Borussia Mönchengladbach – Bayern Munich
Our Gladbach – Bayern betting tip is: Bayern under 2.5 goals – 1.77 odds
- Bayern have only scored once in each of their last three away games
- Since 2014, Bayern have only scored three times in Gladbach once
- Since match day 3, Gladbach have conceded only five goals at home in six games
On Saturday evening in the first Bundesliga top game of the year, Borussia Mönchengladbach will host FC Bayern Munich at the Borussia-Park. While Bayern are currently consolidating their hold on first place in the table, Gladbach are now in eighth place.
Gladbach have lost only one of their last seven league games and are currently in very good form after two consecutive wins. Most recently, they beat TSG Hoffenheim 2-1. They have also not been beaten at home since match day three and have won five of those six games. Bayern, on the other hand, impressed in their last home game by beating Leipzig 5-1. The Bavarians have had problems away from home recently – suffering their first defeat of the season in a 2-1 loss in Mainz. This was also the third consecutive away game in which Bayern scored only one goal. Find out from our Gladbach – Bayern tip whether they can get back on track against Gladbach.
Gladbach – Bayern info
- Date & Time: 11/01/2025, 6:30 p.m.
- Venue: Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach
- Competition: Bundesliga, Matchday 16
- TV broadcast/livestream: SKY
Gladbach Form & record check
Borussia Mönchengladbach have built up an impressive record against FC Bayern Munich in recent years. Since the 2015/16 season, the Foals have won five of their last nine Bundesliga home games against Munich (one draw, three defeats). No other team has managed as many home wins against the record champions since then. However, the last duel in September 2023 went to FC Bayern by a score of 2:1.
Gerardo Seoane’s team has shown a significant improvement in performance this season. With seven wins this season, they have already equaled their total from the entire previous season. They have also picked up 24 points from 15 games – their highest tally since the 2020/21 season. The Foals have won two Bundesliga games in a row for the first time since March 2022. The last time they won three in a row was in June 2020 under Marco Rose.
At home, Gladbach are unbeaten in six Bundesliga games at Borussia-Park, winning five of them (one draw). Since the beginning of matchday five, they have picked up 16 points here – a figure only their next opponents Bayern Munich have matched.
Gladbach’s weakness on Saturday night
Nevertheless, there are weaknesses in their defensive behavior. With 241 opposing shots on target, they are second in the league behind Holstein Kiel (248). Offensively, the foals rely less on possession: in the last game against TSG Hoffenheim, they had just 35% possession, the lowest figure this season. At the same time, they only record 4.9 high ball gains per game, the lowest figure in the league.
In Saturday night top games, Gladbach have not won in twelve Bundesliga duels (five draws, seven defeats) – a streak that has never been as long since the introduction of the top game in 2009/10.
Gladbach facts & analysis
- Only lost one of the last five direct duels against Bayern at home
- First two league wins in a row since March 2022
- Unbeaten in six Bundesliga home games, winning five of them
Bayern Form & Bilanz Check
FC Bayern Munich traditionally start the new year strongly. In the last nine years, the Munich team won seven of their first Bundesliga games of the calendar year (one draw). The only defeat during this period came on January 7, 2022 against Borussia Mönchengladbach (1-2).
Currently, Bayern are the measure of all things in Saturday evening top matches. They are unbeaten in their last five duels (three wins, two draws) – the longest streak of any current Bundesliga club. In the season so far, they have shown dominance in offense, already taking 290 shots, by far the highest number in the league.
They are also solid in defense. With only 77 goals conceded, Munich has the best defense in the league. They also allow the fewest with 82 high-quality ball gains against their opponents. Offensively, they shine with ten high-quality ball gains per game, the best in the league.
Playmaker Jamal Musiala is in outstanding form. With 19 direct goals in 22 competitive games, he has already equaled his output from the previous season. However, he has not scored in six games against Gladbach – he has not been without a goal against any other opponent in competitive games for so long.
Bayern without Upamecano
However, one absence hits Bayern hard: Dayot Upamecano is missing through a suspension. The center-back has been a central figure so far, winning the most aerial duels in the team (82) and intercepting the most opposing passes (22). Without him, Munich lost their only game this season (1-2 to Mainz).
Bayern could also set a new record: with an average ball possession of 72%, they are on course to surpass the previous record since data collection began (2004/05).
Bayern facts & analysis
- Won the first game of the year seven times in the last nine years
- Undefeated in the last five Saturday evening duels
- Musiala has already scored in 19 appearances in 22 competitive games, but is still without a goal against Gladbach
Gladbach will play in the 4-2-3-1 system again under coach Gerardo Seoane and hope to be able to annoy Bayern at home again.
We expect Bayern to play in a 4-2-3-1 system again under coach Vincent Kompany. Musiala’s participation is still in question, but if he is unable to play, Müller would be the number one replacement candidate. In central defense, Dier replaces the suspended Upamecano.
Mönchengladbach – Bayern direct comparison & statistics
This will be the 126th meeting between Borussia Mönchengladbach and FC Bayern. In the 125 previous encounters, 58 games went to the record champions, while 37 games ended in a draw and the foals were able to record 30 wins. Munich are ahead in terms of goal difference, 237-161.
Head-to-head (H2H)
