Key Facts
- After two Bundesliga matches, Dortmund sits in third place with six points, while Paderborn, with one point, is in twelfth place and still waiting for its first league goal.
- Serhou Guirassy sealed the 3-2 win over Villarreal with a late brace, while Fábio Silva set up a goal after coming off the bench and could help offset offensive absences.
- Paderborn has failed to score in three of its last five games; the absences of forwards Sven Michel and Lasse Eickel further complicate the “Both Teams to Score: No” bet.
- Dortmund has conceded six goals in their last five games, which is why the “Both Teams to Score: No” bet is considered risky despite Paderborn’s scoring slump.
- Dortmund and Paderborn have never ended a competitive match with a Paderborn victory; the most recent 3-2 win in extra time nevertheless shows that Paderborn can be a tough opponent.
Match Preview
Niko Kovac needs to get his team refocused quickly, while Ralf Kettemann arrives with a newly promoted team that is still waiting for its first league goal.
- Venue: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
- Date and Time: September 12, 2026, 3:30 p.m.
- Competition: Bundesliga (Matchday 3)
The betting market sees Dortmund as the clear favorite by a wide margin and gives a draw virtually no chance. Paderborn’s two scoreless league matches support the “Both Teams to Score: No” bet, while Dortmund’s recent 3-2 wins and Paderborn’s 4-2 cup victory point to over 3.5 goals.
Dortmund Form & Record Check
Dortmund defeated Villarreal 3-2 in the Champions League on Tuesday. Serhou Guirassy’s late brace proved decisive, after Fábio Silva came off the bench to set up the first of those goals. This vulnerability remains a risk when betting on Dortmund to keep a clean sheet.
Across all competitions, Dortmund’s recent form supports both the handicap bet and the prospect of plenty of goals. Their Bundesliga start includes a 2-0 win over Hamburger SV and a 3-2 victory at 1899 Hoffenheim.
Dortmund could line up in a 3-4-3 formation with Gregor Kobel behind Joane Gadou, Waldemar Anton, and Daniel Svensson. Jobe Bellingham and Joey Veerman are likely to anchor the midfield, while Serhou Guirassy and Fábio Silva could lead the attack. Fábio Silva could fill in for the missing options on offense.
Paderborn Form & Record Check
Paderborn’s lack of threat further supports the selection “Both Teams to Score: No.”
The visitors opened their league season with a scoreless draw at FSV Mainz 05 after winning 4–2 against Phönix Lübeck in the DFB Cup. However, two scoreless league matches so far this season make it clear that Paderborn needs a significant improvement in the final third.
Dortmund vs. Paderborn Head-to-Head & Statistics
In the six recorded competitive matches, Dortmund has recorded four wins and two draws against Paderborn, while Paderborn remains winless. Dortmund scored in all six matches, a strong historical argument in favor of the handicap. The most recent matchup—a 3-2 victory in extra time in the 2021 DFB Cup—also shows that Paderborn has been able to make things difficult for Dortmund in the past.
In all six recorded matchups, there were over 2.5 goals; in the last four, there were even over 3.5 goals. The historical scoring pattern thus supports the recommendation for plenty of goals. However, Paderborn has scored in the last four of these matches, which argues against the “Both Teams to Score: No” bet. The current scoring drought in the league carries more weight than this past trend, which is why the bet on a clean sheet deserves only a half stake.
