Key Facts
- Genoa are in 15th place with 27 points, just three points above Fiorentina and three behind Torino, so every point is particularly valuable in this tight table.
- Form favors AS Roma, who have picked up eight points from their last five league games, while Genoa have only managed four in the same period.
- Despite absences in attack, Roma’s offense remained dangerous; Wesley, Ndicka, and Malen all scored against Juventus despite the absence of Dybala, Dovbyk, Ferguson, and Soulé.
- Genoa’s personnel situation remains tense, with Baldanzi likely to miss out and Norton-Cuffy, Otoa, and Onana all doubtful, which could force De Rossi to make further compromises in his lineup.
- The head-to-head record shows a clear offensive pattern: Roma have scored in each of the last five meetings, Genoa in four of them, which suggests goals at both ends.
- From a betting perspective, both teams to score also looks a logical bet, as Genoa scored in both halves against Napoli last time out and have found the net in 80% of their last five games.
Daniele De Rossi called the 1-3 defeat in the first leg in December the weakest performance of his tenure, and now his Genoa side has a direct chance to respond against Gian Piero Gasperini’s AS Roma at the Ferraris. The hosts are in 15th place in the table with 27 points, just three points ahead of Fiorentina and three behind Torino, while AS Roma are in fourth place with 51 points, five behind Napoli and just three ahead of Como. Form also favors the visitors, with Genoa picking up four points from their last five league games and AS Roma eight.
- Venue: Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
- Date and time: March 8, 2026, 6:00 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 28)
Genoa Form & Record Check
Genoa’s recent form in the league has been mixed, but by no means hopeless. The 3-0 win against Torino was the best result in this phase, the 0-0 draw at Cremonese brought at least some stability, but in the bigger picture, there is still only one win from five games. On top of that, they have suffered two consecutive defeats, a 2-0 loss at Inter and a 3-2 defeat at home to Napoli, which explains why they remain close to the bottom of the table. Offensively, however, there is still life in the Ferraris, with Torino being clearly beaten and Napoli also coming under considerable pressure, with Messias, Vitinha, Colombo, and Ekuban giving De Rossi a variety of options. The problem remains a lack of consistency. Local reports say Baldanzi will be out, while Norton-Cuffy, Otoa, and Onana all had to be monitored, so the coach may have to make compromises again.
Genoa are likely to line up in De Rossi’s usual 3-4-2-1, with Bijlow behind a back three of Marcandalli, Østigård, and Vásquez. Sabelli and Martín would presumably provide width, while Frendrup and Masini give balance to the midfield. This is only a prediction, but the structure is likely to remain familiar unless late fitness issues force a change. Further forward, Malinovskyi and Messias look like the most likely duo behind Vitinha, although this is still more of an expected starting lineup than a confirmed one. Baldanzi is expected to be out, which points to this very combination, and the absences of Norton-Cuffy and Otoa further limit De Rossi’s options, while Onana is still being assessed after a slight sprain.
AS Roma Form & Record Check
AS Roma’s run in the league has been more solid and convincing than spectacular. They have lost only once in their last five games, beating Cagliari 2-0 and Cremonese 3-0, then drawing at Napoli before the chaotic 3-3 draw with Juventus. This run keeps them in fourth place, but their position is not really comfortable because Napoli are still five points ahead and Como are only three points behind. It is striking how many different ways they still have of scoring goals. Against Juventus, Wesley, Ndicka, and Malen scored, while Pellegrini and Koné provided two assists, which is all the more important because Dybala, Dovbyk, Ferguson, and Soulé are unavailable. AS Roma have scored in four of their last five league games and have often looked improved after the break, although their late collapse against Juventus showed that this team can lose control.
AS Roma are likely to stick with a 3-5-2 formation, although this is currently only a predicted line-up. Svilar should start behind Mancini, Ndicka, and Çelik in a back three, while Rensch and Wesley are expected to provide width. In the center, Koné and Cristante seem set to provide balance, while Pisilli could link the midfield and the two strikers with his vertical runs. The biggest question mark concerns the attack, as Dybala, Dovbyk, Ferguson, and Soulé are all missing, so this prediction suggests that Malen will lead the line with Pellegrini playing close to him, rather than a more natural strike partnership. Gollini is also out, which further solidifies Svilar’s place in goal. Should there be a last-minute change, El Shaarawy or Zaragoza seem the most likely offensive alternatives.
Genoa – AS Roma Head-to-head & statistics
The recent record favors AS Roma. They have won three of the last five encounters, with one draw and one win for Genoa, and they travel to Ferraris on the back of a 3-1 home win in December 2025. There was another 3-1 win in January 2025, while the most recent match at the Ferraris in September 2024 ended 1-1. The clearest pattern is that AS Roma has scored in all five of these games and Genoa has conceded in all five, so the visitors usually find a way to score in this fixture. At the same time, Genoa has also scored in four of the five games, including the 4-1 home win in 2023, so the market for Both Teams to Score: Yes seems more conclusive than the visitors’ mere favoritism would suggest.
