out, Castrín and Salas are expected to form the center-back pairing. Jon Guridi and Miguel Sierra are also unavailable. Fofana and Correia are slated to fill their respective positions.
Osasuna Form & Record Check
Arrasate’s first game since his return brought Osasuna a 2-0 league win against Racing Santander. Ante Budimir scored on a penalty kick, and substitute Asier Osambela netted the second goal. With high pressing and Jonathan Dubasin providing depth, Osasuna can cause problems for Sevilla. However, the two listed away league matches ended in losses: 2–5 at Real Betis Sevilla and 0–4 at Atlético Madrid. This suggests an away win is unlikely.
Aimar Oroz and Romain Del Castillo are out, which limits Arrasate’s options in attack. Osasuna relies more on direct play than on long periods of possession and could thus challenge Sevilla in contested situations. With just one win in their last five league games, however, a draw seems more plausible than another victory under the returning coach.
Osasuna could start in a 4-3-3 formation with Aitor Fernández in goal. Alejandro Catena and Enzo Boyomo are expected to start at center back, with Jon Moncayola and Iker Muñoz in midfield. Jorge Herrando is out with a muscle injury, while Aimar Oroz and Romain Del Castillo are sidelined with thigh injuries. Moi Gómez could fill the gap in midfield, with Jonathan Dubasin playing on the wing and Ante Budimir up front.
Sevilla vs. Osasuna Head-to-Head & Statistics
In the 25 recorded competitive matches, Sevilla has 12 wins, Osasuna has seven, and there have been six draws. Given this record, it seems risky to consider Sevilla a clear favorite. Osasuna won the last recorded competitive match 2–1 in April 2026, after Sevilla had won 1–0 in November 2025.
In each of the last six recorded matches, fewer than 3.5 goals were scored. If this pattern continues, the “Over 2.5 Goals” bet will only pay out if exactly three goals are scored. However, the fact that both teams are missing a center back each argues in favor of this bet. The results so far, however, make it the riskier choice.
