Key Facts
- Daniel Maldini scored for Cagliari in their most recent 1-1 draw against Juventus off an assist from Paul Mendy; prior to that, the team had secured wins against Udinese and Atalanta.
- Monza will be without suspended center-backs Lorenzo Lucchesi and Jan Ziolkowski; as a result, Andrea Carboni and Saba Goglichidze will have to step up.
- Cagliari won the most recent head-to-head competitive matches against Monza, but a previous Monza victory shows that the head-to-head record alone does not guarantee a certain outcome.
- A Cagliari win or a draw is supported by Cagliari’s three wins in their last five games and Monza’s 1-3 loss to Lazio, although the betting market slightly favors Monza.
- Under 2.5 goals is supported by Cagliari’s six goals in their last five games; however, Monza’s offensive consistency makes this bet riskier.
Match Preview
Nevertheless, the team in better league form travels to the Serie A match against Monza under Ivan Jurić. Points are especially important for the hosts, but they lost their last competitive match against Cagliari 0–3. So they have every reason to take Cagliari seriously.
- Date and Time: Oct. 19, 2026, 6:30 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 7)
The betting market favors Monza by a narrow margin. However, their away league wins at Atalanta Bergamo and Udinese support this bolder prediction. Monza has scored in every competitive match. Therefore, despite Cagliari’s low-scoring results, “Under 2.5 goals” remains the riskier bet.
Monza Form & Record Check
Monza most recently lost 1-3 to Lazio Rome in Serie A, after previously defeating Sassuolo 2-1. That victory therefore seems more like a brief breather than a turning point. Saba Goglichidze came on after Lorenzo Lucchesi was sent off and scored against Lazio off an assist from Dany Mota. Monza has scored in every competitive match this season and can therefore expect to create chances even against Cagliari’s defense.
Jurić is likely to be more concerned about the defense. Lorenzo Lucchesi is suspended, and Jan Ziolkowski is out. Andrea Carboni and Saba Goglichidze could therefore take on more responsibility in the projected defensive lineup. Matteo Pessina and Patrick Ciurria are also unavailable. Monza’s four goals from set pieces in Serie A highlight their attacking strength, but their weakened defense makes a victory unlikely.
Cagliari Form & Record Check
Cagliari most recently played to a 1-1 draw against Juventus Turin in Serie A. Daniel Maldini scored off an assist from Paul Mendy. Prior to that, Cagliari won 1-0 on the road at Udinese and 2-1 at Atalanta Bergamo. These results make the double chance bet in favor of the visitors an interesting option. Maldini has scored in four consecutive league games, making him a reliable target. Coach Pisacane will not be on the sidelines on Monday due to a suspension.
Cagliari has conceded only three goals in its first six league games, even though its expected goals against stands at 10.7. The defense may be less stable than the results suggest. Elia Capriles’ 29 saves show just how often the goalkeeper has had to step in. The fact that Cagliari has recently been able to hold on to narrow leads, however, speaks in the team’s favor. Riyad Idrissi and Mattia Felici are out.
Cagliari could line up in a 4-3-2-1, with Elia Capriles in goal, Yerry Mina and Juan Rodríguez at center back, and Harry Winks in midfield. Yanis Massolin and Daniel Maldini are slated to play behind Paul Mendy. Riyad Idrissi, Mattia Felici, and Yael Trepy are out with injuries. Adam Obert could therefore step in at left back, while Massolin and Mendy provide additional offensive options.
Monza vs. Cagliari Head-to-Head & Statistics
In the last four recorded competitive matches, Cagliari won twice, Monza once, and one game ended in a draw. The record thus slightly favors Cagliari or a draw. From Monza’s perspective, the two most recent encounters in 2025 ended in losses of 0–3 and 1–2.
In each of the last four recorded matches, there were fewer than 3.5 goals. However, there were three goals scored in two of those matches, which is why betting on under 2.5 goals is a safer bet than the overall record might suggest. Cagliari’s recent league results, in particular—not just the head-to-head matches—support this lower goal total.
