Key Facts
- Levante is on an upward trend: four unbeaten matches in their last five league games, most recently earning points against Rayo Vallecano, Girona, and Getafe.
- Sevilla heads to Levante with a weakened defense: Marcão and César Azpilicueta are out, and the team has conceded at least one goal in each of its last five league matches.
- Last head-to-head match in January 2026: Levante won 3-0 in Seville, ending a four-game league winning streak for the visitors.
- Four of Levante’s last five home games have had fewer than 2.5 goals—indicating tactical discipline, structure, and compactness rather than open attacking football.
- The standings are tight: Levante is just three points behind Elche; Sevilla is only one point ahead of Alavés – mistakes could impact the relegation battle.
- From a betting analysis perspective, a home win, under 2.5 goals, and “Both Teams to Score: No” suggest that Levante is defensively stable and Sevilla has recently struggled offensively.
Luís Castro has instilled real confidence in Levante, and Thursday’s clash with Sevilla therefore feels more like a turning point than just another matchday. At Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Levante hosts Luis García’s team in La Liga’s 33rd round, with both clubs still mired in the relegation battle, though the mood on the home bench is noticeably more confident.
Levante comes into the match having gone unbeaten in four of their last five league games, while Sevilla, despite their crucial 2-1 win over Atlético Madrid, has lost three of their last five matches. The most recent head-to-head also favors the home side: In January 2026, Levante won 3-0 in Seville.
- Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
- Date and time: April 23, 2026, 7:00 PM
- Competition: La Liga (Matchday 33)
The betting market sees this as a very evenly matched game and considers a draw a distinct possibility, but the stronger analytical arguments point slightly more clearly toward Levante. Sevilla has conceded a goal in each of its last five league games and is traveling without Marcão and César Azpilicueta, which makes the home win at 2.5 seem a bit overly generous.
Levante Form & Record Check
Levante’s most recent league match was exactly the kind of result that keeps a relegation battle alive: a 1-0 home win against Getafe, decided late by Carlos Espí following an assist from Manu Sánchez.
It wasn’t a spectacular performance, but it was a mature and patient display. Castro’s team had already picked up points against Rayo Vallecano and Girona prior to that, which makes this upward trajectory look more like a genuine trend than a brief flash in the pan.
Their overall league form is encouraging. Levante has lost only once in their last five games, and that defeat came away at Real Sociedad, a significantly tougher opponent than their current one. Four of those five matches saw fewer than 2.5 goals, suggesting they compete through structure and timing rather than chaos. If they can keep the game close again, the urgency of the situation is likely to work in their favor.
Levante is expected to start in a 4-2-3-1 formation, though this is merely a prediction and not a confirmed lineup. With no injuries reported, Luís Castro is expected to stick with the system he typically relies on rather than making major changes in the relegation battle.
The key area could be central midfield, where Ugo Raghouber – 14 and Jon Ander Olasagasti – 8 are expected to line up behind Pablo Martínez – 10. Roger Brugué – 7 and Carlos Álvarez – 24 are the most likely options to provide support for Iván Romero – 9, while Jeremy Toljan – 22 and Manu Sánchez – 23 should provide the necessary width on the wings.
Sevilla Form & Record Check
Sevilla arrives on the back of an important 2-1 win over Atlético Madrid, and that result has noticeably shifted the mood around the club. Akor Adams and Nemanja Gudelj scored on the day, Rubén Vargas provided key creative impetus, but a strong performance doesn’t simply erase the doubts. Before the win against Atlético, Sevilla had picked up just one point from four league games and looked all too vulnerable in the process.
That remains the problem heading into this away match. Sevilla has conceded goals in all five of its last league games, losing to Oviedo and Valencia during that stretch, and the defense is significantly weakened without Marcão and César Azpilicueta. There is enough quality in attack to threaten Levante, but recent patterns suggest that Sevilla struggle to maintain their dominance over 90 minutes, especially when games become more physical and tight.
Under Luis García, Sevilla is expected to line up in a 5-4-1 formation, though this is only a possible lineup, not a confirmed one. This system should provide the team with compactness on the road, with Juanlu Sánchez – 16 and Oso – 36 as wingbacks, and Lucien Agoumé – 18 and Djibril Sow – 20 as the double pivot in front of Odysseas Vlachodimos – 1.
The biggest question mark is in defense, where Marcão and César Azpilicueta are out. Andrés Castrín – 32 therefore presents himself as the obvious solution alongside Nemanja Gudelj – 6 and Kike Salas – 4. Further up front, Isaac Romero – 7 and Rubén Vargas – 11 could support Akor Adams – 9, while Chidera Ejuke and Alexis Sánchez are available as options should Sevilla need more attacking pressure as the game progresses.
Levante – Sevilla Head-to-Head & Statistics
January 2026 gave this rivalry a new direction: Levante won 3-0 in Seville, ending a streak of four consecutive league wins for the home side in this matchup. This result carries weight, as it shows that the game no longer necessarily follows the familiar pattern. It is also striking that there has not been a single draw in the last five meetings.
Historically, the long-term trend still favors Sevilla. They won twice in 2021, once more in 2022, and in all four of those victories, they always scored, often with the decisive goal after halftime. Levante had conceded goals in the second half of four consecutive matches before the January result broke the streak. The more recent series thus offers an interesting contrast: Sevilla clearly ahead in the long term, but with a very relevant correction by Levante.
