Six competitive games without defeat and impressive early form, with Leipzig leading at halftime in four of their last five games, make RB Leipzig the clear favorites at FC Augsburg. The Saxons are sitting pretty in second place with 16 points, while Augsburg are stuck in 13th place with seven points and are in a downward spiral that has already seen them go five games without a win. The betting market clearly reflects this situation, with Leipzig’s squad strength and current form tipping the scales. Augsburg are still without captain Jeffrey Gouweleeuw due to knee problems, while Elvis Rexhbecaj returns and Anton Kade and Alexis Claude-Maurice are candidates for the starting lineup. Coach Sandro Wagner, who is facing a possible suspension himself after receiving three yellow cards, has announced tactical adjustments, particularly to neutralize Christoph Baumgartner, whom he has identified as the biggest threat in Leipzig’s offensive play. Leipzig will be without Max Finkgräfe, Benjamin Henrichs, Kosta Nedeljkovic, and Viggo Gebel, but can compensate for these absences with the depth of their squad. The most recent head-to-head matches clearly favor Leipzig, with a goalless draw in February followed by dominant performances such as the 4-0 win in September 2024. Leipzig are expected to dominate the game with chances to score early, while Augsburg will sit deep and hope for counterattacks or set pieces.
- Venue: WWK Arena, Augsburg
- Date and time: October 25, 2025, 3:30 p.m.
- Competition: Bundesliga (Matchday 8)
Favorites RB Leipzig are priced at around 2.00 for an away win, reflecting their good form with four wins from their last five games and a run of six unbeaten games. Leipzig have scored in every game this season, while Augsburg have scored at least one goal in their last five games despite their negative run. The main tip with medium certainty is a Leipzig win, based on the clear difference in form, Leipzig’s dominance in the first half with an 80% lead rate, and Baumgartner’s top form. However, the absences of Henrichs, Nedeljkovic, and Finkgräfe in defense reduce the certainty somewhat. A good combination tip with moderate risk would be “both teams to score,” as Augsburg scores reliably despite its crisis and the personnel gaps on both sides suggest goals. For risk-taking bettors, “over 3.5 goals” at odds of around 4.0 is a good option, based on Augsburg’s high scoring rate of 80% over 2.5 goals in recent games. The priority should be on a single bet on an away win with a small to medium stake, while the combination with “both teams to score” increases the odds and remains moderately risky. Before placing a bet, confirmed lineups, weather conditions, and possible tactical surprises should be checked.
Augsburg Form & Record Check
After seven games, FC Augsburg is in 13th place, just one point ahead of St. Pauli in 14th, with a troubled record of four league games without a win. Three defeats against St. Pauli, Mainz, and Heidenheim were followed by a 3-1 home win against Wolfsburg and most recently a 1-1 draw in Cologne. It is striking that FCA has conceded at least one goal in each of its last five games, with the second halves in particular regularly proving turbulent. Coach Sandro Wagner announced tactical changes for the game against Leipzig, as Leipzig plays a different system to Cologne, with the aim of reducing defensive vulnerability. The offense is developing positively with Fabian Rieder, who scored from the penalty spot in Cologne and is considered a lucky find. Home-grown players Mert Kömür, who scored and provided an assist against Wolfsburg, and Noahkai Banks, who also scored a goal, are developing into promising talents. Captain Jeffrey Gouweleeuw is still out with knee problems, Elvis Rexhbecaj is back in training, Anton Kade has recommended himself on the right and could replace Marius Wolf, while Alexis Claude-Maurice is a candidate for the starting eleven after a pain-free week of training. Sandro Wagner is under observation himself after receiving three yellow cards in seven games, and the next caution will see him suspended. It remains to be seen whether the tactical adjustments against Leipzig will bring defensive stability, how the young players Kömür and Banks will continue to develop, when Gouweleeuw will return, and how Wagner’s disciplinary situation will develop.
Augsburg are expected to line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation with the announced tactical adjustments. Captain Gouweleeuw is missing from the back three, with a center back, Kömür, and another center back expected to start. Anton Kade is set to start on the right wing after a strong debut, with Rieder firmly planned for the left. Rexhbecaj returns to central defensive midfield after regaining fitness. In the attacking triangle, Claude-Maurice is the most likely candidate for the starting eleven, along with another attacking player and a center forward up front. Wolf is in danger of losing his place to Anton Kade, while Saad could make way for Claude-Maurice. Coach Sandro Wagner is sticking with his 3-4-2-1 formation, but has announced tactical adjustments, probably subtle changes in ball circulation and pressing intensity. The personnel decision aims to create more offensive pressure and relieve the pressure on the striker, with Rieder, Kömür, and another offensive player expected to create chances. One or two positions are still being worked out, especially in central defense and in the offensive triangle, where individual starting spots have not yet been finalized.
Leipzig Form & Record Check
RB Leipzig is currently in second place in the Bundesliga with 16 points, five points behind Bayern Munich, while Stuttgart is only one point behind in third place. This close table constellation continues to open up opportunities for Leipzig in the title race, but requires consistent results. The team is unbeaten in five Bundesliga games, with four wins and one draw, and has scored in every game. The first half in particular has been very good, with Leipzig leading at the break in four of their last five games. Leipzig scores a lot of goals in the first half, but often slows down in the second half. In the last five games, the second halves have been goalless for Leipzig, with four of those second halves ending with less than two goals, suggesting a conservative management strategy after taking the lead. Baumgartner is currently an important factor, scoring goals shortly before and after the break in the recent 2-1 win against HSV. Rômulo and Nusa play significant roles in the offensive build-up, both in terms of assists and combination play. Henrichs, Nedeljkovic, Finkgräfe, and Gebel remain sidelined long-term. The central defense with Orbán, Lukeba, and Raum looks solid, but the goal difference of only +1 is rather modest for a team with high ambitions. In addition to tactical issues, the pyro conflict between the club and the fan curve is causing unrest off the pitch, although the atmosphere in the stadium does not seem to be massively affected at the moment.
RB Leipzig is expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation. Henrichs is out with a torn Achilles tendon, Nedeljkovic with a knee injury and Finkgräfe, so Baku could start at right back and Raum at left back, with Orbán and Lukeba expected to form the central defensive pairing. Seiwald, Ouédraogo, and Baumgartner are set to start in defensive midfield. In attack, coach Ole Werner is apparently planning to field Nusa and Bakayoko on the wings with Rômulo as the central striker. Timo Werner is expected to start on the bench, with rotation in attack remaining a tactical option.
Augsburg – Leipzig Head-to-head comparison & statistics
In the last five meetings between FC Augsburg and RB Leipzig, Augsburg has been winless with no wins, three losses, and two draws. Four of the five games were high-scoring with over 2.5 goals. Leipzig scored before halftime in four of the five games, with only the scoreless draw in February 2025 breaking this streak. Leipzig often takes an early lead, with the Saxons scoring before halftime in four of their last five games. Augsburg has conceded at least one goal before the break in four consecutive games, putting pressure on their defense. Four matches ended with more than 2.5 goals, including Leipzig’s 4-0 win in September 2024, two 2-2 draws in February 2024, and a 3-2 win for Leipzig in April 2023. The rate of around 80% goals conceded highlights Augsburg’s vulnerability to Leipzig’s attacks, especially in the first half. Leipzig clearly benefits from early pressing and transition play, which causes problems for Augsburg’s defense. Based on history, likely scenarios include a Leipzig goal in the first half and a total of more than 2.5 goals, although current form, lineups, and injuries remain decisive factors.
