A Derby d’Italia is coming up at the Stadio Olimpico, which is of great importance for both teams: Roma and Inter want to stay at the top of the table. Roma are level on points with Napoli in second place and have been particularly impressive defensively (only 2 goals conceded in 6 league games), while their offense looks capable of improvement with 7 goals in 6 games. Dovbyk is expected to be back in the starting lineup, and Soulé is a key player with 3 goals. Inter are three points behind the leaders with 12 points and are coming off five consecutive wins, but will have to do without Thuram and Darmian. Lautaro Martínez returns in good form; Bonny, after his goal and 3 assists against Cremonese, could get the starting nod, with Pio Esposito remaining an option. The head-to-head record favors Inter (four wins in the last five meetings); it is notable that Inter have mostly scored in the second half in these encounters, while Roma have rarely been successful in this phase. The bookmakers see Inter as slight favorites, but Roma’s defensive stability suggests a close game with goals likely in the second half.
- Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome
- Date and time: October 18, 2025, 8:45 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 7)
Inter are in great form and consistently effective in attack, while Roma are impressive defensively and often play low-scoring games at home. Value bet: Inter to win away (odds ~2.3) due to form; tactical options: goals in both halves (likely due to Inter’s strength in the second half). More conservative choice: Double chance X2 (protects against close home games for Roma). Goal bet: Under 2.5 goals is plausible due to Roma’s defense and frequent low-scoring encounters. Bankroll suggestion (example): 40–50% on X2, 30–40% on under 2.5 goals, 10–20% on away win (value). If the odds for an away win are significantly higher, increase the percentage on an away win. Check the current lineups and weather conditions before placing your bet. Gambling can be addictive — please gamble responsibly.
AS Roma form & record check
Roma are in good form: four wins from their last five competitive games and a league run of three consecutive wins. With 15 points, the team is level on points with Napoli in second place. In four of their last five games, there have been under 1.5 goals in both halves, showing that Roma are winning efficiently and competitively without scoring many goals (examples: 1-0 derby win against Lazio, 2-1 away win at Fiorentina). In the Europa League, the 1-0 home defeat to Lille was the only setback, preceded by a 2-1 away win at Nice. Angeliño (bronchitis), Bailey (muscle injury, return at the end of October) and Bove (long-term due to heart problems) are missing from the squad, but the squad still seems broad enough to compensate for these absences at the moment.
Expected Roma formation (variable, described as 3-4-2-1): Svilar in goal. Possible back three: Çelik, Mancini, Ndicka. Wing-backs: Wesley and Tsimikas (on loan from Liverpool). Central midfield: Cristante and Koné for stability. Attack: Dybala and Soulé behind striker Dovbyk. Missing players: Angeliño (bronchitis), Bailey (muscle injury), Bove (long-term due to heart problems). Pellegrini, Baldanzi and Ferguson are among the options on the bench.
Inter form & record check
Inter travel with a lot of confidence: five competitive wins in a row (including 2-0 against Ajax, 2-1 against Sassuolo, 2-0 against Cagliari, 3-0 against Slavia Prague, and 4-1 against Cremonese). Inter are fourth in the table with 12 points, close to the top spots. The streak shows consistency, even though some of the opponents were not among the strongest; there have been fluctuations against direct competitors in the past. Marcus Thuram is out with a thigh injury (return at the end of next week). Lautaro Martínez is in good form after scoring two international goals and is expected to start; Bonny is slightly favored after his appearance against Cremonese, Esposito remains an alternative. Inter have often dominated early on and shown strong defensive first halves — whether this will be enough against Roma’s defensive organization remains to be seen.
Expected Inter formation (3-5-2): Goalkeeper Sommer. Back three: Akanji, Acerbi, Bastoni. Wing-backs: Dumfries on the right, Dimarco on the left. Midfield: Çalhanoğlu as playmaker, supported by Barella and Mkhitaryan. Striker duo: Lautaro Martínez and Ange-Yoan Bonny; Pio Esposito as an option. Missing players: Marcus Thuram (thigh injury), Matteo Darmian also unavailable. All international players are back, there are no suspensions. Bonny is slightly favored to start after his strong performance against Cremonese.
H2H AS Roma – Inter Head-to-Head & Statistics
Inter have dominated recent encounters: four wins from five meetings, with Roma’s last victory coming in April (1-0, goal in the second half). Inter have often scored in the second half in these games, while Roma have failed to score in the second half of their last four defeats to Inter. The matches have mostly been controlled and low-scoring: three of the five games have ended with under 2.5 goals. One outlier was the 2-4 win in February 2024, the only one of the five encounters with many goals. Roma often came under pressure after the break and conceded at least one goal after halftime in four of the five matches, while Inter more often kept a clean sheet in these phases.
