Important Facts
- Como (6th/40 points) is only two points behind Juventus, but has a five-point lead over Atalanta; the visitors (7th/35) are only three points ahead of Lazio, so there is little room for error.
- Fàbregas’ team is underlining its season statistics as the second-best offense and defense with three wins from four league games, including a 3-0 win at Lazio and a 6-0 win against Torino.
- Atalanta picked up 13 points from their last five league games, but the 1-0 defeat at Union Saint-Gilloise weakened that impression because Palladino failed to make the necessary changes.
- At Como, Paz is the central creative force in a 4-2-3-1 formation, setting the pace behind Morata; Douvikas’ absence weighs heavily, while Atalanta is only missing Bellanova.
- The head-to-head record is close: Atalanta has a slight edge in the last four encounters with 2-1-1, most recently 1-1; and the odds are 2.4-3.3-3.2.
- The statistics favor “both teams to score”: Como has scored in all five games in the sample, Atalanta in four consecutive games and 80% of the time after the break.
A Lombardy derby with real European Cup implications: Como welcomes Atalanta to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on Sunday, February 1, 2026, on matchday 23 of Serie A. Cesc Fàbregas’ Como, Italy’s biggest spenders in 2025, are in sixth place with 40 points, two behind Juventus in the race for European places; Atalanta are seventh under Raffaele Palladino with 35 points, with Lazio three points behind. The two teams drew 1-1 in October, and Como has recently confirmed expectations with a 6-0 win over Torino and a 3-1 cup win at Fiorentina, with Roberto, Paz, and Morata scoring despite the absence of Douvikas and Diao. Atalanta have picked up 13 points from their last five league games, with Raspadori providing extra firepower, but after the 1-0 defeat at Union Saint Gilloise, Palladino admitted they had not made the adjustment.
- Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
- Date and time: 01.02.2026, 15:00
- Competition: Serie A (matchday 23)
The bookmakers see Como as narrow home favorites (2.4), and the upturn – thanks in part to Nico Paz and Morata after their comeback in the Coppa Italia – supports this assessment, even if Douvikas is out. However, Atalanta are responding well under Palladino; after stumbling against Union Saint Gilloise and facing a potential playoff against Dortmund, the draw (3.3) and away odds (3.2) seem like a sensible hedge.
Como Form & Record Check
Como goes into round 23 in sixth place with 40 points, two behind Juventus and with a five-point cushion over Atalanta. The season profile remains remarkable, with the second-best offense and the second-best defense in the league behind Inter and Roma. The latest Serie A results are also in line with this: 1-1 against Bologna, 1-3 against AC Milan, then a 3-0 win at Lazio and a 6-0 win against Torino.
Como are expected to stick with their usual 4-2-3-1 formation under Fàbregas, with Butez behind a back four of Van der Brempt, Carlos, Ramón, and Valle. In midfield, Perrone and Caqueret are likely to play as a double six, giving Paz space to operate as the central creative force. Kühn and Rodríguez should provide width on both sides and play directly behind Morata.
Atalanta Form & Record Check
Atalanta are seventh in Serie A with 35 points, five points behind Como in sixth and only three ahead of Lazio, so there is little room for error. The league statistics point to momentum, with 13 points from the last five rounds putting Palladino’s team back in contention for international places. Ironically, the midweek Champions League slip-up has somewhat dampened the positive impression.
Palladino is expected to stick with Atalanta’s usual back three, a 3-4-2-1, with Carnesecchi behind Kossounou, Hien, and Kolasinac.
The positions on the wings seem to be reserved for Zappacosta on the right and Zalewski on the left, while de Roon and Ederson should secure the midfield. In front of them, Samardzic and Lookman would be my picks to support Scamacca up front. Nothing has been confirmed yet.
Como – Atalanta Head-to-Head & Statistics
Atalanta has the upper hand in the last four meetings, with two wins to Como’s one and a draw. The most recent match in October 2025 ended 1-1, a game that confirmed the recent trend of close decisions. Before that, Atalanta won 2-1 in 2025, while Como’s most notable result was a 3-2 away win in 2024.
