Genoa vs Atalanta – Tip, Prediction & Odds Serie A 17.05.2025

Home » Genoa vs Atalanta – Tip, Prediction & Odds Serie A 17.05.2025

Genoa – Atalanta Bergamo

One last home game before the summer break, but Saturday’s results are unlikely to change anything in the league table. Genoa have long since secured their place in the safety zone with 40 points under Patrick Vieira, while Atalanta travel to Genoa in third place, confident after securing Champions League qualification. Nevertheless, the duel promises to be exciting, as Gasperini’s team won the most recent encounter 5-1 and is in great form, while Genoa has not won any of its last five games, but made a statement with a 2-2 draw in Naples. The visitors will have to do without the suspended Djimsiti, while Miretti, Malinovskyi and Balotelli are still missing for Genoa. Whether the lack of pressure in the table will open up space for creative line-ups remains an intriguing side issue on this penultimate matchday.

Genoa – Atalanta info

  • Venue: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
  • Date and time: May 17, 2025, 8:45 p.m.
  • Competition: Serie A (matchday 37)

Genoa form & record check

Genoa is in 13th place in the table, but the form curve is pointing downwards: three defeats and two draws in the last five games. Particularly noticeable is the team’s slow start, with no first-half wins and less than 1.5 goals before the break in 80% of these games. On a positive note, they managed a late 2-2 draw at Napoli, scored from a set piece by Aarón Martín. The fundamental problem remains the predictability of their attacking play, especially with the creative impetus of the injured Miretti and Malinovskyi missing.

At Genoa, everything points to the familiar 4-2-3-1 formation. Thorsby returns to stabilize the double pivot alongside Frendrup, while Masini is expected to provide a link further forward. Sabelli and Vásquez hold the flanks, with Pinamonti remaining up front despite his goal drought. Vieira does not have much room for experimentation, especially with three attacking players still out.

Atalanta form & record check

Atalanta, on the other hand, is the team in the best form in recent weeks, with four wins and one draw. In each of these games, the Bergamaschi scored after the break, while the defense did not concede a goal in the second halves. With 71 points, they are solidly in third place and could even attack second place if everything goes perfectly. Despite the absences of Djimsiti, Kolasinac, Tolói and Cuadrado, the team looks stable, not least because newcomer Sulemana has slotted in seamlessly. Gasperini varies the tempo, lets his team defend in a controlled manner and strike mercilessly on the counter – so far without any visible signs of fatigue.

Atalanta are expected to start with their tried-and-tested 3-4-2-1 formation. De Roon moves into the back three in place of the suspended Djimsiti, with Éderson and Sulemana playing centrally, flanked by wing-backs Zappacosta and Ruggeri. De Ketelaere and Pašalić could cause havoc behind striker Retegui, although Gasperini is known to leave himself open to spontaneous changes right up to the last minute.

H2H Genoa – Atalanta Head-to-head comparison & statistics

Historically, the visitors have the clear advantage: three wins and two draws in the last five encounters, including a 5-1 victory in October 2024. Remarkably, all of these games had fewer than 1.5 goals before the break, with the first half ending goalless on two occasions. Genoa have yet to win a single half against Atalanta, which further underlines the Bergamaschi’s status as favorites.

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