Bayer Leverkusen – TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Our Leverkusen – Hoffenheim betting tip is: Leverkusen scores over 1.5 goals in the 1st half – 2.52 odds
- Leverkusen has scored four times in the first half in the last seven games
- Leverkusen with league record in goals in the 1st half
- Hoffenheim conceded twice in the first half in the last four away games
On Sunday, the Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and TSG Hoffenheim awaits us in the last game of the matchday. Leverkusen are still in second place, while TSG are currently in 15th place.
Both teams have very similar statistics for their last four games. While Leverkusen won their last Champions League game 2-0 against Prague, TSG was also successful in the Europa League, beating Anderlecht 4-3. The difference, however, is that Leverkusen qualified for the top eight and Hoffenheim was eliminated. In the last league game, both clubs drew 2-2. For Leverkusen against Leipzig, for TSG against Frankfurt. Before that, both teams lost in international competition, while in the league game before that, both teams won 3-1. You can find out who will win in this duel in our Leverkusen – Hoffenheim tip.
Leverkusen – Hoffenheim info
- Date & time: 02/02/2025, 5:30 pm
- Venue: BayArena, Leverkusen
- Competition: Bundesliga, Matchday 20
- Broadcast/Live stream: DAZN
Leverkusen Form & record check
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are having an outstanding season, having already collected 42 points from 19 Bundesliga games. Only in the previous season (49 points) was the Werkself more successful at this point. They also had 42 points after 19 games in the 2001/02 season.
Xabi Alonso’s team have only lost one of their last 53 Bundesliga games (2-3 to RB Leipzig on matchday two) and have since gone unbeaten (11 wins, six draws) – the longest current run in the league.
Leverkusen have been particularly dominant in the first half of matches, with Bayer leading the league with 28 goals scored before the break. However, the Werkself have also shown a certain vulnerability when leading this season. In the recent 2-2 draw against RB Leipzig, Leverkusen squandered a 2-0 lead for the third time in this Bundesliga season – more than ever before in a Bundesliga season (2021/22 and 1982/83 also three times). In total, Bayer has already dropped 13 points after taking the lead – tied for the league-high with VfL Wolfsburg.
Schick is the most efficient in the top five leagues
Patrik Schick’s performance is particularly impressive: the Czech striker has scored 13 goals in his last nine Bundesliga appearances and has been scoring on average every 49.5 minutes since the beginning of November – the best in the top 5 European leagues (at least 300 minutes played). He has already collected eight scorer points in the Bundesliga against TSG Hoffenheim (five goals, three assists) – he has not been more successful against any other team.
Florian Wirtz is also excelling: in the 2-2 draw against Leipzig, he set up his ninth Bundesliga goal this season and now has a total of 18 assists in the league (nine goals, nine assists). Since the start of detailed data collection in 2004/05, only Patrik Schick in the 2020/21 season has made more direct contributions to goals for Bayer 04 after 19 matchdays (19).
Leverkusen also have an impressive Bundesliga Sunday record: they are unbeaten in their last 23 Sunday games (16 wins, seven draws) – only Bayern Munich had a longer streak between 2005 and 2010 (28 games). Leverkusen have scored at least four goals in each of their last three Sunday games. If Bayer scores four or more goals again, it would be a first in Bundesliga history – never before has a team managed such a high-scoring game four times in a row on a Sunday.
Leverkusen Facts & Analysis
- Only one defeat in the last 53 league games
- With 28 goals in the 1st half of the league, the best in the league
- Since November, they have scored one goal every 49.5 minutes
Hoffenheim Form & Record Check
TSG Hoffenheim have often found it difficult to play against Bayer 04 Leverkusen in Bundesliga history and have lost to the Werkself 20 times – only to FC Bayern Munich have they suffered more defeats (21). They have only managed seven wins (six draws). They have lost their last four matches, and the only longer losing streak against Leverkusen was between 2011 and 2013, when Hoffenheim lost six times in a row.
After a lengthy period of weakness, TSG have recently stabilized slightly: four points from their last two Bundesliga games is the best haul in two consecutive matches under coach Christian Ilzer. Nevertheless, Hoffenheim have only 18 points from 19 matchdays – their weakest tally at this stage since the 2015/16 season, when they had just 14 points.
The last away game saw an important 3-1 win at Holstein Kiel – the first away win in this Bundesliga season. Now there is the chance to celebrate two away wins in a row for the first time since the start of the 2023/24 season. Back then, Hoffenheim won their first five away games of the season. However, the reigning champions last tasted success in October 2019 – a 2-1 win at Bayern Munich.
Hlozek provides the impetus
Adam Hlozek, who scored and provided an assist for the first time in a Bundesliga game for TSG in the recent 2-2 draw against Eintracht Frankfurt, will be a particular focus. He had previously managed the feat just once in 52 Bundesliga appearances for Bayer 04 Leverkusen (in November 2022 against Union Berlin). With six goals this season, Hlozek has already equaled his personal best in the German top flight.
Hoffenheim also have problems in the first half: with 20 goals conceded before the break, TSG are poorly placed in this statistic – only Holstein Kiel (28) and Werder Bremen (22) have conceded more goals in the first 45 minutes. An improvement in this area could be crucial to them picking up more points.
Hoffenheim are also up against a team that is particularly difficult to beat on Sundays. While Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last 23 Bundesliga games on this day of the week, TSG are without a win in their last eight Sunday games (six draws, two defeats) – both current league records.
Hoffenheim Facts & Analysis
- Only lost to Bayern more often than Leverkusen
- Weakest start to the season since 2015/16
- They have not won in eight Sunday games
We expect Leverkusen to return to the 3-4-2-1 system under coach Xabi Alonso. Leverkusen will again build on their strong Sunday streak.
Hoffenheim, on the other hand, we expect under the direction of Christian Ilzer in a 4-2-3-1 system. The Hoffenheimers hope to take the upswing from the week with them and offer Leverkusen a fight.
Leverkusen – Hoffenheim head to head & statistics
Bayer 04 Leverkusen and TSG Hoffenheim have met 34 times in competitive games so far, 33 of them in the Bundesliga and once in the DFB Cup. The Werkself have historically had the upper hand in this rivalry, winning 20 of the previous encounters, while Hoffenheim have only managed eight wins. The tie ended in a draw six times.
Leverkusen’s goal difference also speaks clearly in their favor: with a total of 70 goals, Bayer scored significantly more than Hoffenheim, who have 46. Leverkusen scored an average of over two goals per game against TSG, while Hoffenheim managed less than 1.5 goals per game. These statistics underline the Werkself’s role as favorites, even though TSG has been able to surprise on several occasions in the past.
Direct comparison (H2H)
