Key Facts
- Inter sits in third place with nine points, while Udinese is in eleventh place with four points. The gap in the standings underscores the hosts’ status as favorites.
- Inter has won all three of its Serie A matches but has conceded goals in its last two games, so its recent defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern despite strong league form.
- Udinese has scored in each of its last five games and boasts an effective counterattack led by Keinan Davis as a target man and Jesper Karlström.
- The absences of Matteo Palma, Jakub Piotrowski, Juan Arizala, and Nicolò Zaniolo limit Udinese’s options for the challenging task ahead at Inter.
- Both Teams to Score: The case for “Yes” is that Inter has scored in each of its last four games and Udinese has continued its scoring streak.
- Bets on a draw or a draw or Udinese win remain risky, but are supported by Udinese’s consistent attacking play and Inter’s recent conceding of goals.
Match Preview
Following their 1-2 loss to Real Madrid in the Champions League, Inter returns to Serie A. The setback exposed defensive lapses but does not detract from their strong start to the domestic season. Cristian Chivu’s team faces Kosta Runjaić’s Udinese Calcio on Monday. Inter sits in third place with nine points, while Udinese Calcio is in eleventh with four points. Inter’s 1-0 victory in January shows that this match could be closer than it initially appears.
Nevertheless, the betting market sees Inter as the clear favorite by a wide margin; a draw is considered rather unlikely. Nevertheless, the focus is on a draw after regulation time, “Both Teams to Score: Yes,” and Udinese Calcio earning a point. The visitors pose a consistent threat on offense, while Inter has conceded goals in their last two games.
- Date and time: September 14, 2026, 8:45 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 4)
Inter’s statistics, including the league-best 66% possession rate, explain why they’re the clear favorites in the betting markets. However, the 3–2 win over Napoli and the 1–2 loss at Real Madrid reveal enough defensive vulnerabilities to warrant a “Both Teams to Score: Yes” bet. Udinese Calcio has scored in five consecutive competitive matches. Therefore, a draw or a “Draw or Udinese Calcio to Win” bet—despite the visitors’ lower position in the standings—are promising yet high-risk wagers. Keinan Davis set up Jesper Karlström’s goal against Lazio and offers a credible passing option for this matchup. The bets are: “Both Teams to Score: Yes” with half a unit, “Draw” with one-tenth of a unit, and “Draw or Udinese Calcio” with one-quarter of a unit.
Inter Form & Record Check
The 1-2 loss at Real Madrid was Inter’s first defeat of the season and heightened concerns about their effectiveness in both penalty boxes. Carlos Augusto scored in the second half, but the reaction came when the game had already slipped away. Chivu’s expected lineup changes are worth noting: John Stones is set to make his first Serie A start, while Carlos Augusto is favored at left back.
In the league, however, their form remains impressive. The defending champions have won all three of their Serie A matches—first 4-1 against Monza, then 1-0 at Cagliari, and 3-2 against Napoli. This puts Inter level on points with AS Roma and Cagliari. Inter has scored in four consecutive competitive matches, a clear trend pointing toward “Both Teams to Score: Yes.”
Cristian Chivu could stick with a 3-5-2 formation for Inter, with Josep Martínez in goal behind Manuel Akanji, John Stones, and Alessandro Bastoni. Andy Diouf and Carlos Augusto are expected to start as fullbacks, while Nicolò Barella, Piotr Zielinski, and Curtis Jones will form the midfield. Pio Esposito could start up front alongside Lautaro Martínez. Djed Spence is among the rotation options.
Udinese Calcio Form & Record Check
Udinese Calcio led against Lazio but ultimately lost 1-2 at home. This late collapse is the clearest warning for Runjaić, who remains under sustained pressure. Jesper Karlström scored off an assist from Keinan Davis, confirming that the visitors can turn a counterattack into a concrete threat. Given the current data, Inter’s streak of five consecutive competitive matches without conceding a goal makes it unlikely they’ll keep a clean sheet in this match.
Previous results also show a team capable of building momentum, particularly in their 3–2 win at Monza following the 1–1 draw against Como. The 2–1 win in the Coppa Italia against Venezia also underscores the productive start to the season, although conceding goals in four of the past five matches demands more defensive control. Matteo Palma, Jakub Piotrowski, Juan Arizala, and Nicolò Zaniolo are out, which limits Runjaić’s options.
Inter – Udinese Calcio Head-to-Head & Statistics
Inter has won 21 of the most recent 30 recorded matchups, Udinese Calcio six, and three ended in a draw. This record explains the market’s clear bias toward the home team. More importantly, Inter has scored in each of the last 12 meetings. This consistent scoring rate only supports a “Both Teams to Score: Yes” bet if Udinese Calcio maintains its current offensive discipline.
The recent run provides a clear counterargument against betting on the visitors. Inter won 1–0 in January 2026 after losing 1–2 in August 2025. In addition, Inter won 2–1 in 2025 and 2–0 in 2024. These close results make the draw a one-tenth risk and “Draw or Udinese Calcio” a one-quarter risk of the stake amount—not evidence that Inter’s historical advantage has disappeared.
