Key Facts
- Freiburg has won four of its last five games and put on an impressive 5-0 performance against Mönchengladbach; striker Yuito Suzuki and playmaker Jordy Makengo are leading the attack.
- Dejan Ljubicic will not be available for Schalke against Freiburg due to a knee injury, and Emil Højlund is also out; following scoreless draws against Elversberg and Bayern, the offense remains a concern despite the win against Union Berlin.
- Freiburg won the most recent recorded competitive match in 2023 by a score of 4-0; their recent winning streak against Schalke also supports the riskier handicap bet on Freiburg at -1.5 goals.
- Schalke’s scoring record supports a “Both Teams to Score: No” bet: Schalke has scored in only two of its last five games.
- Freiburg’s 16 goals in its last five games support a bet on over 2.5 goals; however, Schalke’s most recent 0-0 draw highlights the risk.
Match Preview
Ten points from four Bundesliga matches: Freiburg’s record-breaking start makes Julian Schuster’s team the clear favorite in Sunday’s home game against Schalke, on the fifth matchday of the regular season. Freiburg sits in third place, tied on points with Bayern Munich. A win would keep the team in contention at the top.
Newly promoted Schalke has earned five points from four league games under Miron Muslic. The more pressing question, however, is where the goals are supposed to come from. Freiburg won the most recent recorded competitive match between the two teams 4–0 in 2023. Their most recent offensive performances also show a clear difference.
- Venue: Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg
- Date and time: Oct. 11, 2026, 5:30 p.m.
- Competition: Bundesliga (Matchday 5)
The betting odds clearly favor Freiburg. However, for a -1.5-goal handicap, the favorite would have to win by a significant margin. Following Schalke’s 0-0 draw against Bayern Munich, this is the riskiest bet, even though Freiburg’s high-scoring start to the season suggests otherwise. Schalke’s finishing problems support the “Both Teams to Score: No” bet. Add to that “Over 2.5 Goals”: Freiburg has already shown that the team can both build a significant lead and surpass this goal total on its own.
Freiburg Form & Record Check
Freiburg’s most recent Bundesliga match at Eintracht Frankfurt ended 2–2. After three consecutive league wins, that was a missed opportunity, but not yet a dip in form. The 5–0 victory over Borussia Mönchengladbach showcased the team’s attacking prowess. However, the draw in Frankfurt also revealed a defensive vulnerability that Schalke will look to exploit.
With four Bundesliga goals, Yuito Suzuki is a mainstay in Freiburg’s attack. Jordy Makengo has contributed four assists in his last five appearances, opening up another route into the penalty area. The numbers suggest that Freiburg can score multiple goals again. Schuster, however, warned against taking further goals for granted. Florent Muslija is out.
Schalke Form & Record Check
Schalke’s most recent Bundesliga match ended in a 0-0 draw against SV Elversberg. Defensively, the team was once again disciplined, but questions remained regarding their attack. Bayern Munich also held Schalke to a 0-0 draw, so Freiburg will likely have to work hard for a clear victory. However, the 3-1 win at 1. FC Union Berlin shows that Muslic’s team can be dangerous on the counterattack.
Schalke has scored three goals in four league games. That points to a Freiburg win without conceding a goal, although the reported expected goals total of 6.58 shows that Schalke certainly created chances. Moussa Sylla scored five times in two friendly matches during the international break, but Muslic left it open as to whether he would be in the starting lineup. Dejan Ljubicic is unavailable for Schalke against Freiburg due to a knee injury; Emil Højlund is also out.
Freiburg – Schalke Head-to-Head & Statistics
In the 22 recorded competitive matches, Freiburg holds a narrow lead with ten wins to Schalke’s eight, with four draws. In the listed series, Freiburg also won five times in a row. The most recent recorded competitive match ended 4–0 in favor of Freiburg in 2023; the team also won 2–0 in 2022. These results support the handicap bet and “Both Teams to Score: No.”
