Lecce – Inter Milan
Our Lecce – Inter betting tip is: Inter to win to nil – 1.95 odds
- Inter have kept eight clean sheets in their last nine away games
- Inter have kept four straight clean sheets in their last four meetings
- Lecce have kept four straight clean sheets at home
This Sunday, the relegation-threatened US Lecce host second-placed Inter Milan at the Stadio Via del Mare. The hosts, who are currently in 17th place in the table, are going through a difficult phase – most recently they suffered a clear 1-4 defeat at Cagliari. Particularly bitter: Marco Giampaolo’s team have not been able to record a single victory in the second half in the last five games.
Inter, on the other hand, are in scintillating form, underlining this only last week with a 1-0 away win over Sparta Prague in the Champions League, where Lautaro Martínez once again excelled as the match-winner. In the Serie A, Simone Inzaghi’s team is just three points behind leaders Napoli with 47 points and could further increase the pressure on the league leaders with a win. Interestingly, Inter have developed remarkable consistency this season – they have taken the lead at half-time in 80% of their matches. Find out whether Lecce will cause an upset here or whether Inter will win uncompromisingly in our Lecce – Inter betting tip.
Lecce – Inter info
- Venue: Stadio Ettore Giardiniero – Via del Mare, Lecce
- Date and Time: 01/26/2025, 6:00 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A, Matchday 22
- TV broadcast: DAZN
Lecce form & record check
Lecce’s current form is a cause for concern. Marco Giampaolo’s team is in 17th place in the relegation battle and is showing worrying tendencies. In particular, the recent 4-1 defeat to Cagliari was a bitter setback that ruthlessly exposed the defensive weaknesses.
Collapse in second half
Interestingly, Lecce repeatedly manages to play relatively compactly in the first half – in 80% of the last games, fewer than 1.5 goals were scored before the break. But after the break, the team regularly collapses. The statistics speak for themselves here: in the second half, Lecce concedes at least one goal in 80% of the games. The only bright spot was the 3-1 away win against Empoli two weeks ago.
It is fair to wonder how much longer this situation can continue. With just a one-point lead over the relegation places and level on points with Parma, Lecce is under enormous pressure. The defense urgently needs to be stabilized – in the last five games, the team has conceded far too many goals on average. Without a quick turnaround, the relegation battle threatens to become even tougher.
Lecce facts & analysis
- 17th place
- Only one win in the last five games
- The last five direct duels all lost
Lecce are likely to revert to the tried and tested 4-3-3 system in the important home game against Inter. Interestingly, the southern Italians are missing several key players: Banda (ankle fracture), Gallo (thigh), Rafia (thigh) and Rebic, who is serving a one-match ban after being sent off, will definitely be out. This could lead to changes in the midfield in particular. The defense around the reliable Baschirotto seems set. In the offense, Krstović is likely to take up the central position again, flanked by Pierotti and Tete Morente. It can be assumed that coach Giampaolo will rely on more defensive stability after the clear 4-1 defeat against Cagliari – especially against the strong Milan offense.
Inter Form & Bilanz Check
Inter Milan are currently in impressive form, as underlined by their latest 1-0 away win in the Champions League against Sparta Prague. Particularly noteworthy is the efficiency of the Nerazzurri, who have scored in each of their last five games. Simone Inzaghi’s team are second in the table, just three points behind leaders Napoli, with a game in hand.
The Milan side are particularly strong in the first half – they have gone in at half-time with the lead in 80% of their last matches. Lautaro Martínez is proving to be a reliable goalscorer, as he demonstrated again against Sparta Prague. Interestingly, Inter have found a remarkable balance in this phase: while the offensive play is characterized by precise passes from key players like Nicolò Barella and Alessandro Bastoni.
Defeat as a push?
Only the 2-3 Super Cup defeat to city rivals AC Milan tarnishes the otherwise flawless record of recent weeks. However, one might wonder whether this setback did not even serve as additional motivation – the subsequent victories against Venezia (1-0), Empoli (3-1) and Sparta Prague (1-0) certainly suggest that it did. With a four-point lead over their closest rivals Atalanta, Inter seem to be well prepared for the decisive phase of the season.
Inter Facts & Analysis
- 2nd place in the table
- Not yet a single league away defeat
- Three wins in the last four games
Inter are expected to stick with the tried and tested 3-5-2 system. With Sommer in goal and a change-related defense, the midfield remains flexible and powerful. The Martinez and Thuram duo promises offensive strength.
Lecce – Inter Head to Head & Stats
