Newcastle vs. Bournemouth: Tip, Prediction & Odds – Premier League, September 5, 2026

Home » Newcastle vs. Bournemouth: Tip, Prediction & Odds – Premier League, September 5, 2026

Key Facts

  • After two league games, Newcastle sits in sixth place with four points, while Bournemouth is in 14th place with one point and needs to make up ground early on.
  • Newcastle has won its last two games; in the 2-0 victory at Tottenham, Anthony Elanga and Yoane Wissa led the efficient offense, while Nico González provided control in midfield.
  • Amar Dedic’s three assists in his first three appearances are bolstering Newcastle’s attack, while Tino Livramento’s absence is limiting their personnel options.
  • Bournemouth took the lead in both of its league matches so far but lost points due to late defensive errors, conceding goals off corner kicks in each game.
  • Bournemouth is winless in its last three games and will have to play without Junior Kroupi, which leaves them short of an option at center forward.
  • Betting on over 2.5 goals is an interesting option given both teams’ tendency to score regularly and their defensive weaknesses, though Newcastle’s recent clean-sheet victory at Tottenham serves as a counterargument.

Match Preview

Newcastle’s rebuild is sparking early hope: Matias Fernandez-Pardo is pushing for his debut after Transfer Deadline Day, while Matthias Jaissle’s new midfield is increasingly finding its rhythm. Nevertheless, the most recent matchup calls for caution—Bournemouth won 2–1 in April 2026.

  • Venue: St. James’ Park, Newcastle
  • Date and time: September 5, 2026, 1:30 p.m.
  • Competition: Premier League (Matchday 3)

The betting market sees Newcastle as the clear favorite by a wide margin, but still gives Bournemouth a moderate chance of a draw. The analysis also points to a Newcastle win. Given their recent offensive performance, Newcastle with a -1.5 handicap is also an interesting bet, albeit a more challenging pick. Over 2.5 goals makes sense, as both teams score regularly but show defensive weaknesses.

Newcastle Form & Record Check

Newcastle’s 2-0 win at Tottenham has been the clearest sign so far that Jaissle’s approach is paying off. Anthony Elanga opened the scoring off a cross from Amar Dedic, before Yoane Wissa added the second goal. Nico González brought control to a difficult away game with his composure in midfield. After the break, Newcastle played with remarkable efficiency, even though the team had been under considerable pressure before halftime.

Across all competitions, Newcastle has won its last two games after starting the league season with a 2-2 draw against Liverpool.

The 3-2 League Cup victory over West Brom showcased offensive depth, but also a tendency to allow opponents to get back into the game. Dedic’s three assists in his first three appearances are a major plus while Tino Livramento is sidelined.

Bournemouth Form & Record Check

Bournemouth was just seconds away from its first league win before Everton equalized to make it 1–1, a result that aptly reflected Marco Rose’s early concerns. Lewis Cook was replaced by Tyler Adams in the second half, and later Scott Ryan Christie came on as Bournemouth tried to control the closing stages.

The two league games so far this season have resulted in a 1–2 loss at Manchester City and the draw against Everton, with Bournemouth taking the lead in both matches. This pattern suggests that Newcastle could face challenges, but late defensive errors have already cost them points. In addition, the team conceded goals from corner kicks in both league matches—a weakness that Newcastle could exploit. Junior Kroupi is out.

Newcastle – Bournemouth Head-to-Head & Statistics

In the 18 recorded competitive matches, the head-to-head record is remarkably even: Newcastle has five wins, Bournemouth also has five, and eight matches ended in draws. The recent record is less favorable for Newcastle. Against Bournemouth, the team has not won in its last eight Premier League matches; since its last league victory in this matchup, there have been five draws and three losses.

Bournemouth won 2–1 at Newcastle in April 2026, while the FA Cup match in January 2026 ended in a draw before Newcastle prevailed in a penalty shootout. The league match in September 2025 ended 0–0, and Bournemouth’s 4–1 victory at Newcastle in 2025 serves as a reminder that this opponent has repeatedly found ways to throw Newcastle off their stride.

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