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FSV Mainz vs. Bayern Munich
The Bundesliga is currently in the home stretch. On the 32nd matchday, there are therefore already a few teams for whom nothing more is at stake. Two of them will meet in a direct duel on Saturday, when FSV Mainz 05 receives FC Bayern München. The Mainz team has already secured its place in the league, but has no chance of making it to the international stage. Bayern, on the other hand, celebrated their tenth championship in a row last weekend. The game kicks off on Saturday at 15:30 in the Mewa Arena in Mainz, and you can find our prediction in the following Mainz vs Bayern tip.
The hosts from the Rhine will probably finish the season somewhere between eighth and 15th place. Mainz are currently in tenth place with 39 points from 31 games. There are no sporting goals to be achieved in either direction, but coach Bo Svensson will have to raise the intensity of his recently weakening team. Julian Nagelsmann, who celebrated the championship with his team in a direct duel with Dortmund last weekend, will have a similar task in the coming weeks. The league leaders are on 75 points after 31 games.
Mainz – Bayern Info
– Date & Time: 30.04.2022, at 15:30 hrs.
– Venue: Mainz, Mewa Arena
– Competition: Bundesliga, 32nd matchday
– TV broadcast: Sky Sport
Mainz Form & Balance Check
Mainz are tarnishing the beautiful overall picture of their season so far in recent weeks. Bo Svensson has stabilised FSV over the last year and a half, prioritising commitment and collective team performances. But it was precisely these virtues that his previously reliable team lacked in recent games. Five games in a row without a win are currently on the stat sheet, and the 05ers have only picked up two points in this period. Against Bayern, at least the attitude must change again, the points tally is less relevant for Mainz at the moment.
Blamable performance in Wolfsburg
Last weekend, Mainz’s form crisis reached a new low. At VfL Wolfsburg, FSV were already 5-0 down at half-time, with the crunch moment coming midway through the first period. Jonas Wind had already given his Wolves a 1-0 lead at that point, when young Mainz player Niklas Tauer held his opponent Lukas Nmecha by the jersey in the penalty area, preventing him from scoring freely. The referee deemed this to be an emergency stop, so Mainz were outnumbered for a full 65 minutes. Wolfsburg increased their lead to 5:0 before the break through wind and a triple from Max Kruse, but nothing more happened in the second half.
Mainz facts & analysis
– Rank 10 in the Bundesliga, 39 points from 31 games.
– Last lost 0:5 at Wolfsburg
– Winless for 5 games, only 2 points in that period
Bayern form & balance check
Bayern have done it again. The tenth championship in a row has been perfect since last Saturday, when the Munich side prevailed against BVB. The 3:1 victory over their closest rivals once again demonstrated the Bavarian superiority in the Bundesliga, which has now lasted a whole decade. Nevertheless, only a few people at the record champion are satisfied with this season. Nagelsmann recently promised improvement next year after his first season in Munich. He was certainly aware of the high expectations beforehand, but now he is feeling them on his own skin after the early exits in both the Champions League and the DFB Cup.
How does Bayern finish the season?
However, despite the disappointment of the overall meagre title haul, Bayern have hardly lost any of their quality in the Bundesliga. In recent weeks, the Munich side have celebrated five league victories in a row, three of them without conceding a goal. With the championship now perfect, Nagelsmann can also work a little on team chemistry and give some rotation players and young talents some welcome playing time. At the same time, however, he must also find the necessary balance to remain competitive. A distortion of competition would be fatal, especially next week when they face relegation candidates Stuttgart.
Bayern facts & analysis
– Top of the table and newly crowned Bundesliga champions, 75 points from 31 games.
– Last win 3:1 against Dortmund
– Won 5 league games in a row
Predicted line-up – last update on 28 April 2022
Svensson could rebuild the Mainz team in several places after the debacle in Wolfsburg. Hack, Martin, Kohr and Onisiwo should come in for Tauer, Lucoqui, Barreiro and Ingvartsen. Boetius is also a candidate for a change, but could remain in the starting eleven in view of the lack of alternatives. Tauer is suspended, Burgzorg, Lee and St. Juste are physically unfit.
Bayern have many question marks in their starting eleven. Nagelsmann’s announcement of the rotation leaves some room for speculation. Upamecano, Sane, Nianzou, Musiala and Sabitzer are probably the main candidates for a starting eleven nomination. Roca, Richards and Stanisic may also fancy their chances. Coman is an option again after his injury, while Tolisso is still in rehabilitation training.
🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 MiaSanMeister 🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆MISS10N ✔ FCBayern MiaSanMia pic. twitter.com/yW6enWWmGP
– FC Bayern Munich (@FCBayern) April 23, 2022
Mainz – Bayern direct comparison & statistics
Mainz and Bayern have already met 35 times, 31 games come from the Bundesliga. As expected, the overall balance is in favour of the record champions, who have won 26 games. Mainz only won five and four other games ended in a draw. The first leg went 2-1 to the Munich side, but last season Mainz won their home game against the FCB.
– The average number of goals scored in a clash between FSV Mainz and Bayern Munich is 4.8.
– The average number of goals scored in the first half in matches between FSV Mainz and Bayern Munich is 2.4.
– FSV Mainz top the sin-bin in the Bundesliga with 4 red cards.
– The comparisons between the two clubs last season: 2-1 (home to FSV Mainz) and 5-2 (home to Bayern Munich).
– The first leg went 2-1 to Bayern Munich.
